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Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR)

Consumer Cyclical | Personal Services | Memphis, United States | NasdaqGS
75.47 USD +1.04 (1.397%) ⇧ (July 15, 2026, 12:26 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:12 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful technical rebound. After a brutal collapse from $49 to $25 in 2022, the stock has staged a remarkable recovery, trading significantly above its 200-day moving average with strong momentum in the last two months. This price action validates the company's resilience despite the intense competition mentioned in recent headlines. However, the valuation tells a different story for the long term; a forward P/E of nearly 15x and a price-to-book ratio exceeding 23x suggest the market has already priced in significant future growth, leaving little margin of safety. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt nearly doubling equity, which caps the upside potential during any economic downturn. Furthermore, there is no dividend support whatsoever, making this purely a capital appreciation play. While the short-term trend is clearly upward, the stretched valuation and lack of income make it a speculative hold rather than a core investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.072027
MSTL0.083276
AutoETS0.096339
AutoTheta0.098924
AutoARIMA0.106324
MSTL_97_1260.106847
MSTL_970.129971

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 9.67
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.051
Excess Kurtosis -0.75
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 521.304
Revenue per Share 29.386
Market Cap 5,300,629,504
Trailing P/E 21.56
Forward P/E 14.94
Beta 1.46
Profit Margins 12.23%
Website https://www.frontdoorhome.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at the $80 strike compared to deep in-the-money put volume at lower strikes. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls, suggesting a bullish bias among retail traders, while institutional put activity remains sparse and focused on distant expirations.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.28393996
Address1 3,400 Players Club Parkway
All Time High 80.73
All Time Low 19.06
Ask 95.92
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 664,690
Average Daily Volume3 Month 621,844
Average Volume 621,844
Average Volume10Days 664,690
Beta 1.462
Bid 53.54
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 3.261
City Memphis
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 75.47
Current Ratio 1.466
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 75.84
Day Low 74.17
Debt To Equity 521.304
Display Name Frontdoor
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Growth 0.163
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.108
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 498,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.23513001
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.694
Enterprise To Revenue 2.75
Enterprise Value 5,823,585,280
Eps Current Year 4.55
Eps Forward 5.05
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.5
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 68.0794
Fifty Day Average Change 7.390602
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.108558565
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.393995
Fifty Two Week High 80.73
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.260002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.065155484
Fifty Two Week Low 48.47
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5570456
Fifty Two Week Range 48.47 - 80.73
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,536,845,400,000
Float Shares 69,684,280
Forward Eps 5.05
Forward P E 14.944554
Free Cashflow 328,124,992
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,034
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.55241
Gross Profits 1,170,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00748
Held Percent Institutions 1.07188
Implied Shares Outstanding 70,234,922
Industry Personal Services
Industry Disp Personal Services
Industry Key personal-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Frontdoor, Inc. provides home warranties and new home builder warranties in the United States. The company offers customizable home warranties that help customers to protect and maintain their homes from costly and unplanned breakdowns of essential home systems and appliances. Its home warranty customers subscribe to an annual service plan agreement that covers the repair or replacement of principal components of home systems and appliances, including electrical, plumbing, water heaters, refrigerators, dishwashers, and ranges/ovens/cooktops, as well as pools, spas, and pumps; and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems. It also offers non-warranty home services through website and application; a one-stop app experience for home repair and maintenance using video chat, augmented reality, and computer vision and machining learning. The company operates under the American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark, and 2-10 HBW brand names. Frontdoor, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Long Name Frontdoor, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,300,629,504
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_576104379
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 259,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,229,692,292
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 74.8
Operating Cashflow 411,000,000
Operating Margins 0.14634
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.38
Phone 901 701 5000
Previous Close 74.43
Price Eps Current Year 16.586813
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 23.14321
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.502658
Profit Margins 0.12229
Quick Ratio 1.359
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.0400009
Regular Market Change Percent 1.3972872
Regular Market Day High 75.84
Regular Market Day Low 74.17
Regular Market Day Range 74.17 - 75.84
Regular Market Open 74.8
Regular Market Previous Close 74.43
Regular Market Price 75.47
Regular Market Time 1,784,132,803
Regular Market Volume 172,949
Return On Assets 0.12019
Return On Equity 1.21028
Revenue Growth 0.059
Revenue Per Share 29.386
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 70,234,922
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0398
Shares Short 2,792,656
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,707,943
Short Name frontdoor, inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0563
Short Ratio 3.97
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol FTDR
Target High Price 82.0
Target Low Price 70.0
Target Mean Price 75.75
Target Median Price 75.5
Total Cash 603,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 8.585
Total Debt 1,199,000,064
Total Revenue 2,118,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 3.5
Trailing P E 21.562857
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 61.633
Two Hundred Day Average Change 13.837002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22450638
Type Disp Equity
Volume 172,949
Website https://www.frontdoorhome.com
Zip 38,125