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Galiano Gold Inc. (GAU)

Basic Materials | Gold | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE American
2.21 USD +0.02 (0.917%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 1:34 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:16 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here is a classic turnaround story with a massive catalyst gap closing. Fundamentally, the company is showing signs of life with revenue growth exceeding 100% and earnings doubling, while trading at a bargain valuation with a forward P/E under 3x and a healthy 28% return on equity. The balance sheet is clean, with debt nearly matching cash reserves, suggesting no immediate distress. However, the price action tells a different story; the stock is currently trapped below its 200-day average, indicating the market has yet to fully digest the recovery signals mentioned in recent headlines. The divergence between the weak statistical forecast and the strong fundamentals is likely due to the stock's recent volatility and the time it takes for sentiment to shift. Yet, the options market is screaming bullishness. The sheer volume of call open interest at strikes above the current price suggests smart money is positioning for a breakout, anticipating that the current low price is a temporary dislocation. With analysts setting a mean target nearly double the current price, and the company actively managing capital via equity plans to fund growth, the risk/reward profile is skewed heavily toward the upside. This is a high-conviction entry for a recovery play, where the primary risk is the speed of the rebound rather than the ultimate destination.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.053663
AutoTheta0.054108
AutoETS0.054184
AutoARIMA0.054184

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.464
Excess Kurtosis -0.78
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 22.512
Revenue per Share 2.04
Market Cap 578,143,936
Trailing P/E 8.19
Forward P/E 2.71
Beta 1.63
Profit Margins 13.71%
Website https://www.galianogold.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (over 6.7k contracts at the $2.5 strike for November expiry) compared to negligible put volume. This creates a distinct 'call skew' where traders are betting on a significant rally rather than a crash, despite elevated implied volatility on the downside strikes which suggests fear of a drop but a lack of actual hedging activity relative to the speculative buying.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.23958331
Address1 1,640 - 1066 West Hastings Street
All Time High 9.65
All Time Low 0.36
Ask 2.21
Ask Size 18,600
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,003,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,813,359
Average Volume 2,813,359
Average Volume10Days 3,003,910
Beta 1.631
Bid 2.2
Bid Size 30,600
Board Risk 2
Book Value 1.214
City Vancouver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.2101
Current Ratio 1.226
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 2.27
Day Low 2.155
Debt To Equity 22.512
Display Name Galiano Gold
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,995,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,995,200
Earnings Growth 2.286
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.202
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 240,696,000
Ebitda Margins 0.45368
Enterprise To Ebitda 2.401
Enterprise To Revenue 1.089
Enterprise Value 577,974,976
Eps Current Year 0.50833
Eps Forward 0.816
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.27
Esg Populated 0
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.1342
Fifty Day Average Change 0.07589984
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0355636
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -23.958332
Fifty Two Week High 3.62
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.4099
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.38947514
Fifty Two Week Low 1.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.55009997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33138552
Fifty Two Week Range 1.66 - 3.62
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,199,284,200,000
Float Shares 260,030,061
Forward Eps 0.816
Forward P E 2.7084558
Free Cashflow 7,742,250
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Fullday Change 0.020099878
Fullday Change Percent 0.9170071
Fullday Price 2.2101
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.54597
Gross Profits 289,664,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00458
Held Percent Institutions 0.79047996
Implied Shares Outstanding 261,591,764
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Galiano Gold Inc. operates as a gold mining company. It owns a 90% interest in the Asanko Gold Mine consists of the Nkran, Esaase, Abore, and Miradani North open-pit mining areas located on the Asankrangwa Gold Belt in the Amansie West District of the Republic of Ghana, West Africa. The company was formerly known as Asanko Gold Inc. and changed its name to Galiano Gold Inc. in April 2020. Galiano Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Long Name Galiano Gold Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 578,143,936
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_20947326
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 72,758,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 574,111,301
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 2.17
Operating Cashflow 148,980,992
Operating Margins 0.48729
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.45
Phone 855 246 7341
Previous Close 2.19
Price Eps Current Year 4.3477664
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.8205106
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.089713
Profit Margins 0.13713999
Quick Ratio 0.567
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.020099878
Regular Market Change Percent 0.9170071
Regular Market Day High 2.27
Regular Market Day Low 2.155
Regular Market Day Range 2.155 - 2.27
Regular Market Open 2.17
Regular Market Previous Close 2.19
Regular Market Price 2.2101
Regular Market Time 1,792,172,093
Regular Market Volume 2,436,577
Return On Assets 0.19278999
Return On Equity 0.28858998
Revenue Growth 1.167
Revenue Per Share 2.04
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 261,591,764
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.013300001
Shares Short 3,482,110
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,196,760
Short Name Galiano Gold Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0134000005
Short Ratio 1.38
Source Interval 15
State BC
Symbol GAU
Target High Price 4.25
Target Low Price 3.6
Target Mean Price 3.925
Target Median Price 3.925
Total Cash 83,482,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.319
Total Debt 74,579,000
Total Revenue 530,547,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.27
Trailing P E 8.185555
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.3701
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.16000009
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06750774
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,436,577
Website https://www.galianogold.com
Zip V6E 3X1