iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ)Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
35.03 USD
+0.07
(0.200%)
⇧
(July 15, 2026, 10:19 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT
The long-term outlook is dire, driven by a brutal four-year price collapse where the asset has lost more than half its value (-57%) with zero positive annual returns. This is not a temporary dip but a structural deterioration confirmed by the market, likely due to the relentless rise in interest rates crushing the value of these ultra-long-duration strips. While the headline yield of 5% looks attractive, it is a trap; the payout is insufficient to offset the massive capital destruction occurring in the share price. The recent price action shows the asset struggling to find a floor, trading well below its moving averages. On the short end, the sentiment is purely defensive. Options data reveals a heavy concentration of put buyers betting on further weakness, while call writers are essentially sitting on their hands. The statistical forecast also leans negative, reinforcing the view that the trend is still down. Investors seeking income here are likely facing a 'value trap' where the high yield is merely compensation for holding a depreciating asset. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.017661 |
| AutoTheta | 0.020201 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.020783 |
| MSTL | 0.023662 |
| AutoETS | 0.026348 |
| MSTL_90_126 | 0.026683 |
| MSTL_90 | 0.028041 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 50% |
| H-stat | 5.13 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.550 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.26 |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioned for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in August and November. Call activity is virtually non-existent, indicating a lack of bullish conviction despite the high yield. Implied volatility remains elevated for near-term strikes, reflecting fear of further price declines.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42% | 4.99% | 4.52% | 3.88% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 0.151 | 0.418167 |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.171 | 0.476323 |
| 2026-05-01 | 0.152 | 0.423163 |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.156 | 0.427632 |
| 2026-03-02 | 0.144 | 0.373638 |
| 2026-02-02 | 0.160 | 0.439078 |
| 2025-12-19 | 0.156 | 0.418006 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.148 | 0.386020 |
| 2025-11-03 | 0.164 | 0.418367 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.144 | 0.370752 |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.152 | 0.422927 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.156 | 0.411392 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.152 | 0.395010 |
| 2025-06-02 | 0.156 | 0.429515 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.156 | 0.399386 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.160 | 0.385356 |
| 2025-03-03 | 0.148 | 0.346442 |
| 2025-02-03 | 0.152 | 0.383451 |
| 2024-12-18 | 0.164 | 0.397672 |
| 2024-12-02 | 0.156 | 0.349776 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.160 | 0.377003 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.164 | 0.344538 |
| 2024-09-03 | 0.152 | 0.321082 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.144 | 0.318021 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.148 | 0.353728 |
| 2024-06-03 | 0.152 | 0.354147 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.152 | 0.371820 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.180 | 0.409836 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.128 | 0.281690 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.148 | 0.308462 |
| 2023-12-14 | 0.164 | 0.331984 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.152 | 0.339286 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.148 | 0.380658 |
| 2023-10-02 | 0.144 | 0.353982 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.156 | 0.334477 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.152 | 0.308191 |
| 2023-07-03 | 0.156 | 0.297256 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.156 | 0.297596 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.156 | 0.297483 |
| 2023-04-03 | 0.176 | 0.318610 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.168 | 0.325834 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.164 | 0.288732 |
| 2022-12-15 | 0.148 | 0.256766 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.156 | 0.281385 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.160 | 0.327869 |
| 2022-10-03 | 0.148 | 0.272339 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.156 | 0.265487 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.156 | 0.236077 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.148 | 0.234623 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.164 | 0.258186 |
| 2022-05-02 | 0.192 | 0.296846 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.156 | 0.202703 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.140 | 0.168334 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.152 | 0.181540 |
| 2021-12-16 | 0.180 | 0.202020 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.148 | 0.160381 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.152 | 0.174152 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.148 | 0.173807 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.148 | 0.168335 |
| 2021-08-02 | 0.144 | 0.161363 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.112 | 0.133245 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.040 | 0.050723 |
| 2021-05-03 | 0.128 | 0.162354 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.124 | 0.158665 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.112 | 0.139651 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.120 | 0.133929 |
| 2020-12-17 | 0.120 | 0.128025 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.120 | 0.127297 |
| 2020-11-02 | 0.128 | 0.134573 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 100.78 |
| All Time Low | 11.775 |
| Ask | 35.02 |
| Ask Size | 6,300 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 171,080 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 251,121 |
| Average Volume | 251,121 |
| Average Volume10Days | 171,080 |
| Beta3 Year | 3.68 |
| Bid | 35.01 |
| Bid Size | 1,700 |
| Category | Long Government |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 35.035 |
| Day Low | 34.915 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.08 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | BTS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 35.8745 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.84949875 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.023679737 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -3.2253623 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 41.02 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.994999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.14614819 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 34.0 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.0250015 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.030147104 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 34.0 - 41.02 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,601,040,600,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | -0.1322559 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe US |
| Fund Family | iShares |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,600,732,800 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the index. |
| Long Name | iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_677065693 |
| Nav Price | 34.89937 |
| Net Assets | 274,920,000.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.1 |
| Open | 34.91 |
| Phone | 415-670-2000 |
| Previous Close | 34.955 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.069999695 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.20025659 |
| Regular Market Day High | 35.035 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 34.915 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 34.915 - 35.035 |
| Regular Market Open | 34.91 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 34.955 |
| Regular Market Price | 35.025 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,125,147 |
| Regular Market Volume | 64,178 |
| Short Name | iShares 25 Year Treasury STRIP |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | GOVZ |
| Three Year Average Return | -0.0811862 |
| Total Assets | 274,920,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 1.10136 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 1.10136 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 37.429226 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.4042244 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.06423388 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 64,178 |
| Yield | 0.0508 |
| Ytd Return | 1.12913 |