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Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG)

Consumer Cyclical | Travel Services | London, United Kingdom | NYSE
9.40 USD

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is severely compromised by a deteriorating business trajectory. Despite a massive acquisition by American Express, the company's own stock has delivered a double-digit decline over the last two years, with two consecutive years of negative growth. Fundamentals are fragile: earnings are contracting sharply, revenue growth is slowing, and the balance sheet is burdened with debt relative to equity. The market is pricing in a 'value trap' scenario where the low price reflects structural weakness rather than a bargain. While the recent 57% surge on the sale news created a temporary pop, the underlying operational metrics suggest the core business is struggling. There is no dividend to provide income, and the statistical models predict further downside in the near term. This is a clear avoid for both short-term traders and long-term investors.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_122 ✓0.344938
MSTL0.392405
AutoTheta0.395370
AutoARIMA0.398186
AutoETS0.398186

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_122

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 2.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 0.00
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 98.798
Revenue per Share 5.918
Market Cap 4,909,483,008
Trailing P/E 58.75
Forward P/E 17.21
Beta 0.93
Profit Margins 2.93%
Website https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at the $5 strike, suggesting a fear of a significant drop to that level. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated deep in-the-money, indicating limited speculative appetite for upside moves beyond the current price.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.50399995
Address1 33 Charterhouse Street
Address2 Farringdon
All Time High 9.6
All Time Low 4.26
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 43,400
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,726,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,233,018
Average Volume 4,233,018
Average Volume10Days 1,726,130
Beta 0.93
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 93,900
Board Risk 6
Book Value 3.079
City London
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.4
Current Ratio 1.176
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.42
Day Low 9.395
Debt To Equity 98.798
Display Name Global Business Travel
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,892,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,892,400
Earnings Growth -0.375
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.307
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,897,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,846,600
Ebitda 336,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.1144
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.329
Enterprise To Revenue 2.097
Enterprise Value 6,158,685,696
Eps Current Year 0.41161
Eps Forward 0.54635
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.16
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.2516
Fifty Day Average Change 0.14839935
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.016040398
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 50.399994
Fifty Two Week High 9.54
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.14000034
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.014675088
Fifty Two Week Low 4.955
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.4449997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8970736
Fifty Two Week Range 4.955 - 9.54
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,660,829,400,000
Float Shares 195,389,544
Forward Eps 0.54635
Forward P E 17.205088
Free Cashflow 340,750,016
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 27,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.59006
Gross Profits 1,732,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.56404996
Held Percent Institutions 0.50517
Implied Shares Outstanding 522,285,480
Industry Travel Services
Industry Disp Travel Services
Industry Key travel-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Global Business Travel Group, Inc. operates as a technology and services company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers the Amex GBT marketplace for fares and rates; travel solutions, such as Amex GBT Egencia for businesses needing a configurable digital travel and expense platform; Complete by SAP Concur and Amex GBT, a co-developed travel and expense solution for businesses; and Amex GBT Neo for businesses preferring customizable global travel. It also provides Amex GBT Select for insight and control in travel spend; Amex GBT Ovation for businesses preferring a higher touch travel solution and personalized corporate travel servicing; and CWTSatoTravel for military and government agencies, as well as related organizations subject to government regulations, policies, and programs. In addition, the company offers professional services, including Amex GBT Meetings & Events for business travelers; and Amex GBT Consulting for guidance and solutions for corporate travel programs, cost savings, traveler experience, and policy compliance. Further, it provides virtual assistants, personalized recommendations, automatic rate optimization tools, and savings identification capabilities through its AI-powered platform; and traveler insights, fare analysis, and data analytics. Global Business Travel Group, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Long Name Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,909,483,008
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_651009266
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 86,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,909,483,512
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 9.41
Operating Cashflow 165,000,000
Operating Margins 0.05357
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Pre Market Change 0.030000687
Pre Market Change Percent 0.31915626
Pre Market Price 9.43
Pre Market Time 1,784,029,500
Previous Close 9.4
Price Eps Current Year 22.83715
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.0529392
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.671598
Profit Margins 0.02928
Quick Ratio 1.006
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.8
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 9.42
Regular Market Day Low 9.395
Regular Market Day Range 9.395 - 9.42
Regular Market Open 9.41
Regular Market Previous Close 9.4
Regular Market Price 9.4
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 940,525
Return On Assets 0.03159
Return On Equity 0.06449
Revenue Growth 0.353
Revenue Per Share 5.918
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 522,285,480
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0078
Shares Short 4,064,295
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,672,510
Short Name Global Business Travel Group, I
Short Percent Of Float 0.0228
Short Ratio 1.04
Source Interval 15
Symbol GBTG
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 9.5
Target Median Price 9.5
Total Cash 442,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.848
Total Debt 1,644,000,000
Total Revenue 2,936,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.16
Trailing P E 58.75
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.46755
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9324498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.25877964
Type Disp Equity
Volume 940,525
Website https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com
Zip EC1M 6HA