Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO)Consumer Defensive | Grocery Stores | EmeryVille, United States | NasdaqGS
12.17 USD
+0.47
(4.017%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 12.16 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:43 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:12 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Grocery Outlet is currently broken by a severe lack of profitability and a precarious balance sheet. The company is generating negative free cash flow and has a negative return on equity, while carrying debt that is nearly 23 times its equity. Although the stock has recently rallied off its lows, the underlying business fundamentals remain deteriorated with shrinking margins and no dividend to provide income. The options market confirms this distress, with traders aggressively buying cheap insurance against further declines rather than betting on a turnaround. Until the company demonstrates a path to consistent profitability and deleveraging, the risk of permanent capital loss outweighs the speculative upside. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.071217 |
| AutoETS | 0.079840 |
| MSTL | 0.080231 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.080897 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 10.09 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.221 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.64 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 226.658 |
| Revenue per Share | 48.175 |
| Market Cap | 1,205,858,304 |
| Forward P/E | 18.08 |
| Beta | 0.68 |
| Profit Margins | -8.04% |
| Website | https://www.groceryoutlet.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 5.0 and 6.0) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some aggressive buying of deep in-the-money calls (strike 1.0), the overwhelming capital deployment is in put options, suggesting a fear of further price collapse rather than a bullish bet on recovery.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.34780276 |
| Address1 | 5,650 Hollis Street |
| All Time High | 48.87 |
| All Time Low | 5.655 |
| Ask | 12.23 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.1 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,632,470 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,601,425 |
| Average Volume | 2,601,425 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,632,470 |
| Beta | 0.682 |
| Bid | 12.19 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 8.241 |
| City | EmeryVille |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 12.17 |
| Current Ratio | 1.291 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 12.435 |
| Day Low | 11.7471 |
| Debt To Equity | 226.658 |
| Display Name | Grocery Outlet Holding |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.136 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.134 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,736,000 |
| Ebitda | 203,114,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.04283 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 14.684 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.629 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,982,531,328 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.54506 |
| Eps Forward | 0.67296 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -4.03 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.1309 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 2.0390997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.20127527 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -34.780277 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.79 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.620001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3523151 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.655 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.515 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.1520778 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.655 - 18.79 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,561,037,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 87,786,878 |
| Forward Eps | 0.67296 |
| Forward P E | 18.084286 |
| Free Cashflow | -44,593,500 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 1,642 |
| Fullday Change | 0.47 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 4.0171 |
| Fullday Price | 12.16 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.29985002 |
| Gross Profits | 1,422,072,064 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0612 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.21896 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 99,084,492 |
| Industry | Grocery Stores |
| Industry Disp | Grocery Stores |
| Industry Key | grocery-stores |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,398,400 |
| Long Business Summary | Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates as a retailer of consumables and fresh products sold through independently operated stores in the United States. It offers perishable department products, including dairy and deli; produce and floral; and meat and seafood. The company also provides non-perishable department products, such as non-perishable grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. It operates stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Maryland, Nevada, North Carolina, New Jersey, Georgia, Ohio, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky, and Virginia. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California. |
| Long Name | Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,205,858,304 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1600081 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,783,123,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -381,252,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,934,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,160,279,401 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 13 |
| Open | 11.82 |
| Operating Cashflow | 185,278,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.01777 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 510 845 1999 |
| Post Market Change | -0.010000229 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.08217115 |
| Post Market Price | 12.16 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,960,604 |
| Previous Close | 11.7 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 22.327818 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.4767625 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.25426444 |
| Profit Margins | -0.08039 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.222 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.14286 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.47 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.0171 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.435 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 11.7471 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 11.7471 - 12.435 |
| Regular Market Open | 11.82 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 11.7 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.17 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,990,896 |
| Return On Assets | 0.013990001 |
| Return On Equity | -0.3806 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.011 |
| Revenue Per Share | 48.175 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 99,084,492 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2471 |
| Shares Short | 24,482,709 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 21,447,384 |
| Short Name | Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.38189998 |
| Short Ratio | 9.24 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | GO |
| Target High Price | 12.5 |
| Target Low Price | 6.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 10.73077 |
| Target Median Price | 11.0 |
| Total Cash | 74,199,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.749 |
| Total Debt | 1,850,872,064 |
| Total Revenue | 4,742,536,192 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -4.03 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 9.229525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.9404755 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.31859446 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,990,896 |
| Website | https://www.groceryoutlet.com |
| Zip | 94,608 |