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Genesco Inc. (GCO)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Retail | Nashville, United States | NYSE
34.42 USD +0.30 (0.879%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:38 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a severe disconnect between the company's reality and the market's speculative fever. Fundamentally, Genesco is a deteriorating business with negative operating margins, a crushing 65% decline in share price over the last nine years, and an activist investor demanding a board overhaul due to alleged value destruction. The lack of dividends offers no cushion for a long-term holder. However, the short-term outlook is driven entirely by a speculative mania; options data reveals a 'long gamma' setup where traders are betting on a violent swing either up to $45 or down to $12.50. While the statistical forecast suggests a weak lean upward, it is statistically unreliable and cannot override the fundamental rot. The stock is currently a high-risk vehicle for volatility traders, but a dangerous trap for anyone seeking capital preservation or steady growth.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_90 ✓0.068680
MSTL0.073053
AutoARIMA0.079487
AutoETS0.079487
MSTL_90_1150.084160
AutoTheta0.090541
MSTL_1150.094295

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_90

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.212
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 1973-04-08
Last Dividend Date 1973-04-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 104.215
Revenue per Share 236.65
Market Cap 382,301,984
Trailing P/E 18.61
Forward P/E 12.02
Beta 1.83
Profit Margins 0.80%
Website https://www.genesco.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant gap-up rally, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $40-$45) relative to the current price. Conversely, put buyers are aggressively targeting deep out-of-the-money strikes ($12.50-$15.00), suggesting a belief in a potential crash to those levels rather than a modest decline. This creates a high-volatility environment where traders are betting on a binary move away from the current range.

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
1973-04-09 0.153846 1.478259
Additional Data
exDividendDate 1973-04-09
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.153846
lastDividendDate 1973-04-09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.4725939
Address1 535 Marriott Drive
All Time High 89.58
All Time Low 1.470588
Ask 55.07
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 187,430
Average Daily Volume3 Month 207,245
Average Volume 207,245
Average Volume10Days 187,430
Beta 1.832
Bid 26.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 49.678
City Nashville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 34.42
Current Ratio 1.834
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 35.52
Day Low 34.1
Debt To Equity 104.215
Display Name Genesco
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,780,057,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,780,057,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,780,057,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,833,800
Ebitda 80,281,000
Ebitda Margins 0.032780003
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.606
Enterprise To Revenue 0.38
Enterprise Value 931,737,984
Eps Current Year 2.25
Eps Forward 2.8625
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.85
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 103,161,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 35.5544
Fifty Day Average Change -1.1344032
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.031906128
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 47.25939
Fifty Two Week High 43.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.18
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21055047
Fifty Two Week Low 21.55
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.869999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5972158
Fifty Two Week Range 21.55 - 43.6
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 99,153,000,000
Float Shares 9,600,090
Forward Eps 2.8625
Forward P E 12.024454
Free Cashflow 79,365,248
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.46326
Gross Profits 1,134,588,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.13137001
Held Percent Institutions 0.90961
Implied Shares Outstanding 11,106,973
Industry Apparel Retail
Industry Disp Apparel Retail
Industry Key apparel-retail
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=75042&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 103,161,600
Last Dividend Value 0.153846
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Long Business Summary Genesco Inc. operates as a retailer and wholesaler of footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates through four segments: Journeys Group, Schuh Group, Johnston & Murphy Group, and Genesco Brands Group. The Journeys Group segment offers footwear and accessories for young men, women, and children through the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Little Burgundy retail chains, as well as through e-commerce operations. The Schuh Group segment operates Schuh retail footwear stores that offer casual and athletic footwear, as well as sells footwear through e-commerce. The Johnston & Murphy Group segment is involved in the retail and e-commerce operations; and wholesale distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories primarily for men. The Genesco Brands Group segment markets footwear under the Levi's, Dockers, and other brands. The company provides its products through catalogs and e-commerce websites, including journeys.com, journeyskidz.com, journeys.ca, schuh.co.uk, schuh.ie, schuh.eu, littleburgundyshoes.com, johnstonmurphy.com, and nashvilleshoewarehouse.com. It operates retail stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the Republic of Ireland primarily under the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, Schuh, Little Burgundy, and Johnston & Murphy brands. Genesco Inc. was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Long Name Genesco Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 382,301,984
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_274846
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Net Income To Common 19,682,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 378,969,918
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 35.08
Operating Cashflow 144,024,000
Operating Margins -0.052810002
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.68
Phone 615 367 7000
Previous Close 34.12
Price Eps Current Year 15.297777
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.692862
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.15609592
Profit Margins 0.00804
Quick Ratio 0.23
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.299999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.879247
Regular Market Day High 35.52
Regular Market Day Low 34.1
Regular Market Day Range 34.1 - 35.52
Regular Market Open 35.08
Regular Market Previous Close 34.12
Regular Market Price 34.42
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 111,477
Return On Assets 0.012150001
Return On Equity 0.03663
Revenue Growth 0.028
Revenue Per Share 236.65
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 11,106,973
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0808
Shares Short 897,166
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 902,584
Short Name Genesco Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.088599995
Short Ratio 4.12
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol GCO
Target High Price 45.0
Target Low Price 36.0
Target Mean Price 40.33333
Target Median Price 40.0
Total Cash 27,122,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.442
Total Debt 575,723,008
Total Revenue 2,449,147,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.85
Trailing P E 18.605404
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 30.9089
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.5110989
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.113595076
Type Disp Equity
Volume 111,477
Website https://www.genesco.com
Zip 37,214