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Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC)

Financial Services | Asset Management | New York, United States | NasdaqGS
12.12 USD +0.02 (0.207%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 3:14 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:19 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark contradiction between a generous income stream and deteriorating business fundamentals. While the 11% dividend yield is attractive, it is being funded by a payout ratio exceeding 200%, indicating the company is distributing far more cash than it generates in earnings. This is a classic sign of a mature or distressed business returning capital to shareholders while the core operation shrinks, evidenced by the 14% drop in revenue and 36% collapse in earnings growth. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing equity and a current ratio well below 1.0, leaving little room for error if credit spreads widen. Technically and sentiment-wise, the outlook is grim. The stock is trading below its book value and is underperforming its moving averages, yet the options market is screaming 'sell.' The sheer volume of put open interest compared to calls suggests that sophisticated traders see limited potential for recovery in the near term. While the low beta offers some cushion against broad market swings, the internal metrics suggest the specific business is losing ground. This is a speculative hold for income seekers who can tolerate the risk of dividend cuts, but it lacks the fundamental strength required for a confident long-term recommendation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.021262
AutoETS0.023659
MSTL0.023802
AutoARIMA0.024552

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 0.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.304
Excess Kurtosis -0.75
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 122.475
Revenue per Share 3.041
Market Cap 3,145,678,848
Trailing P/E 18.36
Forward P/E 9.54
Beta 0.44
Profit Margins 21.45%
Website https://www.golubcapitalbdc.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:19 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest is massive relative to call open interest, particularly in the February 2027 expiration where out-of-the-money puts dominate the landscape. This heavy put skew suggests a consensus expectation of significant further declines, despite the stock trading near its 52-week lows.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.65% 10.83% 11.41% 10.57%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-14 0.330000 2.646351
2026-06-15 0.330000 2.594340
2026-03-13 0.330000 2.756892
2025-12-12 0.390000 2.834302
2025-09-15 0.390000 2.773826
2025-06-13 0.390000 2.654867
2025-03-03 0.390000 2.565790
2024-12-09 0.390000 2.575958
2024-11-29 0.090000 0.574346
2024-08-30 0.390000 2.619207
2024-08-16 0.100000 0.683527
2024-06-13 0.050000 0.316056
2024-05-15 0.060000 0.368098
2024-05-01 0.390000 2.296820
2024-02-29 0.390000 2.504817
2024-02-14 0.070000 0.451613
2023-12-07 0.370000 2.542955
2023-11-30 0.070000 0.470430
2023-08-31 0.370000 2.573018
2023-08-17 0.040000 0.272109
2023-06-01 0.330000 2.521008
2023-03-02 0.330000 2.419355
2022-12-08 0.330000 2.515244
2022-09-01 0.300000 2.245509
2022-06-02 0.300000 2.156722
2022-03-03 0.300000 1.923077
2021-12-09 0.300000 1.996008
2021-09-07 0.290000 1.889251
2021-06-10 0.290000 1.877023
2021-03-04 0.290000 1.939799
2020-12-10 0.290000 2.112163
2020-09-04 0.290000 2.248062
2020-06-08 0.290000 2.292490
2020-03-05 0.323213 1.936623
2019-12-11 0.450539 2.562676
2019-08-16 0.313418 1.744819
2019-06-06 0.313418 1.845443
2019-03-06 0.313418 1.782729
2018-12-11 0.430950 2.453987
2018-09-06 0.313418 1.706665
2018-06-07 0.313418 1.747678
2018-03-07 0.313418 1.770890
2017-12-11 0.391773 2.123143
2017-09-01 0.313418 1.721354
2017-06-02 0.313418 1.596805
2017-03-03 0.313418 1.675392
2016-12-08 0.558276 3.091105
2016-08-31 0.313418 1.673639
2016-06-02 0.313418 1.852923
2016-03-03 0.313418 1.916166
2015-12-09 0.313418 1.900236
2015-09-02 0.313418 1.875731
2015-06-16 0.313418 1.909307
2015-03-18 0.313418 1.876832
2014-12-16 0.313418 1.880140
2014-09-12 0.313418 1.902496
2014-06-12 0.313418 1.849710
2014-03-13 0.313418 1.707576
2013-12-13 0.313418 1.804849
2013-09-11 0.313418 1.849710
2013-06-11 0.313418 1.816117
2013-03-12 0.313418 1.958383
2012-12-12 0.313418 2.084689
2012-09-11 0.313418 2.081976
2012-06-13 0.313418 2.122015
2012-03-14 0.313418 2.169490
2011-12-15 0.313418 2.052596
2011-09-15 0.313418 2.143334
2011-06-15 0.313418 2.169490
2011-03-16 0.313418 2.020201
2010-12-16 0.303624 1.862981
2010-09-08 0.303624 2.137932
2010-06-18 0.235064 1.666669
Additional Data
dividendYield 10.92
exDividendDate 2026-09-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.44
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.1191067
lastDividendValue 0.33
lastDividendDate 2026-09-14
dividendDate 2026-09-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.12958962
Address1 200 Park Avenue
Address2 25th Floor
All Time High 20.078356
All Time Low 8.893242
Ask 15.46
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,837,880
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,274,676
Average Volume 1,274,676
Average Volume10Days 1,837,880
Beta 0.442
Bid 8.64
Bid Size 2
Book Value 14.248
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,703,980,800
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.115
Current Ratio 0.136
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 12.165
Day Low 12.03
Debt To Equity 122.475
Display Name Golub Capital BDC
Dividend Date 1,790,640,000
Dividend Yield 10.92
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,795,032,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,795,032,000
Earnings Growth -0.351
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.367
Earnings Timestamp 1,794,945,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,945,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,945,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 9.562
Enterprise Value 7,656,733,696
Eps Current Year 1.37
Eps Forward 1.27
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.66
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,344,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 212 750 3756
Fifty Day Average 12.7728
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6578007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05150011
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.9589615
Fifty Two Week High 14.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.295
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1592644
Fifty Two Week Low 11.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3449993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.02931175
Fifty Two Week Range 11.77 - 14.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,271,338,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.18
Forward Eps 1.27
Forward P E 9.53937
Free Cashflow 275,754,880
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Fullday Change 0.024999619
Fullday Change Percent 0.2067793
Fullday Price 12.115
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 800,712,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01395
Held Percent Institutions 0.49642
Implied Shares Outstanding 259,651,589
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,344,000
Last Dividend Value 0.33
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,586,736,000
Last Split Factor 1,021:1000
Long Business Summary Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is a Private Debt, business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment company. It invests in debt and minority equity investments in middle-market companies that are, in most cases, sponsored by private equity investors. It typically invests in diversified consumer services, automobiles, healthcare technology, insurance, health care equipment and supplies, hotels, restaurants and leisure, healthcare providers and services, IT services and specialty retails. It seeks to invest in the United States. It primarily invests in first lien traditional senior debt, first lien one stop, junior debt and equity, senior secured, one stop, unitranche, second lien, subordinated and mezzanine loans of middle-market companies, and warrants.
Long Name Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,145,678,848
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_81683203
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 171,748,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,232,662,283
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 12.08
Operating Cashflow 919,640,000
Operating Margins 0.77883005
Payout Ratio 2.1818
Peg Ratio 1.4
Phone 212 750 6060
Previous Close 12.09
Price Eps Current Year 8.843065
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.85029477
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.9286022
Profit Margins 0.21450001
Quick Ratio 0.082
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.024999619
Regular Market Change Percent 0.2067793
Regular Market Day High 12.165
Regular Market Day Low 12.03
Regular Market Day Range 12.03 - 12.165
Regular Market Open 12.08
Regular Market Previous Close 12.09
Regular Market Price 12.115
Regular Market Time 1,792,005,288
Regular Market Volume 856,956
Return On Assets 0.04452
Return On Equity 0.04461
Revenue Growth -0.14
Revenue Per Share 3.041
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 259,651,589
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.048800003
Shares Short 12,666,242
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 11,894,774
Short Name Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.050300002
Short Ratio 8.74
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol GBDC
Target High Price 14.0
Target Low Price 13.0
Target Mean Price 13.625
Target Median Price 13.625
Total Cash 20,006,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.077
Total Debt 4,537,551,872
Total Revenue 800,712,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.44
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.1191067
Trailing Eps 0.66
Trailing P E 18.35606
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.9024
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.78740025
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.061027426
Type Disp Equity
Volume 856,956
Website https://www.golubcapitalbdc.com
Zip 10,166