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Gevo, Inc. (GEVO)

Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Englewood, United States | NasdaqCM
1.80 USD +0.10 (5.882%) ⇧ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:27 p.m. EDT

Gevo presents a high-risk speculative trap. Despite a 'Buy' recommendation based on long-term renewable fuel potential, the quantitative reality is bleak: negative earnings, massive option put skew, and deteriorating price action from $2.78 to $1.72 in two weeks. The $2.00 strike is acting as a heavy discount floor where institutional and retail sellers are placing defensive hedges. Until there is a breaking of this bullish volume/short-covering floor with active call buying, the asset is a 'Hold/Avoid' waiting for better thesis validation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.099927
AutoETS0.102507
AutoARIMA0.105758
AutoTheta0.107474

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 7.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.124
Excess Kurtosis -0.52
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 35.555
Revenue per Share 0.686
Market Cap 437,188,320
Forward P/E -90.00
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins -21.07%
Website https://gevo.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:27 p.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is overwhelmingly bearish in the immediate term. Near-term April 17 calls show weak volume and low Open Interest (OI) relative to a massive defensive wall of put OI at the $2.0 strike. Specifically, for April expiration, $2.00 calls have minimal interest versus $420 volume in $2.00 puts. Conversely, the longer-dated interim map reveals significant put accumulation, with high OI at $2.00 through $3.00 strikes for May and August expirations. Volume analysis confirms the sentiment: April 17 put volume is 11x the call volume. This heavy activity on downside protection near key support ($2.00) suggests a high-conviction expectation of a bounce-to-collapse or solidifying downside rather than a momentum rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5126051
Address1 Building C
Address2 Suite 310 345 Inverness Drive South
All Time High 158,160.0
All Time Low 0.46
Ask 1.84
Ask Size 14
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,601,380
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,119,629
Average Volume 4,119,629
Average Volume10Days 5,601,380
Beta 1.202
Bid 1.8
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 1.974
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.8
Current Ratio 1.825
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 1.82
Day Low 1.64
Debt To Equity 35.555
Display Name Gevo
Dividend Date 1,528,070,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,772,746,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,772,746,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,772,744,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 6,458,000
Ebitda Margins 0.04022
Enterprise To Ebitda 80.055
Enterprise To Revenue 3.22
Enterprise Value 516,995,424
Eps Current Year -0.04
Eps Forward -0.02
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.14
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.0848
Fifty Day Average Change -0.28480005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.13660786
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 51.260506
Fifty Two Week High 2.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.1700001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3939394
Fifty Two Week Low 1.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.79999995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.79999995
Fifty Two Week Range 1.0 - 2.97
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,297,261,800,000
Float Shares 226,291,404
Forward Eps -0.02
Forward P E -90.0
Free Cashflow -6,682,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 151
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.38740003
Gross Profits 62,208,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0414
Held Percent Institutions 0.36620998
Implied Shares Outstanding 242,882,393
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Industry Disp Specialty Chemicals
Industry Key specialty-chemicals
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,528,070,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. In addition, it offers products manufactured by ethanol plant, including ethanol and distillers grains. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Gevo, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 437,188,320
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_33143266
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -33,836,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 437,188,307
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.68
Operating Cashflow -13,401,000
Operating Margins -0.1182
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 303 858 8358
Pre Market Change 0.00999999
Pre Market Change Percent 0.55555505
Pre Market Price 1.81
Pre Market Time 1,776,777,671
Previous Close 1.7
Price Eps Current Year -45.0
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.9118541
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.7225578
Profit Margins -0.21070999
Quick Ratio 1.152
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.1
Regular Market Change Percent 5.88235
Regular Market Day High 1.82
Regular Market Day Low 1.64
Regular Market Day Range 1.64 - 1.82
Regular Market Open 1.68
Regular Market Previous Close 1.7
Regular Market Price 1.8
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,201
Regular Market Volume 6,452,754
Return On Assets -0.018099999
Return On Equity -0.067930005
Revenue Growth 6.956
Revenue Per Share 0.686
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 242,882,393
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1249
Shares Short 30,325,917
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 33,085,534
Short Name Gevo, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1297
Short Ratio 5.82
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol GEVO
Target High Price 14.0
Target Low Price 2.0
Target Mean Price 5.4375
Target Median Price 2.875
Total Cash 81,163,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.343
Total Debt 167,522,000
Total Revenue 160,580,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.14
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.973
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.1730001
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.087683775
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,452,754
Website https://gevo.com
Zip 80,112