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GPGI, Inc. (GPGI)

Industrials | Metal Fabrication | Somerset, United States | NYSE
12.46 USD -0.26 (-2.044%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:31 a.m. EDT

This is a distressed asset with no fundamental floor. The company is burning cash aggressively, reporting negative operating margins of -3,422% and negative free cash flow of nearly $92 million. The balance sheet is deteriorating with negative ROE and assets, while the market has priced in a severe re-rating, trading at a forward P/E of roughly 10 despite negative trailing earnings. The presence of class-action lawsuits regarding securities fraud adds legal overhang and regulatory risk. While the short-term rating sits at 2.0 due to the potential for a short squeeze given the 14.7x short ratio and heavy put positioning, the long-term outlook is catastrophic (0.5 stars) because the business model appears broken with no path to profitability visible. The dividend is a token 0.08% yield that offers no real income relative to the risk of total capital loss. Investors should view this as a speculative lottery ticket rather than an investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.086209
AutoETS0.087582
AutoARIMA0.087850
AutoTheta0.097721

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 5.20
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.657
Excess Kurtosis -0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Market Cap 3,612,030,464
Forward P/E 9.90
Beta 0.91
Previous Name CompoSecure, Inc.
Website https://gpgi.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:31 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $17.50 and $20.00) compared to negligible call volume at those levels. While there is some call activity at lower strikes ($10.00), the overwhelming capital deployment is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus expectation of further price weakness or a 'short squeeze' scenario where bears are hedging against a collapse. Implied volatility is elevated on deep OTM puts, indicating fear of significant downside moves.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.02% 0.06% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.003000 0.022745
2026-05-18 0.003000 0.024917
2026-02-13 0.003000 0.012180
2024-05-17 0.249169 4.538570
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.08
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.005
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.00039308175
lastDividendValue 0.003
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-09-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3590535
Address1 309 Pierce Street
All Time High 26.78
All Time Low 3.538206
Ask 13.25
Ask Size 3,700
Audit Risk 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,423,960
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,527,328
Average Volume 1,527,328
Average Volume10Days 1,423,960
Beta 0.912
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 9
Book Value 10.943
City Somerset
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.46
Current Ratio 1.139
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 12.57
Day Low 12.15
Display Name GPGI
Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Dividend Yield 0.08
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,017,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,017,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,709,000
Ebitda -81,296,496
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -44.336
Enterprise To Revenue 150,180.44
Enterprise Value 3,604,330,496
Eps Current Year 0.99255
Eps Forward 1.25799
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.73
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.9912
Fifty Day Average Change -0.5312004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.04088925
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -35.90535
Fifty Two Week High 26.78
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.320001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5347274
Fifty Two Week Low 11.165
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2950001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.115987465
Fifty Two Week Range 11.165 - 26.78
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,605,796,200,000
Float Shares 141,779,441
Forward Eps 1.25799
Forward P E 9.904689
Free Cashflow -91,878,128
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 971
Fullday Change 0.03999996
Fullday Change Percent 0.3154571
Fullday Price 12.46
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 1.9583299
Gross Profits 47,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.19747
Held Percent Institutions 0.96023005
Implied Shares Outstanding 289,890,082
Industry Metal Fabrication
Industry Disp Metal Fabrication
Industry Key metal-fabrication
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.003
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,740,700,800
Last Split Factor 1,204:1000
Long Business Summary GPGI, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides sustainable injection molding solutions worldwide. The company's CompoSecure business provides metal payment cards, security, and authentication solutions. It offers engineered injection molding equipment and aftermarket tooling and services focuses on developing highly technical precision technologies instrumental in the delivery of food, beverages, medical devices, and other applications including general packaging and closures, thinwall packaging, and consumer products. The company was formerly known as CompoSecure, Inc. and changed its name to GPGI, Inc. in January 2026. GPGI, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Somerset, New Jersey.
Long Name GPGI, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,612,030,464
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_133548381
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-15
Net Income To Common -316,104,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,490,276,587
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 12.46
Operating Cashflow -69,882,000
Operating Margins -3,422.125
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 908 518 0500
Prev Name CompoSecure, Inc.
Previous Close 12.72
Price Eps Current Year 12.553524
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1386274
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 150,501.27
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.979
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.26
Regular Market Change Percent -2.04403
Regular Market Day High 12.57
Regular Market Day Low 12.15
Regular Market Day Range 12.15 - 12.57
Regular Market Open 12.46
Regular Market Previous Close 12.72
Regular Market Price 12.46
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,003
Regular Market Volume 1,568,266
Return On Assets -0.02716
Return On Equity -0.20621
Revenue Per Share 0.0
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 289,890,082
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0963
Shares Short 27,927,074
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 28,675,923
Short Name GPGI, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1825
Short Ratio 15.31
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol GPGI
Target High Price 15.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 15.0
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 7,700,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.027
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 24,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.005
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.00039308175
Trailing Eps -1.73
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.35825
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.8982496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23830481
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,568,266
Website https://gpgi.com
Zip 8,873