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Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Plano, United States | NYSE
61.17 USD -0.81 (-1.307%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 61.17

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:43 a.m. EDT

The residential construction sector is under pressure, and Green Brick Partners reflects this struggle with shrinking revenues (-8.7%) and earnings (-9.5%). While the balance sheet remains robust with a current ratio of 7.05, the business is contracting, evidenced by negative free cash flow and declining operational metrics. The market has priced this in, trading at a low P/E of 9.5x, but the trajectory suggests a value trap rather than a bargain. With no dividend to provide income and a statistical forecast leaning slightly negative, there is no immediate catalyst to reverse the trend. The heavy put positioning confirms that retail and institutional traders are hedging against further weakness, making this a poor environment for a short-term momentum play.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.027687
AutoARIMA0.027972
MSTL0.028330
AutoTheta0.038237

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 6.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.245
Excess Kurtosis -1.17
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 14.244
Revenue per Share 45.486
Market Cap 2,630,964,224
Trailing P/E 9.21
Forward P/E 10.20
Beta 1.76
Profit Margins 14.79%
Website https://www.greenbrickpartners.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:43 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 60 and 65) compared to negligible call volume. The call side shows minimal interest, suggesting a lack of bullish conviction despite some speculative buying at higher strikes. Implied volatility is elevated on the put side relative to calls, indicating fear of further declines.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.09485054
Address1 5,501 Headquarters Drive
Address2 Suite 300W
All Time High 156.26631
All Time Low 0.737598
Ask 61.68
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 389,230
Average Daily Volume3 Month 326,262
Average Volume 326,262
Average Volume10Days 389,230
Beta 1.758
Bid 59.5
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 6
Book Value 44.823
City Plano
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 61.17
Current Ratio 7.051
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 63.0
Day Low 60.88
Debt To Equity 14.244
Display Name Green Brick Partners
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Growth -0.081
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.095
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 377,088,992
Ebitda Margins 0.19148001
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.723
Enterprise To Revenue 1.479
Enterprise Value 2,912,229,376
Eps Current Year 6.145
Eps Forward 5.995
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.64
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 68.3686
Fifty Day Average Change -7.198601
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10529104
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -9.485054
Fifty Two Week High 83.18
Fifty Two Week High Change -22.010002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2646069
Fifty Two Week Low 59.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.0499992
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.034675226
Fifty Two Week Range 59.12 - 83.18
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,182,346,200,000
Float Shares 29,917,810
Forward Eps 5.995
Forward P E 10.203503
Free Cashflow 6,958,250
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 620
Fullday Change -0.8100014
Fullday Change Percent -1.3068755
Fullday Price 61.17
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.30501
Gross Profits 600,654,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08399
Held Percent Institutions 0.83077
Implied Shares Outstanding 43,010,696
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ir Website http://www.bfenergy.com/investment.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,411,516,800
Last Split Factor 1,532:1000
Long Business Summary Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a diversified homebuilding and land development company in the United States. The company engages in the homebuilding process, which includes acquiring and developing land, securing entitlements, designing homes, constructing properties, providing title, mortgage, and insurance agency services, and managing marketing and sales, as well as creating master-planned communities. It also provides financial services platforms, including Green Brick Title, GRBK Mortgage, and Green Brick Insurance. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.
Long Name Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,630,964,224
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_142898861
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 288,457,984
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,890,748,878
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 62.0
Operating Cashflow 117,203,000
Operating Margins 0.19545001
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.15
Phone 469 573 6755
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 61.17
Post Market Time 1,792,184,876
Previous Close 61.98
Price Eps Current Year 9.954434
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.364701
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.3359936
Profit Margins 0.14794
Quick Ratio 0.454
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.810001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.30688
Regular Market Day High 63.0
Regular Market Day Low 60.88
Regular Market Day Range 60.88 - 63.0
Regular Market Open 62.0
Regular Market Previous Close 61.98
Regular Market Price 61.17
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 293,259
Return On Assets 0.094469994
Return On Equity 0.16383
Revenue Growth -0.087
Revenue Per Share 45.486
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 43,010,696
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0544
Shares Short 2,340,765
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,148,931
Short Name Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.094
Short Ratio 5.71
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol GRBK
Target High Price 62.0
Target Low Price 62.0
Target Mean Price 62.0
Target Median Price 62.0
Total Cash 131,642,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.061
Total Debt 291,859,008
Total Revenue 1,969,293,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 6.64
Trailing P E 9.212349
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 69.7581
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.588104
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12311264
Type Disp Equity
Volume 293,259
Website https://www.greenbrickpartners.com
Zip 75,024