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The Gap, Inc. (GAP)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Retail | San Francisco, United States | NYSE
22.83 USD +0.05 (0.219%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 22.80 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:16 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish, driven by a disconnect between deteriorating fundamentals and a defensive options setup. While the company boasts a robust 33.8% return on equity and a low forward P/E of 8.8, the recent news cycle is toxic: sales outlooks were cut, shares dropped 17% on a Q1 miss, and historic winter storms damaged performance. This operational drag has triggered a severe risk-off reaction in the derivatives market, with speculators loading up on deep out-of-the-money puts to cap losses, signaling a belief that the stock will struggle to recover quickly. The statistical forecast model offers almost no directional guidance (0.11% lean, low confidence), which aligns with the chaotic nature of a stock in a turnaround phase. Consequently, despite the attractive valuation metrics, the near-term trend is likely to remain under pressure as the market digests the sales miss and weather-related headwinds.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.045099
AutoTheta0.046558
MSTL0.047245
AutoETS0.047867

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 11.80
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.116
Excess Kurtosis -0.34
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-06
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-06
Debt to Equity Ratio 144.773
Revenue per Share 41.817
Market Cap 8,019,497,472
Trailing P/E 6.88
Forward P/E 8.66
Beta 2.03
Profit Margins 8.14%
Website https://www.gapinc.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 17-22) across nearly all expirations, creating a significant 'put wall' that suggests a fear of further decline. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, with notable volume spikes at strikes 24 and 27, indicating a speculative attempt to catch a bounce or a 'long put' strategy where traders bet on continued weakness while hoping for a relief rally. The implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for deep OTM puts, reflecting a market pricing in a high probability of a drop below current levels.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.74% 3.00% 2.91% 3.97%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-07 0.175000 0.741211
2026-07-08 0.175000 0.953678
2026-04-08 0.175000 0.688164
2026-01-07 0.165000 0.620068
2025-10-08 0.165000 0.797487
2025-07-09 0.165000 0.728799
2025-04-09 0.165000 0.813208
2025-01-08 0.150000 0.629987
2024-10-09 0.150000 0.723938
2024-07-10 0.150000 0.661376
2024-04-09 0.150000 0.648228
2024-01-02 0.150000 0.718047
2023-10-03 0.150000 1.464844
2023-07-03 0.150000 1.687289
2023-04-04 0.150000 1.546392
2023-01-03 0.150000 1.323919
2022-10-04 0.150000 1.623377
2022-07-05 0.150000 1.720183
2022-04-05 0.150000 1.094891
2022-01-04 0.120000 0.643432
2021-10-05 0.120000 0.505476
2021-07-06 0.120000 0.371632
2021-04-06 0.243000 0.789987
2020-01-07 0.243000 1.347754
2019-10-08 0.243000 1.516854
2019-07-09 0.243000 1.351502
2019-04-09 0.243000 0.947368
2019-01-08 0.243000 0.963521
2018-10-09 0.243000 0.882673
2018-07-10 0.243000 0.783618
2018-04-10 0.243000 0.789474
2018-01-02 0.230000 0.679067
2017-10-03 0.230000 0.794199
2017-06-30 0.230000 1.045930
2017-04-03 0.230000 0.970055
2016-12-30 0.230000 1.024955
2016-10-03 0.230000 1.054079
2016-07-01 0.230000 1.074766
2016-04-04 0.230000 0.779133
2016-01-04 0.230000 0.901607
2015-10-05 0.230000 0.790922
2015-07-06 0.230000 0.596783
2015-04-06 0.230000 0.535756
2015-01-05 0.220000 0.521945
2014-10-06 0.220000 0.533981
2014-07-07 0.220000 0.528465
2014-04-07 0.220000 0.545229
2014-01-06 0.200000 0.512164
2013-10-11 0.200000 0.543036
2013-07-08 0.150000 0.343643
2013-04-08 0.150000 0.407056
2012-12-28 0.125000 0.410779
2012-10-05 0.125000 0.336927
2012-06-29 0.125000 0.456871
2012-04-03 0.125000 0.479846
2011-12-30 0.113000 0.609164
2011-10-07 0.113000 0.653179
2011-07-01 0.113000 0.618162
2011-04-04 0.113000 0.501553
2011-01-03 0.100000 0.450045
2010-10-08 0.100000 0.549149
2010-07-02 0.100000 0.513347
2010-04-05 0.100000 0.420521
2010-01-04 0.085000 0.413827
2009-10-09 0.085000 0.382194
2009-07-06 0.085000 0.564784
2009-04-06 0.085000 0.587828
2009-01-05 0.085000 0.611071
2008-10-09 0.085000 0.611951
2008-07-03 0.085000 0.516717
2008-04-04 0.085000 0.446194
2008-01-07 0.080000 0.399600
2007-10-12 0.080000 0.420831
2007-07-06 0.080000 0.416233
2007-04-05 0.080000 0.453515
2006-12-29 0.080000 0.410256
2006-10-05 0.080000 0.415369
2006-06-30 0.080000 0.459770
2006-03-31 0.080000 0.428266
2005-12-30 0.045000 0.255102
2005-10-06 0.045000 0.266115
2005-06-30 0.045000 0.227848
2005-04-01 0.045000 0.209205
2005-02-04 0.022000 0.102852
2004-11-17 0.023000 0.100000
2004-08-25 0.023000 0.117828
2004-05-19 0.023000 0.102679
2004-02-25 0.023000 0.109264
2003-12-17 0.023000 0.104308
2003-09-17 0.023000 0.125821
2003-05-21 0.022000 0.132132
2003-02-26 0.022000 0.149051
2002-12-04 0.022000 0.135970
2002-09-19 0.022000 0.180033
2002-05-29 0.022000 0.157255
2002-02-26 0.022000 0.162362
2001-12-05 0.022000 0.162003
2001-09-19 0.022000 0.176282
2001-05-31 0.022000 0.070968
2001-02-21 0.022000 0.079681
2000-11-29 0.022000 0.085230
2000-09-14 0.022000 0.087129
2000-05-24 0.022000 0.065185
2000-02-23 0.022000 0.051237
1999-12-20 0.023000 0.054357
1999-09-16 0.022000 0.066667
1999-06-02 0.022000 0.052695
1999-03-03 0.021333 0.048210
1998-12-08 0.014667 0.043138
1998-09-17 0.022222 0.083594
1998-06-03 0.022222 0.092378
1998-03-04 0.022222 0.115773
1997-12-03 0.022222 0.133927
1997-09-03 0.022222 0.149999
1997-06-04 0.022222 0.226413
1997-03-05 0.022222 0.222220
1996-12-04 0.022222 0.228135
1996-09-04 0.022222 0.221400
1996-06-05 0.022222 0.209057
1996-03-06 0.022222 0.281687
1995-11-29 0.017778 0.248065
1995-08-30 0.017778 0.375005
1995-05-26 0.017778 0.347830
1995-03-02 0.017778 0.385547
1994-11-28 0.017778 0.333338
1994-08-29 0.017778 0.273508
1994-05-27 0.017778 0.268911
1994-02-28 0.014815 0.220997
1993-11-29 0.014815 0.246157
1993-08-30 0.014815 0.353987
1993-05-28 0.014815 0.286742
1993-03-01 0.011852 0.254983
1992-11-30 0.011852 0.211923
1992-08-31 0.011852 0.236165
1992-06-08 0.011852 0.238809
1992-03-02 0.011852 0.158418
1991-12-02 0.011852 0.147128
1991-08-30 0.011852 0.183383
1991-06-03 0.011852 0.242427
1991-03-04 0.009259 0.269534
1990-12-03 0.009259 0.378777
1990-08-31 0.009259 0.467277
1990-06-04 0.007037 0.284643
1990-03-05 0.007037 0.338528
1989-11-27 0.007037 0.374382
1989-08-28 0.007037 0.367148
1989-05-26 0.005556 0.331518
1989-02-27 0.005556 0.400032
1988-11-28 0.004630 0.323650
1988-08-29 0.004630 0.411556
1988-05-27 0.004630 0.531958
1988-02-29 0.004630 0.463000
1987-11-30 0.004630 0.675730
1987-08-31 0.004630 0.178905
1987-06-01 0.004630 0.204098
1987-03-02 0.004630 0.245118
1986-12-01 0.004630 0.290721
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.07
exDividendDate 2026-10-07
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.68
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.029850746
lastDividendValue 0.175
lastDividendDate 2026-10-07
dividendDate 2026-10-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.0806452
Address1 Two Folsom Street
All Time High 53.75
All Time Low 0.033951
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,700
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,044,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,926,047
Average Volume 6,926,047
Average Volume10Days 6,044,890
Beta 2.033
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 900
Board Risk 3
Book Value 11.256
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 22.83
Current Ratio 1.822
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 23.525
Day Low 22.675
Debt To Equity 144.773
Display Name Gap Inc.
Dividend Date 1,793,145,600
Dividend Yield 3.07
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,748,552,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,748,552,400
Earnings Growth 1.421
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.319
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,860,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,795,118,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,795,118,400
Ebitda 1,468,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.09578
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.667
Enterprise To Revenue 0.734
Enterprise Value 11,254,497,280
Eps Current Year 2.40837
Eps Forward 2.63541
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.32
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,331,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.4894
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3405991
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0623842
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.06452
Fifty Two Week High 29.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.5300007
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22241147
Fifty Two Week Low 18.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.7199993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.26062945
Fifty Two Week Range 18.11 - 29.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.29
Float Shares 201,239,149
Forward Eps 2.63541
Forward P E 8.662788
Free Cashflow 246,375,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 79,000
Fullday Change 0.049999237
Fullday Change Percent 0.21948743
Fullday Price 22.83
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.40539002
Gross Profits 6,213,000,192
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.35987
Held Percent Institutions 0.6718
Implied Shares Outstanding 351,270,137
Industry Apparel Retail
Industry Disp Apparel Retail
Industry Key apparel-retail
Ir Website http://www.gapinc.com/content/gapinc/html/investors.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,791,331,200
Last Dividend Value 0.175
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Last Split Date 930,009,600
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary The Gap, Inc. operates as an apparel retail company in the United States, Canada, Japan, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children under the Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. The company offers its products through company-operated stores, franchise stores, websites, and third-party arrangements, as well as licensing partnerships. It has franchise agreements to operate Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta in Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The Gap, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name The Gap, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,019,497,472
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_274265
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,542,400
Net Income To Common 1,247,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,538,257,140
Number Of Analyst Opinions 19
Open 23.18
Operating Cashflow 1,535,000,064
Operating Margins 0.0671
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.2048
Peg Ratio 1.14
Phone 415 427 0100
Post Market Change -0.030000687
Post Market Change Percent -0.13140905
Post Market Price 22.8
Post Market Time 1,791,936,000
Previous Close 22.78
Price Eps Current Year 9.479441
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.0282516
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.52326095
Profit Margins 0.08137
Quick Ratio 0.771
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0499992
Regular Market Change Percent 0.219487
Regular Market Day High 23.525
Regular Market Day Low 22.675
Regular Market Day Range 22.675 - 23.525
Regular Market Open 23.18
Regular Market Previous Close 22.78
Regular Market Price 22.83
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,603
Regular Market Volume 4,496,595
Return On Assets 0.0478
Return On Equity 0.33776
Revenue Growth -0.02
Revenue Per Share 41.817
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 351,270,137
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0734
Shares Short 25,775,430
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 29,308,362
Short Name Gap, Inc. (The)
Short Percent Of Float 0.1369
Short Ratio 3.67
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol GAP
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 26.51053
Target Median Price 27.0
Total Cash 2,484,999,936
Total Cash Per Share 7.074
Total Debt 5,720,000,000
Total Revenue 15,326,000,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.68
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.029850746
Trailing Eps 3.32
Trailing P E 6.8765063
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.1662
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.3993
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.5692997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.024329776
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,496,595
Website https://www.gapinc.com
Zip 94,105