Presidio Production Company (FTW)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Fort Worth, United States | NYSE
12.09 USD
+0.06
(0.499%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 12.09 |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT
Presidio Production Company presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where aggressive marketing of a dividend yield masks severe operational distress. While the company recently debuted on the NYSE and announced a special dividend, the underlying fundamentals are catastrophic: the business is burning cash with negative operating margins of nearly -194%, negative free cash flow, and a massive debt load exceeding $300 million against only $20 million in cash. The balance sheet is fragile with a current ratio below 0.8 and a debt-to-equity ratio over 100%. The reported 11% dividend yield is misleading; given the negative earnings and cash burn, this payout is likely unsustainable and risks being a NAV erosion event rather than a reliable income stream. Although the stock has rallied since its IPO, this appears to be a speculative pump based on the SPAC structure and dividend announcement rather than a turnaround in operations. The statistical forecast shows a negligible upward bias, and options flow confirms a bearish undercurrent with heavy protection buying at low price levels. This is not a buy-and-hold opportunity; it is a high-risk speculative play on a company that may not survive its debt obligations. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_64 ✓ | 0.124996 |
| AutoTheta | 0.134964 |
| AutoETS | 0.135062 |
| MSTL | 0.153193 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.163094 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_64
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 47% |
| H-stat | 9.72 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.062 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.22 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-08-30 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-05-03 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 101.21 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.742 |
| Market Cap | 378,341,216 |
| Trailing P/E | 32.68 |
| Forward P/E | 89.56 |
| Profit Margins | -13.85% |
| Website | https://www.bypresidio.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at deep strikes ($5.00) for the October expiration, suggesting a fear of significant downside or a crash scenario. Conversely, there is notable call open interest at the $10.00 strike for January 2027, indicating some belief in a floor or recovery, though overall implied volatility remains low across most expirations.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | 0.101 | 0.935185 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.15009558 |
| Address1 | 500 West 7th Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1500 |
| All Time High | 17.2 |
| All Time Low | 9.5 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 50,830 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 95,468 |
| Average Volume | 95,468 |
| Average Volume10Days | 50,830 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Book Value | 5.091 |
| City | Fort Worth |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 12.09 |
| Current Ratio | 0.786 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 12.18 |
| Day Low | 12.02 |
| Debt To Equity | 101.21 |
| Display Name | EQV Ventures |
| Dividend Date | 1,779,062,400 |
| Dividend Rate | 1.35 |
| Dividend Yield | 11.22 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | 32,592,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.19353001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 24.285 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 4.7 |
| Enterprise Value | 791,511,360 |
| Eps Current Year | -3.265 |
| Eps Forward | 0.135 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.37 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 11.8626 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.22739983 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.019169476 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 15.009558 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 17.2 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.1100006 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.29709303 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 9.5 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.5900002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.2726316 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 9.5 - 17.2 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,727,443,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 10,793,328 |
| Forward Eps | 0.135 |
| Forward P E | 89.55555 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 125 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 1.00078 |
| Gross Profits | 168,539,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.66304 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.41119 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 31,293,731 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,777,852,800 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.101 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Presidio Production Company, an oil and gas operator, focuses on the acquisition and optimization of producing oil and natural gas wells in the United States. It operates oil and gas wells across the Mid-Continent, applying engineering expertise and AI-driven analytics to enhance performance and extend asset life. Presidio Production Company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas. |
| Long Name | Presidio Production Company |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 378,341,216 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_569360183 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 46,883,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 356,291,319 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 12.07 |
| Operating Cashflow | -56,979,000 |
| Operating Margins | -1.9385201 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 817-382-3664 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 12.09 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,976,700 |
| Previous Close | 12.03 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -3.7029095 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.374779 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.246575 |
| Profit Margins | -0.13854 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.352 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0600004 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.498757 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.18 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 12.02 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 12.02 - 12.18 |
| Regular Market Open | 12.07 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 12.03 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.09 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 30,836 |
| Return On Equity | -0.18174 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.017 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.742 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Shares Outstanding | 29,616,901 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0156 |
| Shares Short | 356,786 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 343,839 |
| Short Name | Presidio Production Company |
| Short Ratio | 3.4 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | TX |
| Symbol | FTW |
| Target High Price | 15.0 |
| Target Low Price | 15.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 15.0 |
| Target Median Price | 15.0 |
| Total Cash | 20,690,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.705 |
| Total Debt | 305,284,992 |
| Total Revenue | 168,408,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.37 |
| Trailing P E | 32.675674 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.01745 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.0725498 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.09735009 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 30,836 |
| Website | https://www.bypresidio.com |
| Zip | 76,102 |