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First Merchants Corporation (FRME)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | Muncie, United States | NasdaqGS
39.06 USD -0.19 (-0.484%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:55 a.m. EDT

First Merchants presents a classic case of a 'value trap' candidate where the math looks attractive but the trajectory tells a different story. The stock trades at a discount to book value, which usually signals opportunity, yet the business has been in a multi-year decline with negative earnings growth and shrinking revenue per share. While the 3.74% dividend yield is compelling and the payout ratio remains sustainable at roughly 47%, this income is likely a compensation for the company's inability to generate capital appreciation. The recent news of a large institutional buyer is encouraging, but it cannot yet override the fundamental reality that the company is failing to grow its core metrics. With the price hovering below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the technical trend remains bearish. This is a hold for income-focused investors who can stomach stagnation, but it lacks the explosive catalyst needed for a short-term momentum play or the robust growth engine required for a long-term compounding bet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.052169
AutoETS0.052170
AutoTheta0.052351
MSTL0.054176

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 5.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.230
Excess Kurtosis -1.24
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-03
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-03
Revenue per Share 10.821
Market Cap 2,453,023,744
Trailing P/E 12.56
Forward P/E 8.74
Beta 0.88
Profit Margins 28.96%
Website https://www.firstmerchants.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:55 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely light and ambiguous. Call volume and open interest are negligible across all expirations, with no meaningful bets on upside beyond the ATM strike. Put activity is similarly sparse, consisting of isolated contracts rather than a defensive wall. Implied volatility is elevated relative to the deep out-of-the-money strikes, suggesting a lack of consensus on a specific directional move rather than fear of a crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.88% 3.73% 3.81% 3.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-04 0.370000 0.879696
2026-06-05 0.370000 0.926622
2026-03-06 0.360000 0.958722
2025-12-05 0.360000 0.964372
2025-09-05 0.360000 0.877835
2025-06-06 0.360000 0.974290
2025-03-07 0.350000 0.847252
2024-12-06 0.350000 0.812819
2024-09-06 0.350000 0.961538
2024-06-07 0.350000 1.107595
2024-02-29 0.340000 1.024096
2023-11-30 0.340000 1.108575
2023-08-31 0.340000 1.139410
2023-06-01 0.340000 1.270553
2023-03-02 0.320000 0.798802
2022-12-01 0.320000 0.735632
2022-09-01 0.320000 0.802407
2022-06-02 0.320000 0.781441
2022-03-03 0.290000 0.664680
2021-12-02 0.290000 0.713056
2021-09-02 0.290000 0.710959
2021-06-03 0.290000 0.634573
2021-03-04 0.260000 0.588368
2020-12-03 0.260000 0.754279
2020-09-03 0.260000 1.025237
2020-06-04 0.260000 0.895625
2020-03-05 0.260000 0.769003
2019-12-05 0.260000 0.648864
2019-08-29 0.260000 0.723831
2019-05-17 0.260000 0.731776
2019-02-28 0.220000 0.544689
2018-12-06 0.220000 0.562516
2018-09-06 0.220000 0.460347
2018-05-31 0.220000 0.483623
2018-03-01 0.180000 0.434888
2017-11-30 0.180000 0.410959
2017-08-30 0.180000 0.459770
2017-05-31 0.180000 0.453515
2017-03-01 0.150000 0.368822
2016-11-30 0.150000 0.436936
2016-08-31 0.140000 0.515654
2016-06-01 0.140000 0.538462
2016-03-02 0.110000 0.481400
2015-12-02 0.110000 0.409531
2015-09-02 0.110000 0.422103
2015-06-03 0.110000 0.462185
2015-03-05 0.080000 0.352734
2014-12-03 0.080000 0.365631
2014-09-03 0.080000 0.396236
2014-06-04 0.080000 0.401606
2014-03-05 0.050000 0.227583
2013-12-04 0.050000 0.241429
2013-09-04 0.050000 0.292227
2013-05-30 0.050000 0.297974
2013-03-13 0.030000 0.197109
2012-11-29 0.030000 0.220751
2012-08-30 0.030000 0.214900
2012-05-31 0.030000 0.255754
2012-03-01 0.010000 0.090909
2011-12-01 0.010000 0.126263
2011-08-31 0.010000 0.131752
2011-06-02 0.010000 0.123153
2011-03-03 0.010000 0.111235
2010-12-02 0.010000 0.111359
2010-09-01 0.010000 0.124224
2010-06-03 0.010000 0.116144
2010-03-03 0.010000 0.166389
2009-12-02 0.080000 1.372213
2009-09-02 0.080000 1.204819
2009-06-03 0.080000 0.828157
2009-03-04 0.230000 2.491874
2008-12-03 0.230000 1.174668
2008-09-03 0.230000 1.171676
2008-06-04 0.230000 0.969237
2008-03-04 0.230000 0.889061
2007-12-04 0.230000 1.121404
2007-09-04 0.230000 1.045930
2007-06-04 0.230000 0.940311
2007-03-02 0.230000 0.992663
2006-12-04 0.230000 0.859813
2006-09-01 0.230000 0.951987
2006-06-01 0.230000 0.950413
2006-03-02 0.230000 0.906225
2005-12-02 0.230000 0.874525
2005-09-01 0.230000 0.861423
2005-06-02 0.230000 0.920000
2005-03-03 0.230000 0.873197
2004-12-02 0.230000 0.842491
2004-09-01 0.230000 0.953961
2004-06-02 0.230000 0.952381
2004-03-03 0.230000 0.909091
2003-12-03 0.230000 0.920000
2003-09-03 0.230000 0.852483
2003-06-04 0.219048 0.920002
2003-03-04 0.219048 0.986280
2002-12-04 0.219048 1.029085
2002-09-04 0.219048 0.858210
2002-06-06 0.208617 0.827339
2002-03-05 0.208617 0.980811
2001-12-04 0.208617 0.970465
2001-09-06 0.208617 0.958334
2001-06-04 0.198683 1.019957
2001-03-02 0.198683 0.994596
2000-12-04 0.198683 0.991248
2000-09-01 0.198683 1.045456
2000-06-06 0.190044 0.975068
2000-03-02 0.190044 0.907215
1999-12-02 0.190044 0.812932
1999-09-01 0.190044 0.941175
1999-06-02 0.172768 0.842108
1999-03-04 0.172768 0.909093
1998-11-18 0.172768 0.714288
1998-09-02 0.172768 0.789476
1998-06-03 0.161250 0.695654
1998-03-04 0.161250 0.727274
1997-12-03 0.161250 0.817520
1997-09-03 0.161250 0.899600
1997-06-04 0.138214 0.820513
1997-03-04 0.138214 0.800000
1996-12-04 0.138214 0.923077
1996-09-04 0.138214 0.923077
1996-06-04 0.115178 0.740739
1996-03-04 0.115178 0.754715
1995-12-04 0.115178 0.769228
1995-09-01 0.115178 0.754715
1995-06-01 0.107500 0.800002
1995-03-01 0.107500 0.848487
1994-11-30 0.107500 0.878433
1994-08-30 0.107500 0.875002
1994-05-31 0.095982 0.884956
1994-03-01 0.095982 0.840336
1993-11-30 0.095982 0.833334
1993-08-30 0.095982 0.854701
1993-06-01 0.084464 0.785713
1993-03-01 0.084464 0.758620
1992-08-31 0.084464 0.822429
1992-06-01 0.079345 0.861110
1992-03-02 0.079345 0.873238
1991-12-02 0.079345 1.016392
1991-08-30 0.079345 1.137613
1991-05-31 0.071667 1.076930
1991-02-28 0.071667 1.191497
1990-11-30 0.071667 1.287365
1990-08-30 0.071667 1.333342
1990-05-31 0.063988 0.970874
1990-02-28 0.063988 0.909091
1989-11-30 0.063988 1.041667
1989-08-30 0.063988 0.980393
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.79
exDividendDate 2026-09-04
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.45
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.036942676
lastDividendValue 0.37
lastDividendDate 2026-09-04
dividendDate 2026-09-18

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.060810804
Address1 200 East Jackson Street
All Time High 50.65
All Time Low 4.863086
Ask 50.07
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 526,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 460,060
Average Volume 460,060
Average Volume10Days 526,420
Beta 0.881
Bid 28.03
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 42.955
City Muncie
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 39.06
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 39.625
Day Low 38.78
Display Name First Merchants
Dividend Date 1,789,689,600
Dividend Yield 3.79
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Earnings Growth -0.287
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.226
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 5.396
Enterprise Value 3,465,000,704
Eps Current Year 3.85667
Eps Forward 4.47
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.11
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.412
Fifty Day Average Change -2.3519974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05679507
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.0810804
Fifty Two Week High 45.33
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.2700005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.138319
Fifty Two Week Low 34.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.4000015
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12694754
Fifty Two Week Range 34.66 - 45.33
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 614,352,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.47
Float Shares 61,562,979
Forward Eps 4.47
Forward P E 8.7382555
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,086
Fullday Change -0.18999863
Fullday Change Percent -0.48407292
Fullday Price 39.06
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 642,190,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02102
Held Percent Institutions 0.75545
Implied Shares Outstanding 62,801,423
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Ir Website https://www.firstmerchants.com/InvestorRelations
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Last Dividend Value 0.37
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,061,942,400
Last Split Factor 105:100
Long Business Summary First Merchants Corporation operates as the financial holding company for First Merchants Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services. The company offers a range of financial services, including checking, savings, and deposit products; debit and credit cards; mortgages, refinance, construction or renovation of residential properties, agricultural lending, treasury management services and depository products. It also provides personal and commercial wealth management services, brokerage, investment management, private banking, fiduciary estate, and financial planning services. The company operates banking locations in Indiana, Ohio, and Michigan counties. It offers its services through electronic and mobile delivery channels. First Merchants Corporation was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Muncie, Indiana.
Long Name First Merchants Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,453,023,744
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_272220
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 184,091,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,515,196,991
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 39.5
Operating Cashflow 314,899,008
Operating Margins 0.34273
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.4662
Peg Ratio 1.4
Phone 765 747 1500
Previous Close 39.25
Price Eps Current Year 10.127909
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9093237
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.819773
Profit Margins 0.28958
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.83333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.189999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.484073
Regular Market Day High 39.625
Regular Market Day Low 38.78
Regular Market Day Range 38.78 - 39.625
Regular Market Open 39.5
Regular Market Previous Close 39.25
Regular Market Price 39.06
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 302,034
Return On Assets 0.00931
Return On Equity 0.07372
Revenue Growth 0.028
Revenue Per Share 10.821
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 62,801,423
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0385
Shares Short 2,419,335
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,854,283
Short Name First Merchants Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.043899998
Short Ratio 4.85
Source Interval 15
State IN
Symbol FRME
Target High Price 48.0
Target Low Price 45.0
Target Mean Price 46.5
Target Median Price 46.0
Total Cash 665,652,992
Total Cash Per Share 10.599
Total Debt 1,652,504,960
Total Revenue 642,190,976
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.45
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.036942676
Trailing Eps 3.11
Trailing P E 12.559486
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 40.5766
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5165977
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.037376165
Type Disp Equity
Volume 302,034
Website https://www.firstmerchants.com
Zip 47,305-2814