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iShares GNMA Bond ETF (GNMA)

Government Mortgage-Backed Bond | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
43.60 USD -0.13 (-0.302%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 43.60

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:08 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook remains flat due to the asset's nature as a mortgage-backed bond ETF, which tracks interest rates rather than corporate earnings momentum. While the statistical model detects a tight, high-confidence upward drift over the next 45 days, this is likely a mean-reversion artifact of the bond market rather than a fundamental breakout, keeping the short-term view neutral. The long-term picture is significantly more concerning; despite a recent recovery in price, the underlying business has suffered six out of nine years of negative annual returns, with the most recent year also showing a decline. This persistent multi-year drag suggests the market continues to discount the asset's future cash flows heavily, capping the long-term rating well below neutral. However, the income story is compelling: the distribution has stabilized and grown from roughly $0.08 in early 2022 to over $0.16 recently, offering a robust 4.3% yield that provides a necessary floor for investors willing to tolerate the equity-like volatility of the sector.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.014266
AutoETS0.015036
AutoARIMA0.015145
MSTL0.016276

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 72%
H-stat 3.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.005
Excess Kurtosis 1.04

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.37% 4.23% 4.12% 3.25%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-03 0.162 0.373530
2026-07-01 0.158 0.359173
2026-06-01 0.154 0.349365
2026-05-01 0.155 0.349966
2026-04-01 0.152 0.343270
2026-03-02 0.152 0.337778
2026-02-02 0.157 0.352334
2025-12-19 0.158 0.355216
2025-12-01 0.155 0.348628
2025-11-03 0.153 0.343897
2025-10-01 0.158 0.356016
2025-09-02 0.160 0.364714
2025-08-01 0.157 0.358857
2025-07-01 0.155 0.354043
2025-06-02 0.152 0.352341
2025-05-01 0.155 0.355749
2025-04-01 0.153 0.348996
2025-03-03 0.151 0.343885
2025-02-03 0.157 0.365371
2024-12-18 0.149 0.347887
2024-12-02 0.140 0.320293
2024-11-01 0.147 0.340120
2024-10-01 0.149 0.333035
2024-09-03 0.150 0.336172
2024-08-01 0.147 0.333333
2024-07-01 0.150 0.351453
2024-06-03 0.149 0.347319
2024-05-01 0.142 0.336493
2024-04-01 0.163 0.379158
2024-03-01 0.145 0.335493
2024-02-01 0.149 0.337562
2023-12-14 0.130 0.295052
2023-12-01 0.140 0.324751
2023-11-01 0.122 0.295973
2023-10-02 0.130 0.315304
2023-09-01 0.130 0.303172
2023-08-01 0.131 0.302960
2023-07-03 0.121 0.277015
2023-06-01 0.120 0.271924
2023-05-01 0.124 0.282524
2023-04-03 0.124 0.278464
2023-03-01 0.121 0.279769
2023-02-01 0.124 0.274397
2022-12-29 0.015 0.034294
2022-12-15 0.090 0.201297
2022-12-01 0.080 0.180546
2022-11-01 0.090 0.210822
2022-10-03 0.084 0.194130
2022-09-01 0.082 0.181536
2022-08-01 0.076 0.161565
2022-07-01 0.069 0.150491
2022-06-01 0.066 0.142795
2022-05-02 0.066 0.144105
2022-04-01 0.085 0.179174
2022-03-01 0.040 0.081549
2022-02-01 0.031 0.063214
2021-12-16 0.004 0.008034
2021-12-01 0.006 0.012060
2021-05-03 0.067 0.133148
2021-04-01 0.078 0.155100
2021-03-01 0.081 0.160523
2021-02-01 0.080 0.157356
2020-12-01 0.081 0.159261
2020-11-02 0.089 0.174990
2020-10-01 0.081 0.158730
2020-09-01 0.079 0.154478
2020-08-03 0.077 0.150303
2020-07-01 0.085 0.165434
2020-06-01 0.082 0.159223
2020-05-01 0.090 0.174351
2020-04-01 0.099 0.192795
2020-03-02 0.099 0.196117
2020-02-03 0.101 0.201195
2019-12-19 0.028 0.055899
2019-12-02 0.092 0.183230
2019-11-01 0.098 0.194676
2019-10-01 0.108 0.214840
2019-09-03 0.111 0.220151
2019-08-01 0.120 0.238758
2019-07-01 0.120 0.240000
2019-06-03 0.130 0.261569
2019-05-01 0.125 0.254323
2019-04-01 0.132 0.268293
2019-03-01 0.122 0.250154
2019-02-01 0.127 0.260033
2018-12-03 0.124 0.258603
2018-11-01 0.129 0.271008
2018-10-01 0.120 0.249688
2018-09-04 0.112 0.231932
2018-08-01 0.102 0.210744
2018-07-02 0.094 0.194175
2018-06-01 0.096 0.198799
2018-05-01 0.106 0.219689
2018-04-02 0.102 0.210439
2018-03-01 0.092 0.190083
2018-02-01 0.097 0.199220
2017-12-01 0.107 0.215943
2017-11-01 0.107 0.215205
2017-10-02 0.098 0.196708
2017-09-01 0.104 0.208668
2017-08-01 0.103 0.206994
2017-07-03 0.100 0.202061
2017-06-01 0.102 0.204122
2017-05-01 0.094 0.189249
2017-04-03 0.089 0.179147
2017-03-01 0.082 0.165489
2017-02-01 0.074 0.149103
2016-12-22 0.040 0.080955
2016-12-01 0.209 0.420016
2016-11-01 0.072 0.141649
2016-10-03 0.066 0.129564
2016-09-01 0.069 0.135587
2016-08-01 0.065 0.127426
2016-07-01 0.068 0.133490
2016-06-01 0.071 0.139626
2016-05-02 0.079 0.155788
2016-02-01 0.060 0.118671
2015-12-24 0.042 0.083849
2015-12-01 0.066 0.131343
2015-11-02 0.061 0.121272
2015-08-03 0.063 0.125598
2015-07-01 0.068 0.136931
2015-05-01 0.075 0.148898
2015-03-02 0.059 0.117366
2015-02-02 0.035 0.069225
2014-12-24 0.205 0.409345
2014-12-01 0.060 0.118977
2014-11-03 0.049 0.097474
2014-10-01 0.025 0.049940
2014-09-02 0.026 0.052293
2014-08-01 0.034 0.068328
2014-07-01 0.039 0.078329
2014-06-02 0.035 0.070980
2014-05-01 0.039 0.079140
2014-04-01 0.036 0.073590
2014-03-03 0.039 0.079011
2014-02-03 0.030 0.061025
2013-12-26 0.077 0.159420
2013-12-02 0.036 0.074396
2013-11-01 0.039 0.079967
2013-10-01 0.052 0.106101
2013-09-03 0.023 0.048503
2013-08-01 0.029 0.060873
2013-07-01 0.048 0.099482
2013-06-03 0.053 0.107965
2013-05-01 0.047 0.094245
2013-04-01 0.048 0.096308
2013-03-01 0.028 0.055944
2013-02-01 0.031 0.062137
2012-12-26 0.032 0.063949
2012-12-03 0.027 0.053529
2012-11-01 0.020 0.039526
2012-10-01 0.020 0.039448
2012-09-04 0.025 0.049251
2012-08-01 0.081 0.159167
2012-07-02 0.524 1.034551
2012-06-01 0.052 0.103032
2012-05-01 0.052 0.103751
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendDate 2017-02-07
dividendYield 4.3

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 57.0
All Time Low 40.33
Ask 56.32
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 19,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 33,284
Average Volume 33,284
Average Volume10Days 19,300
Beta3 Year 1.08
Bid 31.17
Bid Size 2
Category Government Mortgage-Backed Bond
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 43.82
Day Low 43.56
Dividend Date 1,486,425,600
Dividend Yield 4.3
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 43.7946
Fifty Day Average Change -0.19639969
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.004484564
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.6154537
Fifty Two Week High 45.49
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8917999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.04158716
Fifty Two Week Low 43.19
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.40820312
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.009451334
Fifty Two Week Range 43.19 - 45.49
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,329,834,600,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0056411
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.084999084
Fullday Change Percent -0.19437204
Fullday Price 43.5982
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,329,177,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and to-be-announced transactions (“TBAs”) that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the economic characteristics of the component securities of the underlying index. The underlying index includes fixed-rate MBS issued by GNMA that have 30- or 15-year maturities. The index measures the performance of mortgage-backed pass-through securities issued by GNMA.
Long Name iShares GNMA Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_170947401
Nav Price 43.72429
Net Assets 421,246,560.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.1
Open 43.795
Phone 415-670-2000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 43.5982
Post Market Time 1,787,947,804
Previous Close 43.7301
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.13189697
Regular Market Change Percent -0.30161598
Regular Market Day High 43.82
Regular Market Day Low 43.56
Regular Market Day Range 43.56 - 43.82
Regular Market Open 43.795
Regular Market Previous Close 43.7301
Regular Market Price 43.5982
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 14,978
Short Name iShares GNMA Bond ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol GNMA
Three Year Average Return 0.0500034
Total Assets 421,246,560
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -0.95023
Trailing Three Month Returns -0.95023
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 44.3086
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.7103996
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.016032996
Type Disp ETF
Volume 14,978
Yield 0.043
Ytd Return -0.06177