Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS)Industrials | Electrical Equipment & Parts | Dayton, United States | NYSE
31.68 USD
-0.69
(-2.132%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 31.68 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:14 a.m. EDT
The investment thesis here is driven by a stark divergence between deteriorating historical performance and explosive near-term catalysts. Fundamentally, the company shows signs of distress with a trailing P/E of 133, negative free cash flow, and a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 100%. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this struggle, with the stock trading well below its 200-day moving average and failing to generate the sustained revenue growth required to justify a premium valuation based on past performance. However, the immediate outlook has shifted dramatically due to a public offering and the expiration of a lock-up period, which typically unlocks significant supply and often triggers a re-rating. Analysts have upgraded the recommendation to 'Strong Buy' with a mean target price of $55.75, implying nearly 40% upside from current levels. This optimism is mirrored in the options chain, where traders are building substantial call positions at $50 and $60 strikes, betting on a rapid recovery. While the long-term business quality remains unproven given the recent operational headwinds, the convergence of a fresh capital raise, institutional upgrades, and heavy speculative positioning suggests a high-conviction short-term bounce is underway. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.102152 |
| AutoETS | 0.106245 |
| MSTL | 0.106331 |
| AutoTheta | 0.106724 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 1.26 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.117 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.34 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 104.821 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.831 |
| Market Cap | 10,105,438,208 |
| Trailing P/E | 117.33 |
| Forward P/E | 15.70 |
| Profit Margins | 5.76% |
| Website | https://www.forgentpower.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $50, $60, and $65 strikes for 2026 and 2027 expirations. Call volume spikes significantly at these levels compared to the money-weighted average, while put activity remains concentrated in the downside protection zone ($30-$35) but lacks the aggressive buildup seen in calls. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money calls, suggesting a market expectation of a significant gap-up event rather than a slow grind higher.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.09241378 |
| Address1 | 11,500 Dayton Parkway |
| All Time High | 66.0 |
| All Time Low | 25.95 |
| Ask | 31.66 |
| Ask Size | 400 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,595,320 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 8,202,756 |
| Average Volume | 8,202,756 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,595,320 |
| Bid | 31.4 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Book Value | 2.171 |
| City | Dayton |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 31.68 |
| Current Ratio | 1.54 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 33.04 |
| Day Low | 31.065 |
| Debt To Equity | 104.821 |
| Display Name | Forgent Power |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,789,484,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,789,484,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,789,475,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,789,475,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,789,475,400 |
| Ebitda | 249,188,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.17548001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 37.764 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 6.627 |
| Enterprise Value | 9,410,396,160 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.35168 |
| Eps Forward | 2.01776 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.27 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 35.3154 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.6353989 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.102940895 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 9.241379 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 66.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -34.32 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.52 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 25.95 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.7299995 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22080922 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 25.95 - 66.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,770,301,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 170,615,844 |
| Forward Eps | 2.01776 |
| Forward P E | 15.700579 |
| Free Cashflow | -87,482,752 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 3,000 |
| Fullday Change | -0.6899986 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -2.1315992 |
| Fullday Price | 31.68 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.35027 |
| Gross Profits | 497,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00137 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.94811994 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 318,984,814 |
| Industry | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Industry Disp | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Industry Key | electrical-equipment-parts |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,782,777,600 |
| Long Business Summary | Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. engages in the design and manufacture of electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid, and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include dry type transformers, liquid filled transformers, switchgear, switchboards, panelboards, remote power panels, generator connection cabinets, tap boxes, automatic transfer switches, gear ehouses, power skids, power distribution units, and ups ehouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota. |
| Long Name | Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 10,105,438,208 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1968767589 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 72,925,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,814,313,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 10,948,140,508 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 12 |
| Open | 31.85 |
| Operating Cashflow | 109,081,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.19863 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.31 |
| Phone | 763 588 0536 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 31.68 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,194,734 |
| Previous Close | 32.37 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 23.4375 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 14.592354 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 7.11621 |
| Profit Margins | 0.05763 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.842 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.41667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.689999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.1316 |
| Regular Market Day High | 33.04 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 31.065 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 31.065 - 33.04 |
| Regular Market Open | 31.85 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 32.37 |
| Regular Market Price | 31.68 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 8,245,210 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06048 |
| Return On Equity | 0.17038 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.943 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.831 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.13723719 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 274,527,094 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0517 |
| Shares Short | 14,203,832 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,457,837 |
| Short Name | Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0743 |
| Short Ratio | 1.36 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MN |
| Symbol | FPS |
| Target High Price | 76.0 |
| Target Low Price | 44.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 54.66667 |
| Target Median Price | 52.0 |
| Total Cash | 97,477,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.355 |
| Total Debt | 703,771,008 |
| Total Revenue | 1,420,059,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.27 |
| Trailing P E | 117.33333 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.4069 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 39.208977 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -7.5289764 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.19202176 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 8,245,210 |
| Website | https://www.forgentpower.com |
| Zip | 55,369 |