Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Bedminster, United States | NasdaqGM
68.10 USD
+1.94
(2.932%)
⇧
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 68.10 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:22 a.m. EDT
Freshpet presents a classic 'good business, ugly valuation' dilemma. Fundamentally, the company is executing well with 15.5% revenue growth and 17.6% earnings growth, supported by a fortress balance sheet featuring a 6.0x current ratio and minimal debt relative to equity. However, the market is pricing in perfection with a forward P/E of 32.6x, which leaves little room for error if growth decelerates even slightly. The short-term outlook is neutral; despite a 'Buy' consensus and a target price of $84, the stock is trading near its 50-day average, and the statistical forecasting model offers no directional edge, citing low confidence. Options activity confirms this hesitation, with traders buying insurance (puts) at the bottom while betting on a moonshot (OTM calls) at the top, rather than establishing a core position. Without a confirmed acceleration in growth or a multiple expansion, the risk-reward profile remains balanced, making it a hold rather than a high-conviction entry. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.099756 |
| AutoETS | 0.100393 |
| MSTL | 0.101429 |
| AutoTheta | 0.113887 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 0.13 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.153 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.38 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 39.885 |
| Revenue per Share | 24.033 |
| Market Cap | 3,272,754,688 |
| Trailing P/E | 17.97 |
| Forward P/E | 34.70 |
| Beta | 1.78 |
| Profit Margins | 17.28% |
| Website | https://www.freshpet.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (70, 85, 90, 105, 110), suggesting bets on a substantial rally, while Put Open Interest clusters at lower strikes (25, 35, 40, 42.5, 55), indicating a hedge against a sharp drop. The massive volume and OI at the 85 strike for January 2027 calls acts as a psychological ceiling, while deep in-the-money puts suggest a floor. Implied Volatility is elevated across most expirations compared to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty about the upcoming earnings report and broader sector rotation risks.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.28341413 |
| Address1 | 1,450 US-206 |
| All Time High | 186.98 |
| All Time Low | 5.6 |
| Ask | 85.98 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,147,240 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,196,459 |
| Average Volume | 1,196,459 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,147,240 |
| Beta | 1.778 |
| Bid | 71.38 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 25.454 |
| City | Bedminster |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 68.1 |
| Current Ratio | 6.046 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 68.475 |
| Day Low | 65.53 |
| Debt To Equity | 39.885 |
| Display Name | Freshpet |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,797,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,797,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.176 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.191 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,795,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,795,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,795,400 |
| Ebitda | 193,720,992 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.16455 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 17.15 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.822 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,322,370,048 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.67827 |
| Eps Forward | 1.96262 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 3.79 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 66.4844 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.6156006 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.024300447 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 28.341412 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 86.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -17.900002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.20813955 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 46.45 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 21.649998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.46609253 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 46.45 - 86.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,415,370,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 46,911,408 |
| Forward Eps | 1.96262 |
| Forward P E | 34.698513 |
| Free Cashflow | 19,274,124 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 1,288 |
| Fullday Change | 1.9399948 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.9322774 |
| Fullday Price | 68.1 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.41367 |
| Gross Profits | 487,016,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0207 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.3422 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 48,058,074 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It offers dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and fresh treats under the Dognation and Dog Joy brand names. The company sells its products through a network of company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges, as well as through various classes of retail, including grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, and international, as well as digital. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Bedminster, New Jersey. |
| Long Name | Freshpet, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,272,754,688 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_34990682 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 203,474,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,958,935,616 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 65.9 |
| Operating Cashflow | 206,622,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.07113 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.62 |
| Phone | 201 520 4000 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 68.1 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,008,018 |
| Previous Close | 66.16 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 40.5775 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.6754143 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.7798626 |
| Profit Margins | 0.17283002 |
| Quick Ratio | 4.867 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.72222 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.9399948 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.9322772 |
| Regular Market Day High | 68.475 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 65.53 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 65.53 - 68.475 |
| Regular Market Open | 65.9 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 66.16 |
| Regular Market Price | 68.1 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,027,312 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03486 |
| Return On Equity | 0.17622 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.155 |
| Revenue Per Share | 24.033 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 48,058,074 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.16870001 |
| Shares Short | 8,105,947 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,054,657 |
| Short Name | Freshpet, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1943 |
| Short Ratio | 7.68 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NJ |
| Symbol | FRPT |
| Target High Price | 104.0 |
| Target Low Price | 70.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 83.5 |
| Target Median Price | 80.0 |
| Total Cash | 350,808,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 7.3 |
| Total Debt | 493,656,992 |
| Total Revenue | 1,177,308,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 3.79 |
| Trailing P E | 17.968338 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 2.4693 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 63.606377 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 4.493622 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.07064735 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,027,312 |
| Website | https://www.freshpet.com |
| Zip | 7,921 |