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Greif, Inc. (GEF)

Consumer Cyclical | Packaging & Containers | Delaware, United States | NYSE
84.08 USD -0.43 (-0.509%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 84.08

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:45 a.m. EDT

The most critical issue here is the sustainability of the dividend. Despite a 2.66% yield, the company is paying out nearly 90% of its earnings, and operating cash flow is currently negative. This creates a precarious situation where the dividend relies heavily on earnings growth rather than actual cash generation, making it vulnerable if revenue growth remains stagnant at just 3.5%. While the stock has rallied 61% over the past nine years and is trading near its 52-week high, the fundamental balance sheet does not support a confident long-term buy. Short-term momentum is building, with technicals showing strength above key moving averages and options flow favoring upside targets, but the high payout ratio acts as a ceiling on long-term conviction. Investors should view this as a speculative trade rather than a core holding, watching closely for signs of cash flow normalization before increasing exposure.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.165372
AutoTheta0.166081
AutoETS0.169100
AutoARIMA0.169254

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 10.80
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.456
Excess Kurtosis -0.54
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 39.41
Revenue per Share 74.935
Market Cap 4,779,793,408
Trailing P/E 35.03
Forward P/E 17.63
Beta 0.77
Profit Margins 24.74%
Website https://www.greif.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:45 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated between 30% and 37% across expirations. Call activity shows notable new flow at the 95 strike for September and October expirations, indicating speculative bets on upside beyond current levels. Put open interest is concentrated at the 80 strike, suggesting downside protection is being purchased at levels significantly below the current price. The overall positioning leans slightly bullish on the upside while maintaining a hedge against a deeper correction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.89% 3.45% 3.39% 3.26%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-17 0.62 0.886981
2026-03-16 0.56 0.841726
2025-12-18 0.56 0.796473
2025-09-16 0.56 0.927459
2025-06-17 0.54 0.853755
2025-03-17 0.54 0.960000
2024-12-16 0.54 0.819672
2024-09-16 0.54 0.876481
2024-06-18 0.52 0.833066
2024-03-15 0.52 0.816839
2023-12-15 0.52 0.800986
2023-09-14 0.52 0.761458
2023-06-15 0.50 0.712555
2023-03-16 0.50 0.849906
2022-12-15 0.50 0.752672
2022-09-15 0.50 0.758610
2022-06-16 0.46 0.795572
2022-03-16 0.46 0.766794
2021-12-16 0.46 0.759828
2021-09-16 0.46 0.721908
2021-06-18 0.44 0.732967
2021-03-18 0.44 0.738131
2020-12-17 0.44 0.907216
2020-09-16 0.44 1.207133
2020-06-17 0.44 1.311085
2020-03-17 0.44 1.490515
2019-12-17 0.44 0.987211
2019-09-16 0.44 1.122449
2019-06-17 0.44 1.315790
2019-03-15 0.44 1.085080
2018-12-17 0.44 1.024209
2018-09-14 0.44 0.768022
2018-06-15 0.42 0.760870
2018-03-16 0.42 0.797569
2017-12-15 0.42 0.683928
2017-09-15 0.42 0.736067
2017-06-15 0.42 0.760594
2017-03-15 0.42 0.767824
2016-12-15 0.42 0.779221
2016-09-15 0.42 0.884024
2016-06-16 0.42 1.074169
2016-03-16 0.42 1.452785
2015-12-17 0.42 1.364522
2015-09-16 0.42 1.186776
2015-06-17 0.42 1.105263
2015-03-17 0.42 1.073345
2014-12-17 0.42 0.914236
2014-09-17 0.42 0.894759
2014-06-18 0.42 0.777778
2014-03-14 0.42 0.832013
2013-12-18 0.42 0.815059
2013-09-18 0.42 0.836320
2013-06-18 0.42 0.779365
2013-03-14 0.42 0.796662
2012-12-12 0.42 0.958248
2012-09-18 0.42 0.927357
2012-06-18 0.42 1.016949
2012-03-16 0.42 0.799087
2011-12-16 0.42 0.966184
2011-09-16 0.42 0.873544
2011-06-16 0.42 0.662461
2011-03-17 0.42 0.678076
2010-12-16 0.42 0.678295
2010-09-16 0.42 0.709340
2010-06-16 0.42 0.711382
2010-03-15 0.38 0.719697
2009-12-17 0.38 0.738868
2009-09-16 0.38 0.684685
2009-06-17 0.38 0.881466
2009-03-13 0.38 1.263298
2008-12-18 0.38 1.166002
2008-09-15 0.38 0.613200
2008-06-17 0.38 0.586782
2008-03-13 0.28 0.417599
2007-12-13 0.28 0.421496
2007-09-13 0.28 0.528202
2007-06-14 0.28 0.481017
2007-03-13 0.18 0.328737
2006-12-18 0.18 0.310988
2006-09-18 0.18 0.465176
2006-06-14 0.18 0.559528
2006-03-14 0.12 0.378251
2005-12-16 0.12 0.351391
2005-09-16 0.12 0.395387
2005-06-15 0.12 0.373657
2005-03-16 0.08 0.217569
2004-12-16 0.08 0.307692
2004-09-15 0.08 0.369174
2004-06-16 0.08 0.412053
2004-03-17 0.07 0.406386
2003-12-18 0.07 0.405327
2003-09-18 0.07 0.517560
2003-06-18 0.07 0.640732
2003-03-18 0.07 0.823529
2002-12-18 0.07 0.580913
2002-09-18 0.07 0.510204
2002-06-14 0.07 0.444444
2002-03-14 0.07 0.382096
2001-12-19 0.07 0.470746
2001-09-18 0.07 0.492264
2001-06-14 0.07 0.471380
2001-03-14 0.07 0.518519
2000-12-18 0.06 0.436364
2000-09-20 0.07 0.468619
2000-06-16 0.07 0.455285
2000-03-16 0.06 0.382470
1999-12-13 0.06 0.428571
1999-09-16 0.07 0.541063
1999-06-15 0.06 0.463768
1999-03-16 0.06 0.434389
1998-12-11 0.06 0.401674
1998-09-16 0.06 0.356877
1998-06-18 0.06 0.328767
1998-03-18 0.06 0.325424
1997-12-12 0.06 0.352941
1997-09-17 0.06 0.388664
1997-06-18 0.06 0.398340
1997-03-18 0.06 0.413793
1996-12-12 0.04 0.277056
1996-09-18 0.04 0.271186
1996-06-18 0.04 0.256000
1996-03-19 0.08 0.524590
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.36
dividendYield 2.79
exDividendDate 2026-09-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.14
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.048988283
lastDividendValue 0.62
lastDividendDate 2026-06-17
dividendDate 2026-07-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.3519858
Address1 425 Winter Road
All Time High 90.57
All Time Low 8.375
Ask 87.63
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 238,200
Average Daily Volume3 Month 250,442
Average Volume 250,442
Average Volume10Days 238,200
Beta 0.765
Bid 80.73
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 7
Book Value 52.791
City Delaware
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 84.08
Current Ratio 1.289
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 85.795
Day Low 83.3
Debt To Equity 39.41
Display Name Greif
Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Dividend Rate 2.36
Dividend Yield 2.79
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,326,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,326,400
Earnings Growth 0.434
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.42
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 580,118,144
Ebitda Margins 0.13482
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.094
Enterprise To Revenue 1.361
Enterprise Value 5,855,693,312
Eps Current Year 4.31167
Eps Forward 4.76833
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.4
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,603,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 80.2708
Fifty Day Average Change 3.809204
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04745442
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 35.19858
Fifty Two Week High 90.57
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.489998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.071657255
Fifty Two Week Low 55.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.330002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5081615
Fifty Two Week Range 55.75 - 90.57
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 825,517,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.15
Float Shares 27,965,315
Forward Eps 4.76833
Forward P E 17.633007
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 12,000
Fullday Change -0.43
Fullday Change Percent -0.508816
Fullday Price 84.08
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.22521
Gross Profits 969,027,200
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0308
Held Percent Institutions 0.97122
Implied Shares Outstanding 56,848,160
Industry Packaging & Containers
Industry Disp Packaging & Containers
Industry Key packaging-containers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,654,400
Last Dividend Value 0.62
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,176,336,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Greif, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions; Durable Metal Solutions; Sustainable Fiber Solutions; and Integrated Solutions. The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces and sells polymer-based packaging products, such as plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics for chemicals, food and beverage, agricultural, pharmaceutical, and mineral products industries. The Durable Metal Solutions segment offers metal-based packaging products, including various steel drums for the chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, and paints and coatings industries. The Sustainable Fiber Solutions segment provides fiber-based packaging products comprising fibre drums, uncoated recycled board, coated recycled board, tubes and cores, and specialty partitions made from uncoated recycled board and coated recycled board to packaging, automotive, construction, food and beverage, and building products industries. The Integrated Solutions segment offers complimentary packaging products, such as paints, linings, and closure systems for industrial packaging products and related services. The company manufactures and sells rigid industrial packaging products, such as steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans and other small plastics, closure systems for industrial packaging products, water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers, as well as offers container life cycle management, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services. It also purchases and sells recycled fiber; and produces and sells adhesives. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.
Long Name Greif, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,779,793,408
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_377361
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 228,572,720
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,404,278,030
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 85.45
Operating Cashflow -52,172,732
Operating Margins 0.10561
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.8926
Peg Ratio 0.77
Phone 740 549 6000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 84.08
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 84.51
Price Eps Current Year 19.500566
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5926957
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1108426
Profit Margins 0.24743
Quick Ratio 0.816
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.43
Regular Market Change Percent -0.508816
Regular Market Day High 85.795
Regular Market Day Low 83.3
Regular Market Day Range 83.3 - 85.795
Regular Market Open 85.45
Regular Market Previous Close 84.51
Regular Market Price 84.08
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 186,495
Revenue Growth 0.035
Revenue Per Share 74.935
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 24,808,643
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0044
Shares Short 316,810
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 315,984
Short Name Greif Inc.
Short Ratio 0.9
Source Interval 15
State OH
Symbol GEF
Target High Price 100.0
Target Low Price 74.0
Target Mean Price 87.2
Target Median Price 90.0
Total Cash 288,500,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.075
Total Debt 1,233,600,000
Total Revenue 4,302,854,144
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.14
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.048988283
Trailing Eps 2.4
Trailing P E 35.033333
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 71.06905
Two Hundred Day Average Change 13.010948
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.18307474
Type Disp Equity
Volume 186,495
Website https://www.greif.com
Zip 43,015