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Gevo, Inc. (GEVO)

Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Englewood, United States | NasdaqCM
1.67 USD -0.01 (-0.595%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.68 +0.01 (0.599%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:41 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:46 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains deeply flawed due to a catastrophic multi-year decline where the stock has lost over 99% of its value since 2016. Despite a recent price recovery, the underlying business is still bleeding cash, with negative operating margins and a return on equity of -55%. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt that exceeds its cash reserves, and there is no dividend to provide income. While the short-term outlook shows signs of life with a recent price bounce and a 'Buy' recommendation from analysts, the statistical forecast models remain weak and bearish, suggesting the recent rally may be volatile noise. The options market tells a different story, with heavy speculative buying of deep out-of-the-money calls, which could fuel a short-term spike, but this does not fix the deteriorating fundamentals. Investors should view this as a high-risk turnaround play rather than a solid investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.103302
AutoARIMA0.103304
MSTL0.103565
AutoTheta0.198262

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 3.81
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.330
Excess Kurtosis -0.52
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 60.758
Revenue per Share 0.751
Market Cap 412,885,952
Forward P/E 27.83
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins -119.93%
Website https://gevo.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for a massive upside move, with open interest in calls at strikes of $3.00 and $5.00 significantly outweighing puts. This 'long gamma' setup suggests a bet on a sharp rally or binary event. Conversely, put volume is concentrated at lower strikes ($1.00-$2.00), indicating a floor or a hedge against further downside, but the sheer disparity in call volume points to aggressive bullish speculation rather than defensive hedging.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.029069781
Address1 Building C
Address2 Suite 310 345 Inverness Drive South
All Time High 158,160.0
All Time Low 0.46
Ask 1.72
Ask Size 9
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,155,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,323,211
Average Volume 3,323,211
Average Volume10Days 2,155,330
Beta 1.038
Bid 1.67
Bid Size 42
Board Risk 3
Book Value 1.141
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.67
Current Ratio 2.699
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.715
Day Low 1.65
Debt To Equity 60.758
Display Name Gevo
Dividend Date 1,528,070,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,048,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,048,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Ebitda -23,434,000
Ebitda Margins -0.13202
Enterprise To Ebitda -22.198
Enterprise To Revenue 2.93
Enterprise Value 520,177,568
Eps Current Year -0.74
Eps Forward 0.06
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.9
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.5438
Fifty Day Average Change 0.12619996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.08174632
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -2.9069781
Fifty Two Week High 2.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3000001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.43771046
Fifty Two Week Low 1.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.29999995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21897806
Fifty Two Week Range 1.37 - 2.97
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,297,261,800,000
Float Shares 227,568,126
Forward Eps 0.06
Forward P E 27.833334
Free Cashflow 18,507,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 151
Fullday Change -0.00999999
Fullday Change Percent -0.595238
Fullday Price 1.68
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.44664
Gross Profits 79,281,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04287
Held Percent Institutions 0.38286
Implied Shares Outstanding 247,237,104
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Industry Disp Specialty Chemicals
Industry Key specialty-chemicals
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,528,070,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable natural gas, isobutanol, and isooctane. It is also involved in development, construction, and operation of Alcohol-to-Jet projects; provision of GevoRNG, a project which leverages anaerobic digestion technology to capture and convert methane emissions into renewable natural gas; and operates Verity platform that tracks, measures, and verifies various attributes throughout the supply chain. In addition, it offers products manufactured by ethanol plant, including ethanol and distillers grains. The company was formerly known as Methanotech, Inc. and changed its name to Gevo, Inc. in March 2006. Gevo, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Gevo, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 412,885,952
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_33143266
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -212,890,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 415,358,334
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.69
Operating Cashflow -16,246,000
Operating Margins -0.7679
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 303 858 8358
Post Market Change 0.00999999
Post Market Change Percent 0.59880185
Post Market Price 1.68
Post Market Time 1,787,960,485
Previous Close 1.68
Price Eps Current Year -2.2567568
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.4636283
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.3260262
Profit Margins -1.19933
Quick Ratio 1.984
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.00999999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.595238
Regular Market Day High 1.715
Regular Market Day Low 1.65
Regular Market Day Range 1.65 - 1.715
Regular Market Open 1.69
Regular Market Previous Close 1.68
Regular Market Price 1.67
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,652,914
Return On Assets -0.051939998
Return On Equity -0.55526
Revenue Growth 0.071
Revenue Per Share 0.751
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 247,237,104
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.107200004
Shares Short 26,501,745
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 26,696,970
Short Name Gevo, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1112
Short Ratio 6.88
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol GEVO
Target High Price 14.0
Target Low Price 1.9
Target Mean Price 5.4125
Target Median Price 2.875
Total Cash 58,147,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.243
Total Debt 170,700,992
Total Revenue 177,507,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.9
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.87655
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.20655
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.110069014
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,652,914
Website https://gevo.com
Zip 80,112