Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH)Real Estate | Real Estate - Development | Irvine, United States | NYSE
4.34 USD
+0.06
(1.446%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 9:46 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:47 a.m. EDT
Five Point Holdings presents a classic value trap scenario where attractive valuation metrics mask severe operational distress. While the trailing P/E of 6.3x appears cheap, the company is generating negative free cash flow (-$101M) and suffers from crushing operating margins of -54%. This disconnect between reported net income (driven by venture investments rather than core operations) and cash reality suggests the business model is fundamentally broken. The balance sheet is precarious with debt significantly exceeding cash reserves, and the return on assets is effectively zero. Furthermore, the stock is trading below its book value, which is rare for a healthy real estate developer and often signals insolvency or asset impairment issues. With no dividend to provide income and a statistical forecast showing low confidence in any short-term reversal, the risk-reward profile is unfavorable. Investors should avoid this security until the core operational bleed stops and a credible path to positive cash flow is demonstrated. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.051546 |
| AutoETS | 0.051547 |
| AutoTheta | 0.056874 |
| MSTL | 0.057576 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 32% |
| H-stat | 17.53 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.003 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.46 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 19.507 |
| Revenue per Share | 1.644 |
| Market Cap | 642,177,856 |
| Trailing P/E | 6.29 |
| Forward P/E | 6.58 |
| Beta | 1.37 |
| Profit Margins | 45.35% |
| Website | https://www.fivepoint.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the December expiration, specifically at the money, suggesting a fear of downside or a desire to hedge existing long positions. Call activity is sparse and concentrated entirely at the money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish sentiment despite the stock trading near its 52-week lows.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.27824622 |
| Address1 | 2,000 FivePoint |
| Address2 | 4th Floor |
| All Time High | 16.74 |
| All Time Low | 1.88 |
| Ask | 4.38 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 192,810 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 169,859 |
| Average Volume | 169,859 |
| Average Volume10Days | 192,810 |
| Beta | 1.365 |
| Bid | 4.32 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Book Value | 11.823 |
| City | Irvine |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.3419 |
| Current Ratio | 74.561 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 4.35 |
| Day Low | 4.3 |
| Debt To Equity | 19.507 |
| Display Name | Five Point |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,784,840,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,784,840,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 2.282 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 2.271 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,784,836,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,217,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,217,600 |
| Ebitda | 2,993,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.025610002 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 663.034 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 16.98 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,984,460,032 |
| Eps Forward | 0.66 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.69 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.927 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.5851002 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.11875384 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -27.824623 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 6.47 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.1281 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.32891807 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.2 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.14190006 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.03378573 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.2 - 6.47 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,494,423,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 63,040,714 |
| Forward Eps | 0.66 |
| Forward P E | 6.5786357 |
| Free Cashflow | -101,281,248 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 90 |
| Fullday Change | 0.061899662 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.4462537 |
| Fullday Price | 4.3419 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.45406 |
| Gross Profits | 53,067,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.18018 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.5277 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 147,902,492 |
| Industry | Real Estate - Development |
| Industry Disp | Real Estate - Development |
| Industry Key | real-estate-development |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. |
| Long Name | Five Point Holdings, LLC |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 642,177,856 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_339112077 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 52,639,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 338,924,710 |
| Open | 4.38 |
| Operating Cashflow | 65,480,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.54293996 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 949 349 1000 |
| Previous Close | 4.28 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 0.3672418 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 5.4946637 |
| Profit Margins | 0.45345002 |
| Quick Ratio | 10.918 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.061899662 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.4462537 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.35 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.3 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.3 - 4.35 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.38 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.28 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.3419 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,071,993 |
| Regular Market Volume | 8,659 |
| Return On Assets | -0.0011999999 |
| Return On Equity | 0.059860002 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.86 |
| Revenue Per Share | 1.644 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Shares Outstanding | 71,783,254 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0077 |
| Shares Short | 551,055 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 513,346 |
| Short Name | Five Point Holdings, LLC |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0092 |
| Short Ratio | 3.43 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | FPH |
| Total Cash | 348,382,016 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 4.852 |
| Total Debt | 469,201,984 |
| Total Revenue | 116,873,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.69 |
| Trailing P E | 6.2926087 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 5.13025 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.7883501 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.153667 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 8,659 |
| Website | https://www.fivepoint.com |
| Zip | 92,618 |