Green Plains Inc. (GPRE)Basic Materials | Chemicals | Omaha, United States | NasdaqGS
14.66 USD
+0.62
(4.416%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 14.66 |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:25 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Green Plains is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite reporting a surprise earnings beat, the company has suffered three consecutive years of negative annual returns, culminating in a catastrophic 62% loss of value over the last nine years. This trajectory suggests the market has permanently repriced the business due to deteriorating fundamentals, rendering any 'value' narrative dangerous. The lack of a dividend stream eliminates income support, while the heavy concentration of options bets on deep out-of-the-money puts confirms that the street expects further capitulation. While the low P/E ratio looks attractive on paper, it is a reflection of the company's inability to generate sustainable growth or maintain its market position, making this a high-risk speculative trap rather than a value opportunity. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.058524 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.062257 |
| AutoETS | 0.062257 |
| MSTL | 0.062275 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 0.54 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.391 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.49 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2019-05-22 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2019-05-22 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 63.073 |
| Revenue per Share | 26.382 |
| Market Cap | 1,027,597,504 |
| Trailing P/E | 8.43 |
| Forward P/E | 9.38 |
| Beta | 1.18 |
| Profit Margins | 6.78% |
| Website | https://www.gpreinc.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at $3 and $10) across multiple expirations, indicating a fear of a significant drop to near-zero levels. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes ($19-$20), suggesting a speculative hope for a rebound to previous highs rather than a conviction in immediate upside. The disparity in volume and open interest between the put and call sides highlights a defensive bias among retail traders.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-23 | 0.12 | 0.835655 |
| 2019-02-21 | 0.12 | 0.772698 |
| 2018-11-26 | 0.12 | 0.760938 |
| 2018-08-24 | 0.12 | 0.666667 |
| 2018-05-24 | 0.12 | 0.575540 |
| 2018-02-22 | 0.12 | 0.640000 |
| 2017-11-24 | 0.12 | 0.729483 |
| 2017-08-24 | 0.12 | 0.718563 |
| 2017-05-24 | 0.12 | 0.544218 |
| 2017-02-22 | 0.12 | 0.506329 |
| 2016-11-22 | 0.12 | 0.465116 |
| 2016-08-24 | 0.12 | 0.501253 |
| 2016-05-25 | 0.12 | 0.638638 |
| 2016-02-24 | 0.12 | 0.820793 |
| 2015-11-24 | 0.12 | 0.540054 |
| 2015-08-26 | 0.12 | 0.659703 |
| 2015-05-27 | 0.08 | 0.248524 |
| 2015-02-25 | 0.08 | 0.342027 |
| 2014-11-25 | 0.08 | 0.236827 |
| 2014-08-26 | 0.08 | 0.182607 |
| 2014-05-28 | 0.04 | 0.139616 |
| 2014-02-26 | 0.04 | 0.154739 |
| 2013-11-26 | 0.04 | 0.233508 |
| 2013-09-03 | 0.04 | 0.246761 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.33151686 |
| Address1 | 1,811 Aksarben Drive |
| All Time High | 63.5 |
| All Time Low | 1.12 |
| Ask | 16.63 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,531,880 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,442,285 |
| Average Volume | 1,442,285 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,531,880 |
| Beta | 1.183 |
| Bid | 12.5 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 12.41 |
| City | Omaha |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 14.66 |
| Current Ratio | 1.993 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 14.82 |
| Day Low | 13.425 |
| Debt To Equity | 63.073 |
| Display Name | Green Plains |
| Dividend Date | 1,560,470,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,021,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,021,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,795,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,795,400 |
| Ebitda | 204,078,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.11156 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 6.815 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.76 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,390,758,528 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.01 |
| Eps Forward | 1.5625 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.74 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,558,569,600 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 16.0156 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.3556004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.08464249 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 33.151688 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 19.65 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.99 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.253944 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 8.65 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.01 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.69479775 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 8.65 - 19.65 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,142,433,000,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 2.59 |
| Float Shares | 67,636,384 |
| Forward Eps | 1.5625 |
| Forward P E | 9.3824 |
| Free Cashflow | 32,913,250 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 642 |
| Fullday Change | 0.62 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 4.41595 |
| Fullday Price | 14.66 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.1604 |
| Gross Profits | 293,433,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01845 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.1677899 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 70,095,328 |
| Industry | Chemicals |
| Industry Disp | Chemicals |
| Industry Key | chemicals |
| Ir Website | http://investor.gpreinc.com/ |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,558,569,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.12 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The company produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. It is also involved in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. In addition, the company provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. |
| Long Name | Green Plains Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,027,597,504 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_39558105 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 123,953,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 983,437,451 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 14.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 153,876,992 |
| Operating Margins | 0.15211001 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.16 |
| Phone | 402 884 8700 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 14.66 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,959,805 |
| Previous Close | 14.04 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 7.2935324 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.1813054 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.56172395 |
| Profit Margins | 0.06776 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.269 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.62 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.41595 |
| Regular Market Day High | 14.82 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 13.425 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 13.425 - 14.82 |
| Regular Market Open | 14.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 14.04 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.66 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,340,394 |
| Return On Assets | 0.041479997 |
| Return On Equity | 0.15468 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.193 |
| Revenue Per Share | 26.382 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 70,095,328 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.18270001 |
| Shares Short | 12,805,268 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 13,317,802 |
| Short Name | Green Plains, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2066 |
| Short Ratio | 8.56 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NE |
| Symbol | GPRE |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 10.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 17.85714 |
| Target Median Price | 20.0 |
| Total Cash | 185,384,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.645 |
| Total Debt | 548,633,984 |
| Total Revenue | 1,829,363,968 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.74 |
| Trailing P E | 8.425287 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 14.2036 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.45639992 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.032132693 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,340,394 |
| Website | https://www.gpreinc.com |
| Zip | 68,106 |