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GPGI, Inc. (GPGI)

Industrials | Metal Fabrication | Somerset, United States | NYSE
14.26 USD -0.33 (-2.262%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:58 a.m. EDT

The investment case for GPGI is currently broken by deteriorating fundamentals and a precarious balance sheet. Despite a recent price rally that has lifted the stock nearly 20% from its lows, the company is generating massive negative free cash flow and reporting severe operating losses. The balance sheet is fragile, with a current ratio below 1.0 and a forward P/E that implies a turnaround is priced in despite negative trailing earnings. While the recent price action shows some resilience, the underlying business metrics—specifically the inability to generate cash and the widening losses—suggest the rally may be a temporary relief move rather than a sustainable recovery. The dividend is negligible and likely unsustainable given the cash burn. Investors should view the current price as a speculative bet on a complete operational overhaul rather than a value opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.183282
AutoARIMA0.183285
MSTL_97_1260.183316
MSTL_970.187863
MSTL0.195582
AutoTheta0.198299
MSTL_1260.199528

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 1.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.064
Excess Kurtosis -1.48
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-17
Market Cap 4,133,424,128
Forward P/E 11.15
Beta 0.86
Previous Name CompoSecure, Inc.
Website https://gpgi.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:58 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 10.0 and 12.5) across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of further downside. However, there is notable new volume in far-dated calls (December 20.0 strike) and significant open interest in deep in-the-money calls (July 10.0 strike), indicating some hedging or speculative bets on a recovery to the $15-$17 range. Implied volatility is elevated relative to the underlying price, reflecting uncertainty rather than a clear directional consensus.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.02% 0.04%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-18 0.003000 0.024917
2026-02-13 0.003000 0.012180
2024-05-17 0.249169 4.538570
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.01
dividendYield 0.07
exDividendDate 2026-05-18
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.003
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0002056203
lastDividendValue 0.003
lastDividendDate 2026-05-18
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.016724706
Address1 309 Pierce Street
All Time High 26.78
All Time Low 3.538206
Ask 17.8
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,745,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,777,516
Average Volume 2,777,516
Average Volume10Days 1,745,180
Beta 0.86
Bid 10.85
Bid Size 700
Board Risk 9
Book Value 10.751
City Somerset
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.26
Current Ratio 0.92
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 14.71
Day Low 14.115
Display Name GPGI
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 0.01
Dividend Yield 0.07
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,155,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,155,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda -74,902,248
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -55.097
Enterprise To Revenue 171,955.17
Enterprise Value 4,126,924,288
Eps Current Year 0.95188
Eps Forward 1.27896
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.31
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.7012
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5588007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.040784802
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 1.6724706
Fifty Two Week High 26.78
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.52
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.46751308
Fifty Two Week Low 11.22
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.27094474
Fifty Two Week Range 11.22 - 26.78
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,605,796,200,000
Float Shares 143,571,272
Forward Eps 1.27896
Forward P E 11.149684
Free Cashflow -81,777,128
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 971
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.9583299
Gross Profits 47,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.19818
Held Percent Institutions 0.88537
Implied Shares Outstanding 289,861,445
Industry Metal Fabrication
Industry Disp Metal Fabrication
Industry Key metal-fabrication
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,062,400
Last Dividend Value 0.003
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,740,700,800
Last Split Factor 1,204:1000
Long Business Summary GPGI, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides sustainable injection molding solutions worldwide. The company's CompoSecure business provides metal payment cards, security, and authentication solutions. It offers engineered injection molding equipment and aftermarket tooling and services focuses on developing highly technical precision technologies instrumental in the delivery of food, beverages, medical devices, and other applications including general packaging and closures, thinwall packaging, and consumer products. The company was formerly known as CompoSecure, Inc. and changed its name to GPGI, Inc. in January 2026. GPGI, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Somerset, New Jersey.
Long Name GPGI, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,133,424,128
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_133548381
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -392,504,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,229,078,482
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 14.42
Operating Cashflow -78,482,000
Operating Margins -3,138.7915
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 908 518 0500
Pre Market Change 0.029999733
Pre Market Change Percent 0.2103768
Pre Market Price 14.29
Pre Market Time 1,784,018,140
Prev Name CompoSecure, Inc.
Previous Close 14.59
Price Eps Current Year 14.980881
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.3263882
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 172,226.0
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.747
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.33
Regular Market Change Percent -2.26182
Regular Market Day High 14.71
Regular Market Day Low 14.115
Regular Market Day Range 14.115 - 14.71
Regular Market Open 14.42
Regular Market Previous Close 14.59
Regular Market Price 14.26
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 1,164,385
Return On Assets -0.025409998
Return On Equity -0.25917
Revenue Per Share 0.0
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 289,861,445
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.114300005
Shares Short 33,119,039
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 35,286,634
Short Name GPGI, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2165
Short Ratio 16.56
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol GPGI
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 20.0
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 6,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.022
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 24,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.003
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0002056203
Trailing Eps -2.31
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.6014
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.3414
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23339103
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,164,385
Website https://gpgi.com
Zip 8,873