Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Calgary, Canada | NYSE
6.57 USD
+0.12
(1.860%)
⇧
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 6.64 +0.07 (1.065%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 5:34 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:34 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is neutral due to a lack of clear directional momentum, despite a recent rally following the announcement of a major acquisition. While the company is executing a significant strategy to buy Connacher Oil and Gas, which aims to boost output, the statistical forecasting models offer no predictive edge for the coming weeks, suggesting the recent price movement may be driven by event speculation rather than a sustainable trend. On a longer horizon, the investment case remains balanced because the business faces severe structural headwinds: it is currently burning cash with negative free cash flow and negative earnings growth, while carrying a heavy debt load relative to its equity. However, these negatives are partially offset by the potential for the acquisition to unlock value and the fact that the stock trades at a discount to its book value, implying the market has already priced in some of the distress. Ultimately, the lack of a proven track record of profitability and the reliance on a transformative deal keep the long-term assessment from tipping into 'buy' territory, leaving it as a hold pending clearer evidence of operational success. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.042026 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.042026 |
| MSTL | 0.042071 |
| AutoTheta | 0.043671 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 0.96 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.949 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.23 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 2.801 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.824 |
| Market Cap | 1,579,518,080 |
| Forward P/E | 9.77 |
| Beta | 0.19 |
| Profit Margins | -6.35% |
| Website | https://www.greenfireres.com |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.43333328 |
| Address1 | 350 7th Avenue SW |
| Address2 | Suite 800 |
| All Time High | 12.487 |
| All Time Low | 3.81 |
| Ask | 6.7 |
| Ask Size | 4,200 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.6 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,382,180 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 973,159 |
| Average Volume | 973,159 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,382,180 |
| Beta | 0.193 |
| Bid | 6.4 |
| Bid Size | 5,900 |
| Board Risk | 10 |
| Book Value | 6.4418564 |
| City | Calgary |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.57 |
| Current Ratio | 0.955 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 6.7 |
| Day Low | 6.51 |
| Debt To Equity | 2.801 |
| Display Name | Greenfire Resources |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,762,264,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,762,264,800 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.382 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.097 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,956,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,732,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,732,400 |
| Ebitda | 91,325,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.15706 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 9.178 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.441 |
| Enterprise Value | 838,176,064 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.24 |
| Eps Forward | 0.67278796 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.2 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.3088 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.26119995 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.041402478 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 43.33333 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 7.16 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.5899997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.08240219 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.15 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.42 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.5831325 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.15 - 7.16 |
| Financial Currency | CAD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,639,405,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 34,055,228 |
| Forward Eps | 0.67278796 |
| Forward P E | 9.765335 |
| Free Cashflow | -59,219,124 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 197 |
| Fullday Change | 0.19000006 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.9457374 |
| Fullday Price | 6.64 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.31924 |
| Gross Profits | 185,628,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00122 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.33448002 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 240,413,692 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. |
| Long Name | Greenfire Resources Ltd. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,579,518,080 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1818720080 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -36,929,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,461,715,247 |
| Open | 6.48 |
| Operating Cashflow | 120,992,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.38222998 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 587 315 5656 |
| Post Market Change | 0.069999695 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 1.0654444 |
| Post Market Price | 6.64 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,186,491 |
| Previous Close | 6.45 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 27.375002 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.0198923 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.716427 |
| Profit Margins | -0.06351 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.658 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.6 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.12 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.86047 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.7 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.51 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.51 - 6.7 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.48 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.45 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.57 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,734,899 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00476 |
| Return On Equity | -0.036310002 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.219 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.824 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 240,413,692 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0025 |
| Shares Short | 589,397 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,744,086 |
| Short Name | Greenfire Resources Ltd. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.003 |
| Short Ratio | 0.39 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AB |
| Symbol | GFR |
| Total Cash | 2,962,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.024 |
| Total Debt | 32,121,000 |
| Total Revenue | 581,468,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.2 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 5.9808 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.5892 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.09851525 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,734,899 |
| Website | https://www.greenfireres.com |
| Zip | T2P 3N9 |