Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Bedminster, United States | NasdaqGM
69.50 USD
+2.16
(3.208%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 68.48 -1.02 (-1.020%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 5:52 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT
The fundamental thesis faces a severe short-term overhang from the securities fraud lawsuit, which is triggering a 'falling knife' dynamic ('avoid' signals in news) and high short interest growth (+21.2%). While the 200-day holdings show a multi-year uptrending trend (bullish medium/long term), the recent 16% slide and negative 15% relative strength versus the 50-day average indicate momentum has decisively turned bearish for now. The stark disconnect between the falling price and the massive, specific put volume at 40-50 in the long-end suggests a 'bottom fishing' sentiment rather than a 'catch the knife' strategy. Until the brand turmoil (fraud allegations) is resolved, any technical bounce above the 50-day average is likely to be sold. Avoid short-term plays; wait for the clearance of the legal fog before considering a 3-recovery play at current valuations. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.100570 |
| AutoETS | 0.100582 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.125187 |
| MSTL | 0.125752 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 9.37 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.418 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.95 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 40.953 |
| Revenue per Share | 22.582 |
| Market Cap | 3,409,473,792 |
| Trailing P/E | 26.33 |
| Forward P/E | 34.51 |
| Beta | 1.78 |
| Profit Margins | 12.63% |
| Website | https://www.freshpet.com |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT: The options market shows a conflict between a near-term bump and a major latter-day hedging program. In the near term, there is a slight bullish tilt in the April 17 expiration with volume (169) significantly exceeding Open Interest (2.2k) at key strikes, and high-volume calls at 55.0 and 60.0 strikes. However, a massive Gamma/Theta hedge wall is active in the mid-to-long term. Specifically, on the December 18, 2026 expiration, there is intense Put volume (184 vs 85 OI) at the 100.0 strike, a 29.5% volume spike, alongside heavy Open Interest (2.0k) at the 40.0 strike. This suggests a strong sentiment for downside protection if the stock rallies toward 85-100, or a distinct expectation that the stock may correct sharply below 40-55, likely stemming from the pending litigation or analyst target disappointment. IVs remain suppressed for out-of-the-money calls but show discrete spikes on expiration dates below the current price.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.05132407 |
| Address1 | 1,450 US-206 |
| All Time High | 186.98 |
| All Time Low | 5.6 |
| Ask | 70.55 |
| Ask Size | 13 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.6 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,362,590 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,606,935 |
| Average Volume | 1,606,935 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,362,590 |
| Beta | 1.778 |
| Bid | 68.0 |
| Bid Size | 13 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 24.682 |
| City | Bedminster |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,735,603,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 69.5 |
| Current Ratio | 5.544 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 71.99 |
| Day Low | 66.3454 |
| Debt To Equity | 40.953 |
| Display Name | Freshpet |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,068,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,068,800 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.792 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.866 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,070,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,070,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,070,600 |
| Ebitda | 183,659,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.16666001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 19.746 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.291 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,626,482,688 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.36245 |
| Eps Forward | 2.01387 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.64 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 70.6262 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1261978 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.015945893 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -5.132407 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 89.8 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -20.300003 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.22605793 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 46.76 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 22.740002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.48631313 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 46.76 - 89.8 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,415,370,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 48,228,601 |
| Forward Eps | 2.01387 |
| Forward P E | 34.51067 |
| Free Cashflow | -3,288,750 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 1,288 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.408 |
| Gross Profits | 449,625,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.02317 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.1975399 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 49,057,177 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It offers dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and fresh treats under the Dognation and Dog Joy brand names. The company sells its products through a network of company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges, as well as through various classes of retail, including grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, and international, as well as digital. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Bedminster, New Jersey. |
| Long Name | Freshpet, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,409,473,792 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_34990682 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 139,136,992 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,409,473,801 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 66.3454 |
| Operating Cashflow | 160,560,992 |
| Operating Margins | 0.15632 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 4.28 |
| Phone | 201 520 4000 |
| Post Market Change | -1.0199966 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.4676211 |
| Post Market Price | 68.48 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,462,753 |
| Previous Close | 67.34 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 51.011047 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.8158174 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.0938544 |
| Profit Margins | 0.12626 |
| Quick Ratio | 4.348 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.61111 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 2.16 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.20761 |
| Regular Market Day High | 71.99 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 66.3454 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 66.3454 - 71.99 |
| Regular Market Open | 66.3454 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 67.34 |
| Regular Market Price | 69.5 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,700,181 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03502 |
| Return On Equity | 0.12291 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.086 |
| Revenue Per Share | 22.582 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 49,057,177 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.12560001 |
| Shares Short | 6,163,881 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,739,375 |
| Short Name | Freshpet, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.165 |
| Short Ratio | 3.31 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NJ |
| Symbol | FRPT |
| Target High Price | 111.0 |
| Target Low Price | 62.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 85.125 |
| Target Median Price | 85.5 |
| Total Cash | 277,975,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.666 |
| Total Debt | 494,984,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,102,014,976 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.64 |
| Trailing P E | 26.325756 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 4.4168 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 62.95105 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 6.54895 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.10403242 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,700,181 |
| Website | https://www.freshpet.com |
| Zip | 7,921 |