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Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG)

Consumer Cyclical | Travel Services | London, United Kingdom | NYSE
6.23 USD +0.09 (1.550%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 2:36 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:18 a.m. EDT

GBTG presents a high-risk, medium-reward technical setup. The stock has bottomed out near $5.00, supported by heavy OTM call Open Interest and a complete lack of put volume for the next quarter. Fundamentally, the thesis is a 'mean reversion' play rather than a growth explosion, underscored by the 34% revenue growth pulling in high beta investors despite modest margins (4%). While the analyst consensus is 'Buy' and technicals show upward momentum from the 50-day average, the negative short-term model prediction (-2.2%) warns of potential noise or a trap before the long-term recovery plays out. Ideal for a swing trade on the 7.5 resistance level, not a core position yet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.216497
AutoETS0.216501
AutoTheta0.217653
MSTL0.219792

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 1.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.58
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 93.919
Revenue per Share 5.61
Market Cap 3,261,897,984
Trailing P/E 28.30
Forward P/E 10.99
Beta 0.75
Profit Margins 4.01%
Website https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:18 a.m. EDT: Options data indicates distinct bullish positioning. For the June 2026 series, significant volume (Vol 15) has been placed on the 7.5 strike (OTM), which trades at a high IV of 0.83 but has low Open Interest (8), suggesting fresh entry by sellers who expect a move up or are willing to buy protection if it does. This is a bullish contrarian signal: large volume at a strike implies heavy activity and potential support if the price approaches. For the September 2026 calls, there is heavy Open Interest (6) concentrated at the 5.0 strike, creating a 'floor' effect around the current price. Crucially, there is a notable absence of September Put activity (0 volume), indicating minimal hedging or bearish sentiment for the upcoming quarter. Implied volatility is elevated (0.84 on Sept calls) relative to the low underlying price, suggesting speculators are pricing in a potential bounce or gap-up scenario.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.06838906
Address1 33 Charterhouse Street
Address2 Farringdon
All Time High 9.6
All Time Low 4.26
Ask 6.2
Ask Size 2,600
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,418,670
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,640,250
Average Volume 1,640,250
Average Volume10Days 1,418,670
Beta 0.751
Bid 6.19
Bid Size 2,400
Board Risk 5
Book Value 3.086
City London
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.225
Current Ratio 1.136
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 6.29
Day Low 6.13
Debt To Equity 93.919
Display Name Global Business Travel
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,061,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,061,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,059,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Ebitda 328,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.12068
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.388
Enterprise To Revenue 1.616
Enterprise Value 4,391,117,824
Eps Current Year 0.46746
Eps Forward 0.56638
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.22
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.534
Fifty Day Average Change 0.691
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.124864474
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -6.838906
Fifty Two Week High 8.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.4150004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27951393
Fifty Two Week Low 4.955
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25630677
Fifty Two Week Range 4.955 - 8.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,660,829,400,000
Float Shares 196,510,355
Forward Eps 0.56638
Forward P E 10.990853
Free Cashflow 385,124,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 27,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.60081
Gross Profits 1,632,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.56791997
Held Percent Institutions 0.43096
Implied Shares Outstanding 523,999,668
Industry Travel Services
Industry Disp Travel Services
Industry Key travel-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Global Business Travel Group, Inc. operates as a technology and services company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers the Amex GBT marketplace for fares and rates; travel solutions, such as Amex GBT Egencia for businesses needing a configurable digital travel and expense platform; Complete by SAP Concur and Amex GBT, a co-developed travel and expense solution for businesses; and Amex GBT Neo for businesses preferring customizable global travel. It also provides Amex GBT Select for insight and control in travel spend; Amex GBT Ovation for businesses preferring a higher touch travel solution and personalized corporate travel servicing; and CWTSatoTravel for military and government agencies, as well as related organizations subject to government regulations, policies, and programs. In addition, the company offers professional services, including Amex GBT Meetings & Events for business travelers; and Amex GBT Consulting for guidance and solutions for corporate travel programs, cost savings, traveler experience, and policy compliance. Further, it provides virtual assistants, personalized recommendations, automatic rate optimization tools, and savings identification capabilities through its AI-powered platform; and traveler insights, fare analysis, and data analytics. Global Business Travel Group, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Long Name Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,261,897,984
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_651009266
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 109,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,208,092,087
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 6.13
Operating Cashflow 233,000,000
Operating Margins 0.05682
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Previous Close 6.13
Price Eps Current Year 13.316647
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.0171742
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2001096
Profit Margins 0.0401
Quick Ratio 1.003
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.57143
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.09499979
Regular Market Change Percent 1.5497519
Regular Market Day High 6.29
Regular Market Day Low 6.13
Regular Market Day Range 6.13 - 6.29
Regular Market Open 6.13
Regular Market Previous Close 6.13
Regular Market Price 6.225
Regular Market Time 1,776,796,591
Regular Market Volume 571,196
Return On Assets 0.03454
Return On Equity 0.08168
Revenue Growth 0.34
Revenue Per Share 5.61
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 523,342,918
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0186
Shares Short 9,758,379
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 13,224,628
Short Name Global Business Travel Group, I
Short Percent Of Float 0.0552
Short Ratio 5.57
Source Interval 15
Symbol GBTG
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 6.5
Target Mean Price 9.27143
Target Median Price 9.0
Total Cash 434,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.828
Total Debt 1,560,000,000
Total Revenue 2,718,000,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.22
Trailing P E 28.295454
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.0538
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8288002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.11749698
Type Disp Equity
Volume 571,084
Website https://www.amexglobalbusinesstravel.com
Zip EC1M 6HA