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Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Plano, United States | NYSE
73.31 USD +0.52 (0.714%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 74.74 +1.43 (1.951%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:30 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by conflicting signals. Fundamentally, the business shows signs of distress with shrinking revenues (-8.7%) and earnings (-8.1%), yet the valuation remains surprisingly cheap with a P/E under 11 and a massive 815% gain over the last nine years. However, the market has seemingly priced out the future, evidenced by the single negative year-to-date return in the trailing decade and a consensus price target significantly below the current price. The options market reinforces this pessimism, with traders buying protection at lower levels rather than betting on a rally. While the long-term trajectory has been spectacular, the recent deceleration and lack of dividend support suggest the stock is currently in a holding pattern rather than a clear buy zone.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.081163
AutoETS0.082609
AutoARIMA0.082610
MSTL0.084197

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 1.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.119
Excess Kurtosis -0.20
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 14.244
Revenue per Share 45.486
Market Cap 3,153,114,112
Trailing P/E 10.96
Forward P/E 11.30
Beta 1.80
Profit Margins 14.79%
Website https://www.greenbrickpartners.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume concentrated at the $60 and $65 strikes, suggesting a fear of a significant drop below current levels. Conversely, call interest is sparse and skewed toward distant strikes ($80-$90), indicating a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite the stock trading near its 200-day average.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.06246376
Address1 5,501 Headquarters Drive
Address2 Suite 300W
All Time High 156.26631
All Time Low 0.737598
Ask 73.42
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 316,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 258,147
Average Volume 258,147
Average Volume10Days 316,800
Beta 1.802
Bid 73.48
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 5
Book Value 44.823
City Plano
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 73.31
Current Ratio 7.051
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 74.72
Day Low 72.34
Debt To Equity 14.244
Display Name Green Brick Partners
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,427,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,427,200
Earnings Growth -0.081
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.095
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 377,088,992
Ebitda Margins 0.19148001
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.108
Enterprise To Revenue 1.744
Enterprise Value 3,434,379,008
Eps Current Year 6.195
Eps Forward 6.49
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.69
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 73.3434
Fifty Day Average Change -0.03340149
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.00045541234
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.246376
Fifty Two Week High 83.18
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.870003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.118658364
Fifty Two Week Low 60.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.869999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21293844
Fifty Two Week Range 60.44 - 83.18
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,182,346,200,000
Float Shares 29,917,810
Forward Eps 6.49
Forward P E 11.295839
Free Cashflow 6,958,250
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 620
Fullday Change 0.519997
Fullday Change Percent 0.714379
Fullday Price 74.74
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.30501
Gross Profits 600,654,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08399
Held Percent Institutions 0.83442
Implied Shares Outstanding 43,010,696
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ir Website http://www.bfenergy.com/investment.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,411,516,800
Last Split Factor 1,532:1000
Long Business Summary Green Brick Partners, Inc., the third largest homebuilder in Dallas-Fort Worth, is a diversified homebuilding and land development company that operates in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick owns five subsidiary homebuilders in Texas (CB JENI Homes, Normandy Homes, Southgate Homes, Trophy Signature Homes, and a 90% interest in Centre Living Homes), as well as a 50% interest in a homebuilder in Atlanta, Georgia (The Providence Group) and an 80% interest in a homebuilder in Port St. Lucie, Florida (GHO Homes). Green Brick also retains interests in related financial services platforms, including Green Brick Title, GRBK Mortgage, and Green Brick Insurance. Green Brick is engaged in all aspects of the homebuilding process, including land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and sales for its residential neighborhoods and master-planned communities. Green Brick Partners Inc. is incorporated in 2006 in Delaware and based in Plano, Texas.
Long Name Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,153,114,112
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_142898861
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 288,457,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,130,748,561
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 73.29
Operating Cashflow 117,203,000
Operating Margins 0.19545001
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.15
Phone 469 573 6755
Post Market Change 1.4300003
Post Market Change Percent 1.9506211
Post Market Price 74.74
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 72.79
Price Eps Current Year 11.833736
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6355442
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6011394
Profit Margins 0.14794
Quick Ratio 0.454
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.519997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.714379
Regular Market Day High 74.72
Regular Market Day Low 72.34
Regular Market Day Range 72.34 - 74.72
Regular Market Open 73.29
Regular Market Previous Close 72.79
Regular Market Price 73.31
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 343,756
Return On Assets 0.094469994
Return On Equity 0.16383
Revenue Growth -0.087
Revenue Per Share 45.486
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 43,010,696
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0001
Shares Short 6,382
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,221
Short Name Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.00029999999
Short Ratio 0.03
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol GRBK
Target High Price 62.0
Target Low Price 62.0
Target Mean Price 62.0
Target Median Price 62.0
Total Cash 131,642,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.061
Total Debt 291,859,008
Total Revenue 1,969,293,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 6.69
Trailing P E 10.958146
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 69.43895
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.871048
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0557475
Type Disp Equity
Volume 343,756
Website https://www.greenbrickpartners.com
Zip 75,024