Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS)Industrials | Electrical Equipment & Parts | Dayton, United States | NYSE
42.60 USD
-3.15
(-6.885%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:50 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Forgent Power Solutions is currently paralyzed by a lack of earnings reality. With a trailing P/E of 2,287x and zero dividend history, the stock is entirely priced on future expectations that have not yet materialized. While the company recently announced a public offering and reports strong quarterly earnings growth, the balance sheet remains fragile with debt significantly outweighing equity. The recent price action shows a sharp decline from mid-June highs, erasing earlier gains. Crucially, the statistical forecasting model offers no guidance, citing low confidence and wide intervals, which confirms that the current price movement is driven by noise and speculation rather than a predictable trend. The options market reflects this uncertainty with heavy hedging on the downside and lottery-ticket buying on the upside, but without a concrete earnings catalyst or improved fundamentals to anchor the valuation, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the buyer. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.214814 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.217882 |
| AutoTheta | 0.220660 |
| AutoETS | 0.220935 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 6.71 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.149 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.41 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 121.449 |
| Revenue per Share | 4.899 |
| Market Cap | 12,968,670,208 |
| Trailing P/E | 2130.00 |
| Forward P/E | 36.37 |
| Profit Margins | 2.17% |
| Website | https://www.forgentpower.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Near-term expirations show heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes like $65 and $75, suggesting a speculative 'lottery ticket' mentality for a massive pop. However, deep-dated puts (Nov 2026, Jan 2027) exhibit massive volume and open interest at strikes far below current prices ($20-$30), indicating a strong hedge against a severe crash or a bearish view on the long-term trajectory. The imbalance suggests traders expect a binary event: either a parabolic rally or a deep correction, with the current price acting as a pivot point.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.5775862 |
| Address1 | 11,500 Dayton Parkway |
| All Time High | 66.0 |
| All Time Low | 25.95 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 12,790,880 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,810,601 |
| Average Volume | 6,810,601 |
| Average Volume10Days | 12,790,880 |
| Bid | 42.64 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Book Value | 1.829 |
| City | Dayton |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 42.6 |
| Current Ratio | 1.641 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 45.11 |
| Day Low | 42.37 |
| Debt To Equity | 121.449 |
| Display Name | Forgent Power |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,770,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,770,800 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 1.657 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,761,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,761,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,761,800 |
| Ebitda | 164,375,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.13744001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 67.828 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 9.322 |
| Enterprise Value | 11,149,305,856 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.67549 |
| Eps Forward | 1.17129 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.02 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 50.6454 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -8.045403 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.15885751 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 57.758617 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 66.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -23.400002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.35454547 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 25.95 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 16.649998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.6416184 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 25.95 - 66.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,770,301,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 160,764,469 |
| Forward Eps | 1.17129 |
| Forward P E | 36.370155 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 2,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.34332 |
| Gross Profits | 410,604,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00098 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.7459 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 304,428,889 |
| Industry | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Industry Disp | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Industry Key | electrical-equipment-parts |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,751,241,600 |
| Long Business Summary | Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. designs and manufactures electrical distribution equipment used in data centers, the power grid and energy-intensive industrial facilities. The company's products include automatic transfer switches (ATS), gear eHouses, generator connection cabinets, low voltage switchgear, low voltage transformers, medium voltage switchgear, medium voltage VPI transformers, padmount transformers, panelboards, paralleling switchgear, PDU transformers, power distribution units, power skids, remote power panels, substation transformers, switchboards, tap boxes, and UPS eHouses. It also provides maintenance, testing, repair, modernization, start-up and commissioning and aftermarket retrofit services. It serves technology, power, utility and industrial companies. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Dayton, Minnesota. |
| Long Name | Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 12,968,670,208 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1968767589 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 17,066,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,782,777,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 11,074,771,799 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 9 |
| Open | 44.56 |
| Operating Cashflow | 27,971,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.103870004 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.47 |
| Phone | 763 588 0536 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.40999985 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.96221507 |
| Pre Market Price | 43.02 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,022,936 |
| Previous Close | 45.75 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 63.065327 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 23.291416 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 10.8433695 |
| Profit Margins | 0.02173 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.995 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -3.15 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -6.88525 |
| Regular Market Day High | 45.11 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 42.37 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 42.37 - 45.11 |
| Regular Market Open | 44.56 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 45.75 |
| Regular Market Price | 42.6 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 5,611,074 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.034 |
| Revenue Per Share | 4.899 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Shares Outstanding | 259,971,169 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0494 |
| Shares Short | 12,850,918 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,555,360 |
| Short Name | Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2811 |
| Short Ratio | 2.03 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MN |
| Symbol | FPS |
| Target High Price | 73.0 |
| Target Low Price | 51.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 60.44444 |
| Target Median Price | 60.0 |
| Total Cash | 93,831,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.384 |
| Total Debt | 707,558,976 |
| Total Revenue | 1,196,000,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.02 |
| Trailing P E | 2,130.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.5039 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 41.311962 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.2880363 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.03117829 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 5,611,074 |
| Website | https://www.forgentpower.com |
| Zip | 55,369 |