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Gevo, Inc. (GEVO)

Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Englewood, United States | NasdaqCM
1.49 USD +0.04 (2.759%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.48 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Gevo is currently broken by a severe structural decline in share price and deteriorating profitability. While the company boasts impressive top-line revenue growth of nearly 48%, this is being completely offset by massive losses, negative free cash flow, and a return on equity that remains deeply negative. The market has punished the stock relentlessly, wiping out over 99% of its value over the last decade, and the recent withdrawal of a Department of Energy loan has further derailed its strategic ambitions for sustainable aviation fuel. Fundamentally, the business is burning cash without generating returns, making it a poor candidate for long-term capital preservation. In the short term, the outlook remains bleak. Technical indicators show the stock trading well below its moving averages, confirming a downtrend. Crucially, the options market is screaming 'sell'; the overwhelming presence of put open interest suggests that sophisticated traders are betting on continued weakness rather than a bounce. The statistical forecasting model also leans slightly negative, though with low confidence. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet strained by debt and losses, there is no margin of safety here. Investors should avoid this security until there is clear evidence of a path to profitability and a stabilization in the share price.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.120731
MSTL0.122683
AutoETS0.128194
AutoARIMA0.128195

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 7.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.270
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 37.438
Revenue per Share 0.742
Market Cap 362,682,880
Forward P/E 149.00
Beta 1.02
Profit Margins -19.38%
Website https://gevo.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection with deep in-the-money put volume dominating across nearly all expirations, particularly for the January 2028 date where volume vastly exceeds open interest. Call activity is sparse and concentrated at strikes significantly above the current price, indicating a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite some retail interest in breaking resistance levels.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.05228758
Address1 Building C
Address2 Suite 310 345 Inverness Drive South
All Time High 158,160.0
All Time Low 0.46
Ask 1.86
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,264,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,495,559
Average Volume 3,495,559
Average Volume10Days 3,264,270
Beta 1.021
Bid 1.11
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 1.888
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.49
Current Ratio 4.309
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.545
Day Low 1.455
Debt To Equity 37.438
Display Name Gevo
Dividend Date 1,528,070,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,185,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,185,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,184,000
Ebitda 18,499,000
Ebitda Margins 0.10606
Enterprise To Ebitda 24.442
Enterprise To Revenue 2.592
Enterprise Value 452,157,824
Eps Current Year -0.11
Eps Forward 0.01
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.14
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.6528
Fifty Day Average Change -0.16279995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.09849949
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -5.228758
Fifty Two Week High 2.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.48
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4983165
Fifty Two Week Low 1.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33035713
Fifty Two Week Range 1.12 - 2.97
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,297,261,800,000
Float Shares 225,808,391
Forward Eps 0.01
Forward P E 149.0
Free Cashflow -10,523,250
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 151
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.45766997
Gross Profits 79,827,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04409
Held Percent Institutions 0.37111
Implied Shares Outstanding 243,411,329
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Industry Disp Specialty Chemicals
Industry Key specialty-chemicals
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,528,070,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. In addition, it offers products manufactured by ethanol plant, including ethanol and distillers grains. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Gevo, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 362,682,880
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_33143266
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -33,805,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 352,946,427
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.46
Operating Cashflow -10,493,000
Operating Margins -0.11404
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 303 858 8358
Post Market Change -0.00999999
Post Market Change Percent -0.6711403
Post Market Price 1.48
Post Market Time 1,783,987,157
Previous Close 1.45
Price Eps Current Year -13.545455
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.78919494
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.079377
Profit Margins -0.19381
Quick Ratio 3.34
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.04
Regular Market Change Percent 2.75862
Regular Market Day High 1.545
Regular Market Day Low 1.455
Regular Market Day Range 1.455 - 1.545
Regular Market Open 1.46
Regular Market Previous Close 1.45
Regular Market Price 1.49
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 3,825,812
Return On Assets -0.0075700004
Return On Equity -0.069299996
Revenue Growth 0.475
Revenue Per Share 0.742
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 243,411,329
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1035
Shares Short 25,187,487
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 25,842,266
Short Name Gevo, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1075
Short Ratio 6.85
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol GEVO
Target High Price 14.0
Target Low Price 1.8
Target Mean Price 5.325
Target Median Price 2.75
Total Cash 78,902,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.332
Total Debt 170,230,000
Total Revenue 174,419,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.14
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.9938
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.50380003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25268334
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,825,812
Website https://gevo.com
Zip 80,112