Genius Sports Limited (GENI)Communication Services | Internet Content & Information | London, United Kingdom | NYSE
6.58 USD
+0.45
(7.341%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 6.51 -0.07 (-0.070%) ⇩ (Oct. 15, 2026, 5:35 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:51 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is defined by a stark contradiction between aggressive analyst optimism and deteriorating corporate reality. While analysts project a target price nearly triple the current level, the company is currently burning cash, reporting negative operating margins, and showing a return on equity of -26%. This disconnect suggests the market is pricing in a turnaround story or a multiple expansion based on potential rather than current performance. For the short term, the heavy call option activity and recent price jump indicate speculative capital is flowing in, hoping to catch a catalyst. However, the statistical forecast model offers almost no guidance, leaning slightly negative with low confidence, which warns that the recent pop may be noise. Without a confirmed path to profitability, this remains a high-risk momentum play rather than a solid entry. Long-term, the fundamentals are too fragile to recommend a buy. The company is losing money on every dollar of sales and carries a debt load that dwarfs its equity. Unless there is immediate, visible evidence of margin recovery and cash flow generation, the business quality is insufficient to justify holding through the inevitable volatility of a turnaround attempt. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.101033 |
| MSTL | 0.101815 |
| AutoETS | 0.104221 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.104222 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 1.15 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.142 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.98 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Communication Services |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 120.039 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.966 |
| Market Cap | 1,760,985,344 |
| Forward P/E | 6.15 |
| Beta | 1.91 |
| Profit Margins | -22.99% |
| Website | https://www.geniussports.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (e.g., 12.5 strike in Jan 2027) and a distinct lack of protective put buying relative to call volume. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for upside moves compared to downside protection, suggesting a speculative 'gamma squeeze' or momentum play rather than a hedging strategy.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.48616934 |
| Address1 | 27 Soho Square |
| Address2 | 1st Floor |
| All Time High | 25.18 |
| All Time Low | 2.2 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 4,900 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,415,400 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,936,807 |
| Average Volume | 6,936,807 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,415,400 |
| Beta | 1.913 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 2,100 |
| Book Value | 2.556 |
| City | London |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.58 |
| Current Ratio | 0.973 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 6.625 |
| Day Low | 6.0552 |
| Debt To Equity | 120.039 |
| Display Name | Genius Sports |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,017,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,017,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,709,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,709,000 |
| Ebitda | -70,390,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.08906999 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -34.478 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.071 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,426,924,288 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.62 |
| Eps Forward | 1.07 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.63 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.995 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.41499996 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.059328087 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -48.616936 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 12.165 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.585 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.459104 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.825 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.7549999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.7202614 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.825 - 12.165 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,601,904,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 214,701,050 |
| Forward Eps | 1.07 |
| Forward P E | 6.1495323 |
| Free Cashflow | 160,860,496 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 2,000 |
| Fullday Change | 0.46000004 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 7.504079 |
| Fullday Price | 6.58 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.27446 |
| Gross Profits | 216,888,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.09093001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.91835 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 267,626,957 |
| Industry | Internet Content & Information |
| Industry Disp | Internet Content & Information |
| Industry Key | internet-content-information |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical tracking, event data, and video for league's operations; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also develops additional tools that help sports leagues deepen fan engagement; and digital content and gamification solutions, as well as provides consumer insights and fan intelligence services. In addition, it provides live sports data collection; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management services, including customer profiling, monitoring of incoming bets, automated acceptance and rejection of bets, and limit setting; and live streaming services. Further, the company offers BetVision, an interactive single-screen live streaming solution that provides integrated bet slip, real-time team and player statistics, personalized, and augmented viewing modes; and FanHub, an advertising solution that helps in creation, delivery, and optimization of digital marketing campaigns, including data-driven personalized ad creative and programmatic media buying. The company was formerly known as Genius Sports Group Limited and changed its name to Genius Sports Limited in April 2021. Genius Sports Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. |
| Long Name | Genius Sports Limited |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,760,985,344 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_312838575 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -181,636,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,637,876,976 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 21 |
| Open | 6.2 |
| Operating Cashflow | -31,080,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.12399 |
| Phone | 44 20 7851 4060 |
| Post Market Change | -0.069999695 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.0638251 |
| Post Market Price | 6.51 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,100,156 |
| Previous Close | 6.13 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 10.612903 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.5743349 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.2284353 |
| Profit Margins | -0.22985001 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.814 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.42857 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.45 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 7.34094 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.625 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.0552 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.0552 - 6.625 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.2 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.13 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.58 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,403 |
| Regular Market Volume | 7,036,450 |
| Return On Assets | -0.04553 |
| Return On Equity | -0.25872 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.647 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.966 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Communication Services |
| Sector Disp | Communication Services |
| Sector Key | communication-services |
| Shares Outstanding | 267,626,957 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1419 |
| Shares Short | 37,976,544 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 35,929,027 |
| Short Name | Genius Sports Limited |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1554 |
| Short Ratio | 5.37 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | GENI |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 6.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 10.83333 |
| Target Median Price | 10.5 |
| Total Cash | 155,076,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.579 |
| Total Debt | 821,014,976 |
| Total Revenue | 790,233,984 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.63 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.4925 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.087500095 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.013477104 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 7,036,450 |
| Website | https://www.geniussports.com |
| Zip | W1D 3QR |