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GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. (GCTS)

Technology | Semiconductors | San Jose, United States | NYSE
1.86 USD -0.05 (-2.618%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.90 +0.04 (2.151%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:33 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is a stark contradiction between a dying business and a speculative mania. Fundamentally, this is a catastrophic failure: the company is burning cash, generating negative gross margins, and has suffered an 88% collapse in share price over the last three years. The balance sheet is impaired with negative book value and debt exceeding cash, making survival uncertain without further dilution. Despite these fatal flaws, the options market is screaming 'bullish,' with heavy positioning in far-out calls that implies a belief in a miraculous turnaround or a massive catalyst event. However, this optimism is entirely disconnected from reality; the statistical forecast model is useless, and the price action shows the stock is simply oscillating near its lows. The 'strong buy' analyst ratings are likely based on outdated models or pure hype rather than the current financial reality. For a serious investor, this is a value trap with no safety margin. The only play here is a high-risk, lottery-ticket style bet on a sudden, unproven corporate resurrection, which warrants avoiding the stock entirely.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.826040
AutoARIMA0.850518
AutoTheta0.853836
AutoETS0.906389

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 28%
H-stat 11.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.212
Excess Kurtosis -1.29
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Revenue per Share 0.063
Market Cap 171,063,696
Forward P/E -5.39
Beta 1.81
Website https://www.gctsemi.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish on the upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $3.00 and $5.00) compared to negligible put volume. This 'call skew' suggests traders are positioning for a significant rally driven by the reported 5G revenue jump and satellite deal, while ignoring the deep fundamental deterioration. Put activity is minimal and concentrated only at very low strikes, indicating a lack of hedging against downside risk.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.41481483
Address1 2,290 North 1st Street
Address2 Suite 201
All Time High 56.0
All Time Low 0.9
Ask 1.87
Ask Size 7,200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,112,600
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,045,937
Average Volume 3,045,937
Average Volume10Days 2,112,600
Beta 1.813
Bid 1.85
Bid Size 7,500
Book Value -0.566
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.86
Current Ratio 0.822
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 1.9196
Day Low 1.85
Display Name GCT Semiconductor Holding
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,393,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,393,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda -33,792,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -5.813
Enterprise To Revenue 48.161
Enterprise Value 196,447,696
Eps Current Year -0.565
Eps Forward -0.345
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.8
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 408 434 6050
Fifty Day Average 2.261
Fifty Day Average Change -0.4009999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17735511
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 41.481483
Fifty Two Week High 3.93
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.0700002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5267176
Fifty Two Week Low 0.955
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.90500003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.94764405
Fifty Two Week Range 0.955 - 3.93
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,640,615,400,000
Float Shares 81,567,950
Forward Eps -0.345
Forward P E -5.3913045
Free Cashflow -26,898,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 126
Fullday Change -0.05
Fullday Change Percent -2.6178
Fullday Price 1.9
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins -0.38294
Gross Profits -1,562,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.121029995
Held Percent Institutions 0.14146
Implied Shares Outstanding 91,969,726
Industry Semiconductors
Industry Disp Semiconductors
Industry Key semiconductors
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, designs, manufactures, and sells communication semiconductors for industrial, business-to-business, and consumer applications in the United States, Taiwan, China, Germany, and South Korea. The company offers wireless communication technologies, such as 5G/5.75G/4.5G/4G transceivers and modems; RF and modem chipsets based on fourth-generation (4G) long term evolution (LTE) technology, including 4G LTE, 4.5G LTE Advanced, and 4.75G LTE Advanced-Pro; baseband modem solutions, RF transceivers, and system-on-chip (SoC) solutions; and product design and support, warranty development, customer support, and technical support services. It also develops and sells cellular Internet of Things (IoT) chipsets for low-speed mobile networks, such as eMTC/NB-IOT/Sigfox, and other network protocols; and 5G NR chipsets and other 5G NR solutions. The company's products and solutions are used in portable wireless routers, indoor and outdoor fixed wireless routers, industrial machine-to-machine applications, smartphones, fixed wireless subscriber terminals, various communication modules and devices, and industrial products. It sells its products directly or indirectly through distributors to wireless operators, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and original design manufacturers (ODMs) in Taiwan, China, Korea, Japan, Europe, North America, and South America. GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. has strategic partnership with MaxLinear, Inc. to develop 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) gateways and converged gateways for consumer and enterprise applications. GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Long Name GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 171,063,696
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_655493
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -53,108,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 175,662,176
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 1.9
Operating Cashflow -38,071,000
Operating Margins -7.63646
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 408 434 6040
Post Market Change 0.03999996
Post Market Change Percent 2.1505356
Post Market Price 1.9
Post Market Time 1,787,961,410
Previous Close 1.91
Price Eps Current Year -3.2920353
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -3.2862191
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 41.937656
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.645
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.05
Regular Market Change Percent -2.6178
Regular Market Day High 1.9196
Regular Market Day Low 1.85
Regular Market Day Range 1.85 - 1.9196
Regular Market Open 1.9
Regular Market Previous Close 1.91
Regular Market Price 1.86
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,405,511
Return On Assets -0.64408
Revenue Growth -0.179
Revenue Per Share 0.063
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 91,969,726
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1129
Shares Short 10,383,715
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,528,239
Short Name GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1302
Short Ratio 4.43
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol GCTS
Target High Price 3.4
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 3.2
Target Median Price 3.2
Total Cash 30,228,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.329
Total Debt 55,612,000
Total Revenue 4,079,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.8
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.69898
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.16102004
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09477454
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,405,511
Website https://www.gctsemi.com
Zip 95,131