Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR)Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Center Valley, United States | NYSE
43.96 USD
+0.02
(0.046%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 43.90 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT
Shift4 Payments presents a compelling dichotomy between its deteriorating operational reality and its speculative re-rating. Fundamentally, the company is struggling; revenue growth has stalled at 34% (likely a one-off or slowing trend given the -35% quarterly earnings growth), and profitability is vanishing with a -75% drop in earnings growth and razor-thin 2% profit margins. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt nearly ten times its equity, which makes the high valuation risky if growth doesn't accelerate immediately. However, the market has seemingly ignored these headwinds, pricing in a massive turnaround. The forward P/E of 7.7x implies the market expects earnings to explode to $6.24, a leap that hasn't been demonstrated in recent quarters. This disconnect creates a high-risk, high-reward scenario. The short-term outlook is volatile; the stock recently retraced from highs, and the options market is pricing in a binary outcome—either a massive gap up to test the $78 analyst target or a crash toward the $35 put wall. Given the weak statistical forecast and the lack of recent dividend support, this is not a steady compounder. It is a speculative bet on a corporate restructuring or a sudden earnings inflection point. For now, the momentum is neutral-to-slightly-bearish due to the recent pullback, but the speculative ceiling remains high. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.257846 |
| AutoETS | 0.279818 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.279824 |
| AutoTheta | 0.300311 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 2.51 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.195 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.97 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 262.321 |
| Revenue per Share | 66.359 |
| Market Cap | 3,471,086,848 |
| Trailing P/E | 68.69 |
| Forward P/E | 6.98 |
| Beta | 1.41 |
| Profit Margins | 2.20% |
| Website | https://www.shift4.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility and a potential gap-up, evidenced by massive open interest walls at deep out-of-the-money strikes (175/180 calls, 125 puts) and elevated implied variance there. However, the immediate term shows a disconnect: heavy call volume at the money suggests bullish intent, while put open interest concentrates significantly below current prices, creating a 'pin risk' zone around $35-$40. The skew suggests traders expect a binary event or a sharp move away from the current consolidation.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.50706756 |
| Address1 | 3,501 Corporate Parkway |
| All Time High | 127.5 |
| All Time Low | 29.39 |
| Ask | 44.59 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,802,580 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,689,650 |
| Average Volume | 1,689,650 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,802,580 |
| Beta | 1.408 |
| Bid | 44.02 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 7.763 |
| City | Center Valley |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 43.96 |
| Current Ratio | 1.211 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 45.33 |
| Day Low | 42.675 |
| Debt To Equity | 262.321 |
| Display Name | Shift4 Payments |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.754 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.353 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,019,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | 909,000,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.19009 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 9.692 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.842 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,810,086,400 |
| Eps Current Year | 5.19435 |
| Eps Forward | 6.29971 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.64 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 47.8312 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -3.8712006 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.08093463 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -50.706757 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 89.56 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -45.6 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.50915587 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 34.56 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 9.399998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.27199066 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 34.56 - 89.56 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,591,363,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 44,021,846 |
| Forward Eps | 6.29971 |
| Forward P E | 6.978099 |
| Free Cashflow | 353,524,992 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 6,300 |
| Fullday Change | 0.0200005 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.0455177 |
| Fullday Price | 43.9 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.35904998 |
| Gross Profits | 1,716,999,936 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.30511 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.92346 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 78,960,120 |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Disp | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Key | software-infrastructure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,020-06-05 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Shift4 Payments, Inc. engages in the provision of software and payment processing solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers a payments platform, which provides omnichannel card acceptance; and processing solutions across multiple payment types, including credit, debit, contactless card, Europay, MasterCard and Visa, QR Pay, and mobile wallets, as well as alternative payment methods, such as Apple Pay, Google Pay, Alipay, and WeChat Pay. It also provides technology solutions, such as SkyTab POS, which provides purpose-built POS workstations; SkyTab Mobile, which provides pay-at-the-table, order-at-the-table, delivery, customer feedback, and email marketing solutions; SkyTab Venue, which provides mobile ordering, countertop POS, self-service kiosk, and digital wallet solutions; Lighthouse, a cloud-based suite of business intelligence tools that includes customer engagement, social media management, online reputation management, scheduling and product pricing, extensive reporting, and analytics; The Giving Block, a cryptocurrency donation marketplace; Shift4Shop, an e-commerce platform that creates a web store and tools to manage product catalog, order fulfillment and inventory management, search engine optimization, and secure hosting; and Marketplace, which enables integrations into third-party applications, as well as loyalty and inventory management. In addition, the company offers merchant operations and support services, including underwriting, onboarding, and activation; training; risk management; and support services. Further, it provides software partner operations and support services, including software integrations and compliance management; partner support; and partner services. The company distributes its products through independent software vendors, internal sales and support networks, enterprises, and value-added resellers. Shift4 Payments, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Center Valley, Pennsylvania. |
| Long Name | Shift4 Payments, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,471,086,848 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_22308082 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 45,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,469,507,672 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 21 |
| Open | 43.68 |
| Operating Cashflow | 593,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.0749 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.41 |
| Phone | 888 276 2108 |
| Post Market Change | -0.05999756 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.13648216 |
| Post Market Price | 43.9 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,369 |
| Previous Close | 43.94 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 8.463041 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.6627593 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.72586507 |
| Profit Margins | 0.021960001 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.681 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.08333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0200005 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.0455177 |
| Regular Market Day High | 45.33 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 42.675 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 42.675 - 45.33 |
| Regular Market Open | 43.68 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 43.94 |
| Regular Market Price | 43.96 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,024,841 |
| Return On Assets | 0.032899998 |
| Return On Equity | 0.064899996 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.341 |
| Revenue Per Share | 66.359 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 78,960,120 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.17799999 |
| Shares Short | 14,054,388 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 15,661,963 |
| Short Name | Shift4 Payments, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1808 |
| Short Ratio | 9.11 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | PA |
| Symbol | FOUR |
| Target High Price | 96.0 |
| Target Low Price | 40.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 55.90476 |
| Target Median Price | 52.0 |
| Total Cash | 356,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 4.509 |
| Total Debt | 4,567,000,064 |
| Total Revenue | 4,782,000,128 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.64 |
| Trailing P E | 68.6875 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.3731 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 52.47895 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -8.518951 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.16233082 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,024,841 |
| Website | https://www.shift4.com |
| Zip | 18,034 |