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VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Equity Precious Metals | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
95.40 USD -3.48 (-3.519%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 95.46 +0.06 (0.063%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:01 a.m. EDT

The investment case for GDXJ remains fractured despite a strong multi-year recovery. Fundamentally, the asset has delivered a robust +38% gain over the last nine years with no recent annual declines, supported by a healthy 2.7% yield that has grown significantly over the past two years. However, the technical picture is deteriorating; the stock is trading well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting persistent selling pressure that has dragged the price down from its yearly highs. While the long-term business quality appears sound enough to warrant a 'hold' or slight buy rating, the immediate outlook is murky. Options activity reveals a market waiting for a catalyst, with heavy speculation on a bounce to the $110–$125 zone, yet the statistical forecast models currently lean slightly negative due to this technical weakness. Until the price reclaims its key moving averages, the momentum remains insufficient to justify a high-conviction entry, leaving investors in a wait-and-see posture.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.053083
AutoARIMA0.079228
AutoETS0.079230
MSTL0.085254

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.747
Excess Kurtosis -0.53
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 12.88

As of July 11, 2026, 5:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound market rather than a decisive breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (110–145), suggesting bets on a rally to test resistance levels, while put volume clusters around the 80–100 range, indicating a floor expectation. The massive IV spike at extreme strikes (175 calls, 70 puts) highlights fear of a sharp gap event, but the lack of significant open interest at these extremes suggests this is speculative noise rather than a structured hedge. The dominance of OTM call open interest implies the market views upside potential as the primary driver of volatility.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.21% 2.21% 1.83% 1.58%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-22 2.649 2.207500
2024-12-23 1.114 2.562098
2023-12-18 0.274 0.732620
2022-12-19 0.183 0.537287
2021-12-20 0.745 1.868573
2020-12-21 0.855 1.576037
2019-12-23 0.164 0.414560
2018-12-20 0.136 0.467354
2017-12-18 0.011 0.034396
2016-12-19 1.507 5.300739
2015-12-21 0.139 0.717234
2014-12-22 0.178 0.800720
2012-12-24 3.000 3.892060
2011-12-23 6.344 6.524064
2010-12-23 11.716 7.665533
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.7

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 179.44
All Time Low 16.87
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,380,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,664,288
Average Volume 5,664,288
Average Volume10Days 4,380,470
Beta3 Year 0.96
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Category Equity Precious Metals
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 97.44
Day Low 94.66
Dividend Yield 2.7
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.405856
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 109.8644
Fifty Day Average Change -14.464401
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.13165686
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 44.18198
Fifty Two Week High 157.49
Fifty Two Week High Change -62.090004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39424726
Fifty Two Week Low 63.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 31.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.49295774
Fifty Two Week Range 63.9 - 157.49
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,257,949,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.175789
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family VanEck
Fund Inception Date 1,257,811,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the index. The index includes companies that generate at least 50% of their revenues from gold and/or silver mining/royalties/streaming or have mining projects with the potential to generate at least 50% of their revenues from gold and/or silver when developed. It is non-diversified.
Long Name VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_79345080
Nav Price 98.85
Net Assets 7,078,292,000.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.52
Open 96.975
Phone 888-658-8287
Post Market Change 0.05999756
Post Market Change Percent 0.06289052
Post Market Price 95.46
Post Market Time 1,783,987,128
Previous Close 98.88
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -3.48
Regular Market Change Percent -3.51941
Regular Market Day High 97.44
Regular Market Day Low 94.66
Regular Market Day Range 94.66 - 97.44
Regular Market Open 96.975
Regular Market Previous Close 98.88
Regular Market Price 95.4
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 4,365,928
Short Name VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol GDXJ
Three Year Average Return 0.3761944
Total Assets 7,078,291,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing P E 12.881698
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -17.29652
Trailing Three Month Returns -17.29652
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 115.22225
Two Hundred Day Average Change -19.82225
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.17203492
Type Disp ETF
Volume 4,365,928
Yield 0.027
Ytd Return -13.98057