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GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GHG)

Consumer Cyclical | Lodging | Shanghai, China | NYSE
1.18 USD

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:37 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a brutal multi-year decline. Despite a recent earnings beat and cost-cutting measures, the stock has lost nearly 87% of its value over the last seven years, with the last two full years showing negative returns. This persistent downward trajectory suggests the market sees deep structural issues—likely stemming from the reported 14% revenue drop—that outweigh the temporary relief from lower costs. While the current yield of 5% looks attractive, it is likely a 'value trap' reflecting the company's deteriorating fundamentals rather than a safe income stream, especially given the erratic dividend history where payments were skipped entirely in 2023. The low valuation multiples (P/E under 5) confirm that investors are pricing in significant future pain. Short-term, the stock is range-bound near its lows, offering no clear momentum catalyst to reverse the trend immediately. Until the revenue story stabilizes and the long-term decline stops, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.056173
AutoETS0.077009
MSTL0.078956
AutoARIMA0.087860

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.016
Excess Kurtosis 0.71
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2025-10-30
Last Dividend Date 2024-09-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 93.608
Revenue per Share 10.5
Market Cap 119,058,840
Trailing P/E 4.72
Forward P/E 2.41
Beta 0.63
Profit Margins 16.36%
Website https://www.998.com

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2024-09-30 0.10 3.236246
2022-01-13 0.75 10.080645
2021-12-30 0.55 6.715507
2019-12-23 0.25 2.200704
2019-02-05 0.30 2.510460
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.06
dividendYield 5.08
exDividendDate 2025-10-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.1
lastDividendDate 2024-09-30
dividendDate 2025-11-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.49137932
Address1 1,228 Zhongshan North Road
Address2 Putuo District
All Time High 25.1
All Time Low 1.11
Ask 1.65
Ask Size 900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 9,870
Average Daily Volume3 Month 19,760
Average Volume 19,760
Average Volume10Days 9,870
Beta 0.629
Bid 1.11
Bid Size 200
Book Value 2.3283622
City Shanghai
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.18
Current Ratio 1.615
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.19
Day Low 1.175
Debt To Equity 93.608
Display Name GreenTree Hospitality
Dividend Date 1,764,028,800
Dividend Rate 0.06
Dividend Yield 5.08
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,745,496,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,745,496,000
Earnings Growth 0.766
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.755
Earnings Timestamp End 1,767,042,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,767,042,000
Ebitda 245,463,360
Ebitda Margins 0.23150998
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.286
Enterprise To Revenue -0.298
Enterprise Value -315,618,496
Eps Forward 0.49
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.25
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,761,868,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.17212
Fifty Day Average Change 0.007879972
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0067228377
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -49.13793
Fifty Two Week High 2.776
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.5960001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.574928
Fifty Two Week Low 1.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.06999993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.063063
Fifty Two Week Range 1.11 - 2.776
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,522,157,400,000
Float Shares 8,148,468
Forward Eps 0.49
Forward P E 2.408163
Free Cashflow 10,729,774
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,287
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.35306
Gross Profits 374,332,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 1.78052
Held Percent Institutions 0.21083
Implied Shares Outstanding 100,897,325
Industry Lodging
Industry Disp Lodging
Industry Key lodging
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,727,654,400
Last Dividend Value 0.1
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hotels and restaurants in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the food manufacturing business; and provision of information technology services. The company's wholesale business includes sale of prepared meals and frozen foods to supermarkets, distributors, and restaurant franchisees. It operates under the GreenTree, Da Niang, and Lu Gang or Bellagio brand names. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of GreenTree Inns Hotel Management Group, Inc.
Long Name GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 119,058,840
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_554321729
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 173,464,464
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 119,058,842
Open 1.16
Operating Cashflow 281,194,240
Operating Margins 0.12589
Payout Ratio 0.2495
Phone 86 21 3617 4886
Previous Close 1.18
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.506794
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.11229192
Profit Margins 0.16361
Quick Ratio 1.502
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 1.19
Regular Market Day Low 1.175
Regular Market Day Range 1.175 - 1.19
Regular Market Open 1.16
Regular Market Previous Close 1.18
Regular Market Price 1.18
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 4,247
Return On Assets 0.02031
Return On Equity 0.10876001
Revenue Growth -0.14
Revenue Per Share 10.5
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 66,134,416
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0002
Shares Short 22,880
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 8,518
Short Name GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd
Short Percent Of Float 0.0023999999
Short Ratio 2.19
Source Interval 15
Symbol GHG
Total Cash 1,987,029,504
Total Cash Per Share 19.694
Total Debt 1,522,222,336
Total Revenue 1,060,261,888
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.25
Trailing P E 4.72
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.529795
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.3497951
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.22865488
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,247
Website https://www.998.com
Zip 200,065