Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH)Real Estate | Real Estate - Development | Irvine, United States | NYSE
5.12 USD
+0.02
(0.392%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:51 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is severely compromised by deteriorating operational fundamentals. Despite trading at a low price-to-book ratio, the company is generating negative operating margins (-70%) and burning significant free cash flow, while returning negative equity to shareholders. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this structural decline, with the stock down nearly 58% over the last eight years, despite a recent year-over-year recovery. This recent uptick appears to be a technical bounce rather than a reversal of the long-term trend, especially given the heavy institutional selling pressure implied by the options flow. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet showing negative operating cash flow, there is no margin of safety for a long-term holder. The short-term outlook remains neutral-to-bearish as the statistical models show no directional edge and the options market is pricing in downside risk. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.022350 |
| AutoTheta | 0.022758 |
| AutoETS | 0.022782 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.022783 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.041246 |
| MSTL_90 | 0.047634 |
| MSTL_90_126 | 0.088020 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 2.18 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.305 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.79 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 19.836 |
| Revenue per Share | 1.567 |
| Market Cap | 760,452,672 |
| Trailing P/E | 8.39 |
| Forward P/E | 7.76 |
| Beta | 1.33 |
| Profit Margins | 41.16% |
| Website | https://www.fivepoint.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 5.0 and 10.0) relative to calls, suggesting a fear of further downside. Implied volatility is extremely compressed for near-term puts (0.06 IV) compared to calls (1.16 IV), indicating the market expects little movement soon but is willing to pay a premium for protection against a crash. The lack of call volume and the dominance of put open interest signal a bearish sentiment.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.14808655 |
| Address1 | 2,000 FivePoint |
| Address2 | 4th Floor |
| All Time High | 16.74 |
| All Time Low | 1.88 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 111,530 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 168,360 |
| Average Volume | 168,360 |
| Average Volume10Days | 111,530 |
| Beta | 1.327 |
| Bid | 4.53 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Book Value | 11.626 |
| City | Irvine |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 5.12 |
| Current Ratio | 66.353 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 5.162 |
| Day Low | 5.05 |
| Debt To Equity | 19.836 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,776,978,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,776,978,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,776,974,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,784,836,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,784,836,800 |
| Ebitda | -2,326,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.02106 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -879.29 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 18.518 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,045,228,160 |
| Eps Forward | 0.66 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.61 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.028 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.09200001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.018297536 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -14.808655 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 6.64 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.52 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.22891566 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.6 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.52 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.11304348 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.6 - 6.64 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,494,423,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 63,800,987 |
| Forward Eps | 0.66 |
| Forward P E | 7.7575755 |
| Free Cashflow | -125,328,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 90 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.45025003 |
| Gross Profits | 49,727,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.17732 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.56584 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 148,525,924 |
| Industry | Real Estate - Development |
| Industry Disp | Real Estate - Development |
| Industry Key | real-estate-development |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. |
| Long Name | Five Point Holdings, LLC |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 760,452,672 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_339112077 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 45,111,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 370,839,116 |
| Open | 5.14 |
| Operating Cashflow | 3,999,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.70739 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 949 349 1000 |
| Previous Close | 5.1 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.4403922 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 6.885414 |
| Profit Margins | 0.41157 |
| Quick Ratio | 9.646 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.02 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.392157 |
| Regular Market Day High | 5.162 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 5.05 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 5.05 - 5.162 |
| Regular Market Open | 5.14 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.1 |
| Regular Market Price | 5.12 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 60,853 |
| Return On Assets | -0.00213 |
| Return On Equity | 0.0511 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.032 |
| Revenue Per Share | 1.567 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Shares Outstanding | 72,406,686 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0053 |
| Shares Short | 383,054 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 356,757 |
| Short Name | Five Point Holdings, LLC |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0063 |
| Short Ratio | 2.28 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | FPH |
| Total Cash | 332,566,016 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 4.592 |
| Total Debt | 471,582,016 |
| Total Revenue | 110,444,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.61 |
| Trailing P E | 8.393442 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 5.44095 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.32095003 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.058987867 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 60,853 |
| Website | https://www.fivepoint.com |
| Zip | 92,618 |