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Fermi Inc. (FRMI)

Real Estate | REIT - Specialty | Amarillo, United States | NasdaqGS
5.00 USD -0.45 (-8.257%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.04 +0.04 (0.818%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:16 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken, making it a dangerous hold despite the recent hype. The company is burning cash with negative operating cash flow and carries a debt load that dwarfs its equity, resulting in a precarious balance sheet. The stock has suffered a catastrophic multi-year decline, dropping from nearly $37 to under $6, which signals that the market has thoroughly rejected the current business model and growth narrative. While the recent news about 'Project Matador' and turbine deliveries has sparked a temporary rally, the underlying fundamentals—negative earnings, massive debt, and a collapsing share price—remain dire. The options market is clearly pricing in a binary event where the stock either doubles or triples, but without a turnaround in profitability or a drastic reduction in leverage, this is a speculative gamble on a potential miracle rather than a sound investment thesis.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.198917
MSTL0.297785
AutoETS0.299052
AutoARIMA0.299061

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 1.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.046
Excess Kurtosis 0.15
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Debt to Equity Ratio 55.87
Market Cap 3,202,336,768
Forward P/E 43.14
Website https://www.fermiamerica.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively betting on a massive upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes like $15 and $20 for November expiration, suggesting a belief in a multi-bagger scenario. Conversely, put writing is concentrated at lower strikes ($4-$6), creating a floor for downside protection while allowing for significant gamma exposure if the stock rallies. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep OTM calls, indicating a high-risk, high-reward speculative positioning rather than a balanced hedge.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.8324623
Address1 620 South Taylor Street
Address2 Suite 301
All Time High 36.99
All Time Low 4.47
Ask 5.04
Ask Size 7
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 15,796,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 19,665,733
Average Volume 19,665,733
Average Volume10Days 15,796,110
Bid 5.04
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 10
Book Value 1.617
City Amarillo
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.0
Current Ratio 1.102
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 5.44
Day Low 4.97
Debt To Equity 55.87
Display Name Fermi
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,626,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,626,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,227,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,227,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise Value 3,716,188,672
Eps Current Year -0.3589
Eps Forward 0.11589
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.34
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.9402
Fifty Day Average Change -1.9401999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.27955964
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -83.24623
Fifty Two Week High 36.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -31.990002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.86482835
Fifty Two Week Low 4.47
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.5300002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11856829
Fifty Two Week Range 4.47 - 36.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,759,325,400,000
Float Shares 463,301,270
Forward Eps 0.11589
Forward P E 43.144363
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 35
Fullday Change -0.45
Fullday Change Percent -8.25688
Fullday Price 5.0409
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.4711
Held Percent Institutions 0.26212
Implied Shares Outstanding 640,467,348
Industry REIT - Specialty
Industry Disp REIT - Specialty
Industry Key reit-specialty
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-10-01
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Fermi Inc. develops next-generation private electric grids that deliver highly redundant power at gigawatt scale to support next-generation intelligence and AI compute. The company combines cutting-edge technology with a deep bench of proven world-class multidisciplinary leaders with a combined 25 GW of experience to create one of the world's largest 17 GW next-generation private grids, helping ensure America's energy and AI dominance. The behind-the-meter Project Matador campus is expected to integrate the nation's largest combined-cycle natural gas project, one of the largest clean new nuclear power complexes in America, utility grid power, solar power, and battery energy storage to support hyperscale AI and advanced computing. The company was incorporated in 2025 is headquartered in Amarillo, Texas.
Long Name Fermi Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,202,336,768
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1958809245
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -737,894,976
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,487,344,709
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 5.41
Operating Cashflow -87,549,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 214 894 7855
Post Market Change 0.04090023
Post Market Change Percent 0.8180046
Post Market Price 5.0409
Post Market Time 1,787,961,563
Previous Close 5.45
Price Eps Current Year -13.931457
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 3.092146
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.411
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.625
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.45
Regular Market Change Percent -8.25688
Regular Market Day High 5.44
Regular Market Day Low 4.97
Regular Market Day Range 4.97 - 5.44
Regular Market Open 5.41
Regular Market Previous Close 5.45
Regular Market Price 5.0
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 18,418,024
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 640,467,348
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0769
Shares Short 49,273,994
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 42,495,877
Short Name Fermi Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1009
Short Ratio 2.44
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol FRMI
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 17.125
Target Median Price 13.5
Total Cash 62,536,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.098
Total Debt 576,387,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.34
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.4579
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.4579
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.40883672
Type Disp Equity
Volume 18,418,024
Website https://www.fermiamerica.com
Zip 79,101