iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT)Intermediate Government | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
22.46 USD
-0.07
(-0.311%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 22.44 -0.02 (-0.025%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:59 a.m. EDT
The iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT) presents a classic defensive dilemma: it offers a robust income floor but lacks the capital appreciation engine required for a top-tier long-term hold. The trailing twelve-month performance shows a slight decline, yet the underlying business—U.S. government debt—is fundamentally sound, preventing a downgrade despite the recent price weakness. The 3.63% dividend yield is a standout feature, providing a cushion that outpaces inflation and offering a reliable cash flow that makes it a staple for retirees rather than a growth vehicle. However, the short-term outlook is murky. While the statistical forecast model signals a negligible downward drift over the next 45 days, the options market tells a different story. The heavy concentration of put orders at the $23 strike for year-end suggests institutional hedging against a potential bond market correction or a resurgence in yields. This defensive positioning creates a ceiling on upside momentum, keeping the short-term rating neutral. Investors should view this not as a buy signal, but as a tactical hold for income preservation, waiting for a clearer trend in interest rates before committing fresh capital. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.011575 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.012158 |
| AutoETS | 0.012598 |
| MSTL | 0.013405 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 72% |
| H-stat | 3.32 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.92 |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the $23 strike for the December expiration, creating a significant wall of resistance against further downside. Conversely, call interest is concentrated at the $23 strike, suggesting a 'straddle' or 'strangle' bias where traders expect volatility but lack a strong directional conviction for a rally. The massive implied volatility spike in the March 2027 puts indicates deep-term fear of a yield curve inversion or recession scenario, while near-term IV remains low, reflecting complacency about immediate moves.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33% | 3.58% | 3.34% | 2.72% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 0.073 | 0.325747 |
| 2026-07-01 | 0.068 | 0.300221 |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.071 | 0.312913 |
| 2026-05-01 | 0.069 | 0.302897 |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.068 | 0.297854 |
| 2026-03-02 | 0.064 | 0.275862 |
| 2026-02-02 | 0.069 | 0.300916 |
| 2025-12-19 | 0.072 | 0.312771 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.068 | 0.294245 |
| 2025-11-03 | 0.064 | 0.276817 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.065 | 0.281385 |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.068 | 0.297333 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.068 | 0.296296 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.066 | 0.288336 |
| 2025-06-02 | 0.068 | 0.300619 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.064 | 0.279354 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.071 | 0.309099 |
| 2025-03-03 | 0.061 | 0.265333 |
| 2025-02-03 | 0.067 | 0.297381 |
| 2024-12-18 | 0.065 | 0.289017 |
| 2024-12-02 | 0.063 | 0.275109 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.063 | 0.277900 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.062 | 0.264392 |
| 2024-09-03 | 0.063 | 0.270502 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.062 | 0.269097 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.061 | 0.272565 |
| 2024-06-03 | 0.059 | 0.262572 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.060 | 0.270758 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.058 | 0.257663 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.053 | 0.233686 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.053 | 0.229636 |
| 2023-12-14 | 0.061 | 0.265564 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.055 | 0.243902 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.057 | 0.260870 |
| 2023-10-02 | 0.049 | 0.223949 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.053 | 0.236080 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.060 | 0.265369 |
| 2023-07-03 | 0.051 | 0.223586 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.050 | 0.216076 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.049 | 0.211298 |
| 2023-04-03 | 0.043 | 0.183682 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.040 | 0.176991 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.044 | 0.187874 |
| 2022-12-15 | 0.037 | 0.159003 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.047 | 0.203112 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.050 | 0.223414 |
| 2022-10-03 | 0.039 | 0.170380 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.036 | 0.153584 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.037 | 0.151888 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.031 | 0.128791 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.027 | 0.112313 |
| 2022-05-02 | 0.026 | 0.108469 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.026 | 0.104754 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.022 | 0.084844 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.023 | 0.088769 |
| 2021-12-16 | 0.024 | 0.090464 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.022 | 0.082490 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.021 | 0.079485 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.021 | 0.079007 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.023 | 0.085789 |
| 2021-08-02 | 0.023 | 0.085312 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.021 | 0.079156 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.022 | 0.083523 |
| 2021-05-03 | 0.020 | 0.075901 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.019 | 0.072381 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.019 | 0.071698 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.021 | 0.077434 |
| 2020-12-17 | 0.021 | 0.076867 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.262 | 0.958653 |
| 2020-11-02 | 0.022 | 0.079595 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.023 | 0.082349 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.026 | 0.092990 |
| 2020-08-03 | 0.027 | 0.095643 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.029 | 0.103831 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.032 | 0.114613 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.033 | 0.117563 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.037 | 0.131673 |
| 2020-03-02 | 0.037 | 0.136380 |
| 2020-02-03 | 0.041 | 0.154542 |
| 2019-12-19 | 0.040 | 0.154381 |
| 2019-12-02 | 0.040 | 0.153610 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.041 | 0.156429 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.041 | 0.155598 |
| 2019-09-03 | 0.043 | 0.161715 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.042 | 0.162037 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.041 | 0.159285 |
| 2019-06-03 | 0.046 | 0.178919 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.045 | 0.179569 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.046 | 0.183633 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.042 | 0.170178 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.046 | 0.185559 |
| 2018-12-18 | 0.040 | 0.162536 |
| 2018-12-03 | 0.044 | 0.180698 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.044 | 0.181969 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.041 | 0.169072 |
| 2018-09-04 | 0.043 | 0.175296 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.043 | 0.176374 |
| 2018-07-02 | 0.039 | 0.158859 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.043 | 0.175439 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.039 | 0.159902 |
| 2018-04-02 | 0.038 | 0.153846 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.035 | 0.142392 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.037 | 0.150284 |
| 2017-12-21 | 0.036 | 0.144115 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.035 | 0.139165 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.036 | 0.143198 |
| 2017-10-02 | 0.034 | 0.135028 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.035 | 0.137687 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.035 | 0.138395 |
| 2017-07-03 | 0.033 | 0.131056 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.034 | 0.134440 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.033 | 0.131317 |
| 2017-04-03 | 0.030 | 0.119522 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.028 | 0.112405 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.025 | 0.100200 |
| 2016-12-22 | 0.024 | 0.096735 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.028 | 0.112405 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.029 | 0.112665 |
| 2016-10-03 | 0.028 | 0.107610 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.029 | 0.111026 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.030 | 0.114460 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.030 | 0.114068 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.032 | 0.124708 |
| 2016-05-02 | 0.030 | 0.117005 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.030 | 0.117601 |
| 2015-12-24 | 0.028 | 0.111509 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.028 | 0.111023 |
| 2015-11-02 | 0.029 | 0.115034 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.028 | 0.110149 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.028 | 0.110979 |
| 2015-08-03 | 0.028 | 0.110716 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.026 | 0.104334 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.020 | 0.079460 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.020 | 0.079177 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.025 | 0.097656 |
| 2015-03-02 | 0.023 | 0.091089 |
| 2015-02-02 | 0.029 | 0.112403 |
| 2014-12-24 | 0.026 | 0.103751 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.027 | 0.107441 |
| 2014-11-03 | 0.027 | 0.108043 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.023 | 0.092369 |
| 2014-09-02 | 0.025 | 0.100523 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.025 | 0.100806 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.025 | 0.101051 |
| 2014-06-02 | 0.023 | 0.092667 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.025 | 0.101297 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.024 | 0.097959 |
| 2014-03-03 | 0.021 | 0.085124 |
| 2014-02-03 | 0.023 | 0.093193 |
| 2013-12-26 | 0.022 | 0.090610 |
| 2013-12-02 | 0.020 | 0.081733 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.021 | 0.085435 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.018 | 0.073529 |
| 2013-09-03 | 0.017 | 0.070045 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.018 | 0.073770 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.015 | 0.061050 |
| 2013-06-03 | 0.016 | 0.064335 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.026 | 0.102524 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.020 | 0.079650 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.017 | 0.067675 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.019 | 0.076244 |
| 2012-12-26 | 0.016 | 0.063517 |
| 2012-12-03 | 0.033 | 0.130229 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.019 | 0.074951 |
| 2012-09-04 | 0.020 | 0.078678 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.021 | 0.082515 |
| 2012-07-02 | 0.020 | 0.078927 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.019 | 0.074451 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.020 | 0.080386 |
| 2012-04-02 | 0.015 | 0.060827 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 28.54 |
| All Time Low | 21.59 |
| Ask | 22.55 |
| Ask Size | 351,100 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 22,313,170 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 10,243,355 |
| Average Volume | 10,243,355 |
| Average Volume10Days | 22,313,170 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.87 |
| Bid | 22.46 |
| Bid Size | 220,600 |
| Category | Intermediate Government |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 22.55 |
| Day Low | 22.46 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.63 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | BTS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 22.566 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.1060009 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.004697372 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -1.7927408 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 23.39 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.9300003 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.039760597 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 22.4 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.059999466 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.0026785475 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 22.4 - 23.39 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,330,093,800,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | -0.0077456 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe US |
| Fullday Change | -0.0700016 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.310704 |
| Fullday Price | 22.435 |
| Fund Family | iShares |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,329,177,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than one year and less than or equal to thirty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value. |
| Long Name | iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_170834319 |
| Nav Price | 22.52278 |
| Net Assets | 43,550,478,000.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.05 |
| Open | 22.53 |
| Phone | 415-670-2000 |
| Post Market Change | -0.024999619 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.1113073 |
| Post Market Price | 22.435 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,351 |
| Previous Close | 22.53 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0700016 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.310704 |
| Regular Market Day High | 22.55 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 22.46 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 22.46 - 22.55 |
| Regular Market Open | 22.53 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 22.53 |
| Regular Market Price | 22.46 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 11,237,518 |
| Short Name | iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | GOVT |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.0358492 |
| Total Assets | 43,550,478,336 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -0.73218 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -0.73218 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 22.865 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.4050007 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.017712692 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 11,237,518 |
| Yield | 0.0363 |
| Ytd Return | -0.71296 |