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Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Toronto, Canada | NYSE American
2.44 USD -0.13 (-5.058%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 2.45 +0.01 (0.410%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:31 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:54 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals. The company is burning cash with negative free cash flow and negative operating cash flow, while returning equity to shareholders via dividends—a classic value trap where capital is being extracted from a failing operation. The balance sheet shows negative returns on both assets and equity, indicating the core business is destroying value. While the price-to-book ratio appears attractive at 0.71, this is misleading given the negative earnings; the market is correctly pricing this as a distressed asset rather than a bargain. The short-term outlook remains cautious despite a recent price bounce, as the statistical forecast model indicates a weak lean toward downside movement, and options flow confirms that smart money is buying insurance against further declines rather than betting on a recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.027647
AutoETS0.030245
MSTL0.031726
AutoARIMA0.085550

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 0.98
Ljung-Box p 0.005
Jarque-Bera p 0.277
Excess Kurtosis 0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.228
Market Cap 151,148,768
Forward P/E -8.71
Website https://www.brazilpotash.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection rather than upside speculation. Put volume and open interest are concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money for the November expiration, creating a significant hedge against a drop to $2.50. Conversely, call activity is almost entirely out-of-the-money, with notable open interest at the $7.50 strike, suggesting a speculative bet on a massive rally that contradicts the current fundamental reality.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.49418604
Address1 198 Davenport Road
All Time High 15.0
All Time Low 1.25
Ask 2.5
Ask Size 300
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 280,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 240,904
Average Volume 240,904
Average Volume10Days 280,640
Bid 2.38
Bid Size 200
Book Value 3.477
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.44
Current Ratio 42.2
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 2.59
Day Low 2.42
Debt To Equity 0.228
Display Name Brazil Potash
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise Value 75,929,736
Eps Current Year -0.53
Eps Forward -0.28
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.5
Esg Populated 0
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.2162
Fifty Day Average Change 0.22379994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.100983635
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 49.418606
Fifty Two Week High 3.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.55
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.38847116
Fifty Two Week Low 1.675
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.7650001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4567165
Fifty Two Week Range 1.675 - 3.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,732,717,800,000
Float Shares 39,888,407
Forward Eps -0.28
Forward P E -8.714286
Free Cashflow -13,886,951
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Full Time Employees 36
Fullday Change -0.13
Fullday Change Percent -5.05836
Fullday Price 2.45
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04264
Held Percent Institutions 0.38974
Implied Shares Outstanding 61,946,215
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Brazil Potash Corp. engages in the exploration and development of potash properties in Brazil. The company holds interest in the Autazes project, a potash deposit located in the state of Amazonas, Brazil. Brazil Potash Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Brazil Potash Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 151,148,768
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_69101958
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -28,145,468
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 159,201,772
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 2.55
Operating Cashflow -12,600,913
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 416 309 2963
Post Market Change 0.00999999
Post Market Change Percent 0.40983567
Post Market Price 2.45
Post Market Time 1,787,959,890
Previous Close 2.57
Price Eps Current Year -4.603774
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.7017544
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 41.896
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.2
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.13
Regular Market Change Percent -5.05836
Regular Market Day High 2.59
Regular Market Day Low 2.42
Regular Market Day Range 2.42 - 2.59
Regular Market Open 2.55
Regular Market Previous Close 2.57
Regular Market Price 2.44
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 210,202
Return On Assets -0.09752
Return On Equity -0.15839
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 61,946,215
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.003
Shares Short 187,844
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 176,037
Short Name Brazil Potash Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0039
Short Ratio 1.32
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol GRO
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 3.5
Target Mean Price 6.1
Target Median Price 5.0
Total Cash 75,710,448
Total Cash Per Share 1.222
Total Debt 491,423
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.5
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.5396
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.09959984
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.039218713
Type Disp Equity
Volume 210,202
Website https://www.brazilpotash.com
Zip M5R 1J2