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GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG)

Financial Services | Asset Management | Chicago, United States | NasdaqGM
12.65 USD -0.19 (-1.480%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.65

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:15 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is mixed despite a bullish options backdrop. While traders are clearly betting on a rally, with significant call open interest at the $15 strike, the underlying fundamentals tell a story of caution. The company is trading at a massive premium to book value (31x), yet earnings growth is currently contracting at -38%. This divergence suggests the market is pricing in a future turnaround that hasn't happened yet. The short-term rating remains neutral because the technicals and options flow are fighting against deteriorating quarterly earnings and a payout ratio that consumes nearly 90% of earnings, leaving little room for error. Long-term, the valuation is precarious; without sustained revenue growth to justify the current multiple, the stock risks becoming a value trap where the high price erodes any margin of safety.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.027775
AutoTheta0.029002
AutoETS0.029035
AutoARIMA0.029079

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 1.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.320
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-31
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-31
Debt to Equity Ratio 340.204
Revenue per Share 9.725
Market Cap 773,247,296
Trailing P/E 24.33
Forward P/E 11.78
Beta 0.89
Profit Margins 7.85%
Previous Name CF Finance Acquisition Corp.
Website https://www.gcmgrosvenor.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:15 a.m. EDT: Options activity shows a distinct bullish skew with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (15.0 strike) relative to puts, suggesting speculators are positioning for upside momentum. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls compared to longer-dated strikes, indicating heightened anticipation of a price move higher in the coming months rather than a crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.90% 4.16% 4.13% 4.48%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-01 0.12 0.902256
2026-06-05 0.12 1.120448
2026-03-02 0.12 1.025641
2025-12-01 0.12 1.110083
2025-09-02 0.11 0.856031
2025-06-06 0.11 0.880000
2025-03-03 0.11 0.794798
2024-12-02 0.11 0.892133
2024-09-03 0.11 1.027077
2024-06-03 0.11 1.112235
2024-02-29 0.11 1.298701
2023-11-30 0.11 1.363073
2023-08-31 0.11 1.439791
2023-05-31 0.11 1.594203
2023-02-28 0.11 1.336574
2022-11-30 0.11 1.254276
2022-08-31 0.10 1.273885
2022-05-31 0.10 1.221001
2022-02-28 0.10 1.001001
2021-11-30 0.10 0.872600
2021-08-31 0.09 0.809353
2021-05-28 0.08 0.669456
2021-02-26 0.06 0.481928
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.74
exDividendDate 2026-09-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.48
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.037383176
lastDividendValue 0.12
lastDividendDate 2026-09-01
dividendDate 2026-09-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.10689652
Address1 900 North Michigan Avenue
Address2 Suite 1100
All Time High 15.36
All Time Low 6.26
Ask 17.21
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 373,580
Average Daily Volume3 Month 496,207
Average Volume 496,207
Average Volume10Days 373,580
Beta 0.888
Bid 9.73
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 0.415
City Chicago
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.65
Current Ratio 2.329
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 12.77
Day Low 12.46
Debt To Equity 340.204
Display Name GCM Grosvenor
Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Dividend Yield 3.74
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,370,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,370,400
Earnings Growth 1.363
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.38
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,365,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 159,060,000
Ebitda Margins 0.28058
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.212
Enterprise To Revenue 2.023
Enterprise Value 1,147,110,272
Eps Current Year 0.9
Eps Forward 1.074
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.52
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 312-506-6888
Fifty Day Average 13.279
Fifty Day Average Change -0.62900066
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.047368072
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 10.6896515
Fifty Two Week High 14.866
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2160006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14906502
Fifty Two Week Low 9.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.3499994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.36021498
Fifty Two Week Range 9.3 - 14.866
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,549,463,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.1
Float Shares 59,399,452
Forward Eps 1.074
Forward P E 11.7783985
Free Cashflow 111,546,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 550
Fullday Change -0.19000053
Fullday Change Percent -1.4797549
Fullday Price 12.65
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.45533
Gross Profits 258,124,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.028199999
Held Percent Institutions 1.0064399
Implied Shares Outstanding 61,126,269
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Last Dividend Value 0.12
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities. The firm invests in equity and alternative investment markets of the United States and internationally. The firm invests in multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, commodity-focused, and other specialty portfolios. It focuses on hedge fund asset classes, private equity, real estate, and/or infrastructure, credit and absolute return strategies. It also focuses on primary fund investments, secondary fund investments, and co-investments with a focus on buyout, distressed debt, early venture, mid venture, late venture, turnaround, mature, mezzanine, venture capital/growth equity investments. The firm seeks to do seed investments in small, emerging growth, and diverse private equity firms. The firm seeks to make regionally-focused investments in middle-market buyout. It prefers to invest in aerospace and defense, advanced electronics, information technology, biosciences, and advanced materials. It focuses on Europe, Michigan, North Carolina, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington. The firm employs fundamental and quantitative analysis. It prefers to have majority stakes in its portfolio companies. GCM Grosvenor Inc. was founded in 1971 and is based in Chicago, Illinois with additional offices across North America, Asia, Australia and Europe. GCM Grosvenor Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Grosvenor Capital Management Holdings, LLLP.
Long Name GCM Grosvenor Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 773,247,296
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_5092809
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-14
Net Income To Common 44,502,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 790,362,658
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 12.59
Operating Cashflow 198,139,008
Operating Margins 0.26576
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.90379995
Phone 312-506-6500
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 12.65
Post Market Time 1,792,008,015
Prev Name CF Finance Acquisition Corp.
Previous Close 12.84
Price Eps Current Year 14.055555
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 30.481928
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.3639925
Profit Margins 0.0785
Quick Ratio 2.164
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.6
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.19000053
Regular Market Change Percent -1.4797549
Regular Market Day High 12.77
Regular Market Day Low 12.46
Regular Market Day Range 12.46 - 12.77
Regular Market Open 12.59
Regular Market Previous Close 12.84
Regular Market Price 12.65
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,001
Regular Market Volume 276,268
Return On Assets 0.14731
Return On Equity 3.0039098
Revenue Growth 0.118
Revenue Per Share 9.725
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 61,126,269
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.019199999
Shares Short 1,176,112
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,611,973
Short Name GCM Grosvenor Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.025799999
Short Ratio 2.43
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol GCMG
Target High Price 17.0
Target Low Price 13.0
Target Mean Price 15.5
Target Median Price 16.0
Total Cash 139,596,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.284
Total Debt 416,400,000
Total Revenue 566,899,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.48
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.037383176
Trailing Eps 0.52
Trailing P E 24.326923
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.805375
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.8446245
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.07154576
Type Disp Equity
Volume 276,268
Website https://www.gcmgrosvenor.com
Zip 60,611-6558