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First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Bradenton, United States | NasdaqGS
12.75 USD +0.66 (5.459%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.75

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 11, 2026, 1:29 p.m. EDT

FWRG is currently in a downtrend, with recent price declines and negative analyst sentiment. The stock has reached a 52-week low, and fundamentals such as high debt-to-equity and low profit margins suggest significant risk. The lack of dividends and weak momentum make it unsuitable for short-term trading or long-term holding. Investors should exercise caution and consider the broader market context before making any decisions.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.217740
AutoARIMA0.222583
AutoETS0.222583
MSTL0.228276

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 20.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.104
Excess Kurtosis -1.17
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 161.201
Revenue per Share 20.053
Market Cap 785,720,768
Trailing P/E 41.13
Forward P/E 42.63
Beta 0.98
Profit Margins 1.59%
Website https://www.firstwatch.com

As of April 11, 2026, 1:29 p.m. EDT: Options speculators are showing mixed signals. For calls, there's a notable concentration of open interest (OI) and volume on the 15.0 strike for April 17 and 17.5 for May 15, indicating potential bullish sentiment. However, puts show heavy OI and volume on the 10.0 and 12.5 strikes, suggesting bearish sentiment. The overall options activity indicates uncertainty about the stock's direction, with more bearish positioning in puts and some bullish positioning in calls, but not strong enough to suggest a clear trend.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3653559
Address1 8,725 Pendery Place
Address2 Suite 201
All Time High 25.98
All Time Low 10.09
Ask 12.86
Ask Size 16
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,359,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,762,275
Average Volume 1,762,275
Average Volume10Days 1,359,330
Beta 0.98
Bid 12.68
Bid Size 16
Board Risk 6
Book Value 10.245
City Bradenton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.75
Current Ratio 0.293
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 13.0
Day Low 12.4
Debt To Equity 161.201
Display Name First Watch Restaurant
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,938,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,938,000
Earnings Growth 22.903
Earnings Quarterly Growth 20.694
Earnings Timestamp 1,771,939,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Ebitda 108,782,000
Ebitda Margins 0.08898
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.251
Enterprise To Revenue 1.446
Enterprise Value 1,767,833,344
Eps Current Year 0.19238
Eps Forward 0.29912
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.31
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.9049
Fifty Day Average Change -0.1548996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.012003162
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -36.53559
Fifty Two Week High 20.55
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.799999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.37956202
Fifty Two Week Low 10.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.6599998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.26362732
Fifty Two Week Range 10.09 - 20.55
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,633,095,000,000
Float Shares 60,284,043
Forward Eps 0.29912
Forward P E 42.62503
Free Cashflow -61,100,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 17,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.20236
Gross Profits 247,386,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.015800001
Held Percent Institutions 1.26606
Implied Shares Outstanding 61,625,155
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-10-01
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Bradenton, Florida.
Long Name First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 785,720,768
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1680518858
Most Recent Quarter 1,766,880,000
Net Income To Common 19,432,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 785,412,600
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 12.4
Operating Cashflow 125,912,000
Operating Margins 0.031659998
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 941 907 9800
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 12.75
Post Market Time 1,776,456,605
Previous Close 12.09
Price Eps Current Year 66.275085
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2445096
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6427159
Profit Margins 0.0159
Quick Ratio 0.168
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.66
Regular Market Change Percent 5.45906
Regular Market Day High 13.0
Regular Market Day Low 12.4
Regular Market Day Range 12.4 - 13.0
Regular Market Open 12.4
Regular Market Previous Close 12.09
Regular Market Price 12.75
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 1,354,734
Return On Assets 0.01296
Return On Equity 0.03181
Revenue Growth 0.202
Revenue Per Share 20.053
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 61,625,155
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0856
Shares Short 5,277,482
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,834,883
Short Name First Watch Restaurant Group, I
Short Percent Of Float 0.096
Short Ratio 2.8
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol FWRG
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 19.58333
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 21,246,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.348
Total Debt 1,009,568,000
Total Revenue 1,222,500,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.31
Trailing P E 41.129032
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.979
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.229
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.20207773
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,354,734
Website https://www.firstwatch.com
Zip 34,201