Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS)Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Manufacturing | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
9.56 USD
-0.10
(-1.035%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 9.50 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 6:54 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:59 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Canada Goose is currently broken by a severe disconnect between its valuation and reality. While the forward P/E looks attractive at roughly 11x, this is a classic value trap; the stock has delivered a cumulative loss of nearly 27% over the last eight years, reflecting a market that has permanently downgraded the brand's growth prospects. Fundamentals are weak, with a meager 4.7% return on equity and a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 125%, signaling significant financial stress. The lack of any dividend history confirms the company is in a survival mode rather than a growth phase. Although the recent year-over-year price action shows a slight uptick, the broader trajectory remains deeply bearish. Options data reinforces this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying protection against further declines while offering very little upside exposure. Until there is concrete evidence of a turnaround in revenue growth or a deleveraging of the balance sheet, this remains a high-risk situation where the cheap price is simply the market pricing in continued deterioration. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.102405 |
| MSTL_90 | 0.106642 |
| AutoETS | 0.117317 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.117378 |
| MSTL | 0.124289 |
| MSTL_90_126 | 0.134414 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.147573 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 32% |
| H-stat | 17.77 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.029 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.15 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 125.072 |
| Revenue per Share | 15.746 |
| Market Cap | 933,645,824 |
| Trailing P/E | 59.75 |
| Forward P/E | 11.30 |
| Beta | 1.76 |
| Profit Margins | 1.47% |
| Website | https://www.canadagoose.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated near the current price ($9.50-$10.00) and slightly out-of-the-money strikes ($11.00-$12.00). Call activity is sparse, with notable open interest at distant strikes ($15.00-$17.00) suggesting speculative hopes for a recovery, but the immediate bias is clearly bearish. Implied volatility is elevated on near-term puts relative to calls, indicating fear of further downside.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.29847497 |
| Address1 | 100 Queens Quay East |
| Address2 | Floor 22 |
| All Time High | 72.27 |
| All Time Low | 6.73 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 800 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 457,870 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 571,118 |
| Average Volume | 571,118 |
| Average Volume10Days | 457,870 |
| Beta | 1.763 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | 4.4204254 |
| City | Toronto |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 9.56 |
| Current Ratio | 2.628 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 9.86 |
| Day Low | 9.505 |
| Debt To Equity | 125.072 |
| Display Name | Canada Goose |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,761,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,761,800 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.03 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.037 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,761,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,019,400 |
| Ebitda | 191,700,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.12544 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 6.912 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.867 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,325,081,728 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.76022 |
| Eps Forward | 0.84633 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.16 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.0854 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.5253992 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.05209503 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -29.847496 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 15.425 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.865 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.38022688 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 9.165 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.39500046 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.043098796 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 9.165 - 15.425 |
| Financial Currency | CAD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,489,671,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 41,224,338 |
| Forward Eps | 0.84633 |
| Forward P E | 11.295831 |
| Free Cashflow | 192,675,008 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.69723 |
| Gross Profits | 1,065,500,032 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.16216 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.6315 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 97,661,700 |
| Industry | Apparel Manufacturing |
| Industry Disp | Apparel Manufacturing |
| Industry Key | apparel-manufacturing |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,774,742,400 |
| Long Business Summary | Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including rain and everyday collections, jackets for everyday occasions, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. |
| Long Name | Canada Goose Holdings Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 933,645,824 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_53307868 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,742,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 22,500,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,806,278,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 943,116,085 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 9.73 |
| Operating Cashflow | 191,900,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.27552998 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 416 780 9850 |
| Post Market Change | -0.06000042 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.62761945 |
| Post Market Price | 9.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,983,280 |
| Previous Close | 9.66 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 12.575308 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.1626878 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.6109448 |
| Profit Margins | 0.01472 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.456 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0999994 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.03519 |
| Regular Market Day High | 9.86 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 9.505 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 9.505 - 9.86 |
| Regular Market Open | 9.73 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 9.66 |
| Regular Market Price | 9.56 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 796,423 |
| Return On Assets | 0.05495 |
| Return On Equity | 0.04694 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.179 |
| Revenue Per Share | 15.746 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 46,657,624 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.036199998 |
| Shares Short | 3,534,282 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,861,279 |
| Short Name | Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0867 |
| Short Ratio | 5.6 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | ON |
| Symbol | GOOS |
| Target High Price | 13.0 |
| Target Low Price | 7.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.5 |
| Target Median Price | 9.0 |
| Total Cash | 408,200,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 4.202 |
| Total Debt | 785,200,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,528,199,936 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.16 |
| Trailing P E | 59.750004 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.93855 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.3785496 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.1992327 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 796,423 |
| Website | https://www.canadagoose.com |
| Zip | M5E 1V3 |