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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH)

Real Estate | Real Estate - Development | Irvine, United States | NYSE
5.32 USD +0.06 (1.139%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 10:29 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:30 p.m. EDT

FPH is the quintessential 'value trap' where fundamental deterioration (slashing revenues and earnings by nearly 50%) clashes with distorted valuation metrics (P/B < 1, mCap < 50% of BV). While the P/E is low at ~5.5x, forward Earnings Growth is negative, and Free Cash Flow is negative, meaning the math does not support a 2x multiple expansion despite bullish headlines. With divestments continuing (no dividends) and a low price bounce off recent lows, the stock is currently unattractive; the relative value is a statistical anomaly corrected by a toxic growth reality rather than a catalyst.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.074503
AutoETS0.074953
MSTL0.078029
AutoTheta0.099595

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 5.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.221
Excess Kurtosis -1.21
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Debt to Equity Ratio 21.689
Revenue per Share 1.572
Market Cap 782,522,560
Trailing P/E 5.54
Forward P/E 8.06
Beta 1.39
Profit Margins 64.50%
Website https://www.fivepoint.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:30 p.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is ambiguous and fragmented. Near-term May 2026 calls show negligible activity with 50% IV. Long-term December 2026 calls reveal a heavy concentration of Open Interest at the $7.50 strike (likely synthetic hedging or deferred speculative targets), though volume is high at lower strikes (2.5). Conversely, December puts show aggressive Open Interest accumulation at-the-money ($5.00), exceeding volume, indicating a defensive stance where traders are locking in downside exposure at current levels due to recent price retracement. There is no clear directional consensus from spot flow; it appears to be a 'buy the floor' strategy for long-dated capital.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.043650746
Address1 2,000 FivePoint
Address2 4th Floor
All Time High 16.74
All Time Low 1.88
Ask 5.34
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 149,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 189,737
Average Volume 189,737
Average Volume10Days 149,640
Beta 1.393
Bid 5.32
Bid Size 400
Book Value 11.856
City Irvine
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.3199
Current Ratio 82.215
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 5.35
Day Low 5.25
Debt To Equity 21.689
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,776,978,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,776,978,000
Earnings Growth -0.523
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.499
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,974,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,776,974,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,776,974,400
Ebitda 1,434,000
Ebitda Margins 0.01303
Enterprise To Ebitda 1,403.901
Enterprise To Revenue 18.298
Enterprise Value 2,013,194,496
Eps Forward 0.66
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.96
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.1876
Fifty Day Average Change 0.1322999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.025503103
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 4.3650746
Fifty Two Week High 6.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3200998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19881022
Fifty Two Week Low 4.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.59990025
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12709752
Fifty Two Week Range 4.72 - 6.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,494,423,000,000
Float Shares 62,625,758
Forward Eps 0.66
Forward P E 8.060454
Free Cashflow -107,068,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 90
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.48381
Gross Profits 53,229,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.16561002
Held Percent Institutions 0.58191
Implied Shares Outstanding 147,093,480
Industry Real Estate - Development
Industry Disp Real Estate - Development
Industry Key real-estate-development
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
Long Name Five Point Holdings, LLC
Market us_market
Market Cap 782,522,560
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_339112077
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 70,607,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 375,316,437
Open 5.24
Operating Cashflow 105,230,000
Operating Margins 0.24891001
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 949 349 1000
Previous Close 5.26
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.44870952
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.1125484
Profit Margins 0.64502996
Quick Ratio 14.264
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.059899807
Regular Market Change Percent 1.1387795
Regular Market Day High 5.35
Regular Market Day Low 5.25
Regular Market Day Range 5.25 - 5.35
Regular Market Open 5.24
Regular Market Previous Close 5.26
Regular Market Price 5.3199
Regular Market Time 1,776,781,782
Regular Market Volume 29,038
Return On Assets -0.00145
Return On Equity 0.080340005
Revenue Growth -0.525
Revenue Per Share 1.572
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Shares Outstanding 71,330,106
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0055
Shares Short 393,414
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 374,523
Short Name Five Point Holdings, LLC
Short Percent Of Float 0.0058999998
Short Ratio 2.02
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol FPH
Total Cash 425,545,984
Total Cash Per Share 5.964
Total Debt 518,072,992
Total Revenue 110,020,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.96
Trailing P E 5.5415626
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.65715
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.33724976
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.05961478
Type Disp Equity
Volume 29,038
Website https://www.fivepoint.com
Zip 92,618