Gevo, Inc. (GEVO)Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Englewood, United States | NasdaqCM
1.17 USD
After hours: 1.17 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:03 a.m. EDT
The fundamental reality here is stark: the company is burning cash with negative operating margins and a trailing P/E that implies infinite losses. Despite a modest 7% revenue growth, the balance sheet is strained with debt exceeding cash reserves, and the return on equity is deeply negative. This is a classic value trap disguised by a 'Buy' recommendation; analysts are likely pricing in a turnaround that the current financials do not yet support. The massive gap between the current price and the $14 high-target is a fantasy scenario requiring perfect execution, not current fundamentals. Short-term, the stock is technically weak, trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating persistent selling pressure. While the statistical model sees a slight 8% bounce over the next month, this is likely just mean reversion noise rather than a trend reversal. The options market tells a different story: speculators are buying deep out-of-the-money calls for 2027, betting on a miraculous resurgence, while ignoring the lack of defensive hedges for the near term. This disconnect suggests the market is in a state of denial regarding the operational challenges. Until the company demonstrates sustained profitability and a path to deleveraging, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle unsuitable for serious capital allocation. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.044635 |
| AutoETS | 0.044636 |
| MSTL | 0.046181 |
| AutoTheta | 0.050751 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 47% |
| H-stat | 2.49 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.140 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.22 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 60.758 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.751 |
| Market Cap | 289,267,392 |
| Forward P/E | 19.50 |
| Beta | 1.14 |
| Profit Margins | -119.93% |
| Website | https://gevo.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:03 a.m. EDT: Call buyers are overwhelmingly focused on upside targets of $2.00 to $5.00, with massive open interest concentration at the $5.00 strike for 2027 expirations, suggesting a speculative bet on a multi-bagger recovery. Conversely, put activity is negligible until late 2028, where a sudden spike in volume at the $1.00 strike indicates a small hedge against a deeper crash, but the lack of near-term protective puts suggests traders are not pricing in an immediate collapse.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.5263158 |
| Address1 | Building C |
| Address2 | Suite 310 345 Inverness Drive South |
| All Time High | 158,160.0 |
| All Time Low | 0.46 |
| Ask | 1.51 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,819,640 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,012,125 |
| Average Volume | 3,012,125 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,819,640 |
| Beta | 1.137 |
| Bid | 1.18 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 1.141 |
| City | Englewood |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 1.17 |
| Current Ratio | 2.699 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 1.21 |
| Day Low | 1.16 |
| Debt To Equity | 60.758 |
| Display Name | Gevo |
| Dividend Date | 1,528,070,400 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,048,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,254,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,254,400 |
| Ebitda | -23,434,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.13202 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -17.089 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.256 |
| Enterprise Value | 400,466,624 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.74 |
| Eps Forward | 0.06 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.89 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 1.4992 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.32920003 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.2195838 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -52.63158 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 2.97 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.8000001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6060606 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 1.15 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.01999998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.017391289 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 1.15 - 2.97 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,297,261,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 227,570,520 |
| Forward Eps | 0.06 |
| Forward P E | 19.5 |
| Free Cashflow | 18,507,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 151 |
| Fullday Change | 0.0 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Fullday Price | 1.17 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.44664 |
| Gross Profits | 79,281,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.045050003 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.38674 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 247,237,104 |
| Industry | Specialty Chemicals |
| Industry Disp | Specialty Chemicals |
| Industry Key | specialty-chemicals |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,528,070,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:20 |
| Long Business Summary | Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. In addition, it offers products manufactured by ethanol plant, including ethanol and distillers grains. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. |
| Long Name | Gevo, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 289,267,392 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_33143266 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -212,890,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 359,729,986 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 1.18 |
| Operating Cashflow | -16,246,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.7679 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 303 858 8358 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 1.17 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,192,779 |
| Previous Close | 1.17 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -1.581081 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.0254163 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.6296111 |
| Profit Margins | -1.19933 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.984 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Regular Market Day High | 1.21 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 1.16 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 1.16 - 1.21 |
| Regular Market Open | 1.18 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 1.17 |
| Regular Market Price | 1.17 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 12,944,015 |
| Return On Assets | -0.051939998 |
| Return On Equity | -0.55526 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.071 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.751 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 247,237,104 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.088999994 |
| Shares Short | 22,015,072 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 25,850,924 |
| Short Name | Gevo, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0924 |
| Short Ratio | 7.63 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CO |
| Symbol | GEVO |
| Target High Price | 14.0 |
| Target Low Price | 1.7 |
| Target Mean Price | 5.175 |
| Target Median Price | 2.5 |
| Total Cash | 58,147,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.243 |
| Total Debt | 170,700,992 |
| Total Revenue | 177,507,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.89 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 1.7655 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.5955 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.3372982 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 12,944,015 |
| Website | https://gevo.com |
| Zip | 80,112 |