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Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Cedar Park, United States | NasdaqGM
43.72 USD -0.45 (-1.019%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 43.50 -0.22 (-0.219%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 11, 2026, 3:16 p.m. EDT

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) has shown recent price volatility and positive news, but the fundamental data suggests a lack of profitability and high debt levels. The short-term price forecast indicates a slight downward movement, and the options data shows mixed sentiment. For short-term traders, the stock may offer some momentum opportunities, but the long-term fundamentals are weak. Dividend yields are non-existent, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors. Overall, the stock is risky and should be approached with caution.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.229732
AutoETS0.238784
AutoARIMA0.246453
MSTL0.252280

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 2.42
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.029
Excess Kurtosis -0.36
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 25.934
Revenue per Share 2.31
Market Cap 6,993,118,208
Forward P/E -39.59
Profit Margins -208.92%
Website https://www.fireflyspace.com

As of April 11, 2026, 3:16 p.m. EDT: The options data indicates mixed signals. The calls show a concentration of open interest (OI) around the 35.0 strike, suggesting some bullish sentiment, while the puts have significant OI at lower strikes, indicating potential bearish sentiment or hedging. The high IV at certain strikes, especially for puts, suggests increased volatility expectations. The recent price action shows a range-bound movement with some upward momentum, but the overall forecasting model suggests a slight downward trend in the next 45 days, which could indicate caution for short-term traders.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2681027
Address1 1,320 Arrow Point Drive
Address2 #109
All Time High 73.8
All Time Low 16.0
Ask 43.98
Ask Size 20
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,630,320
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,001,281
Average Volume 5,001,281
Average Volume10Days 8,630,320
Bid 43.39
Bid Size 20
Book Value 7.471
City Cedar Park
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 43.72
Current Ratio 4.51
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 46.28
Day Low 42.96
Debt To Equity 25.934
Display Name Firefly Aerospace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,954,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,954,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,950,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,616,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,616,000
Ebitda -199,026,000
Ebitda Margins -1.2450399
Enterprise To Ebitda -32.201
Enterprise To Revenue 40.091
Enterprise Value 6,408,737,280
Eps Current Year -1.91898
Eps Forward -1.10433
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.83
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.4572
Fifty Day Average Change 18.262802
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.71739244
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.81027
Fifty Two Week High 73.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -30.080002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4075881
Fifty Two Week Low 16.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.720001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7325001
Fifty Two Week Range 16.0 - 73.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,754,573,400,000
Float Shares 83,541,532
Forward Eps -1.10433
Forward P E -39.58962
Free Cashflow -146,128,992
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 1,409
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.19184
Gross Profits 30,666,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.20996
Held Percent Institutions 0.39261
Implied Shares Outstanding 159,952,387
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-08-07
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles. In addition, the company offers spacecraft solutions platforms, including Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; and Elytra, which provides space maneuverability and servicing. Further, it provides software and sensor solutions; national security software and big data processing capabilities; and responsive space services, as well as Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Firefly Aerospace Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.
Long Name Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,993,118,208
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_684180934
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -333,963,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,993,118,359
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 44.58
Operating Cashflow -204,924,000
Operating Margins -0.982
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 512 893 5570
Post Market Change -0.21860123
Post Market Change Percent -0.5000028
Post Market Price 43.5014
Post Market Time 1,776,470,384
Previous Close 44.17
Price Eps Current Year -22.782938
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.851961
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 43.74663
Profit Margins -2.08916
Quick Ratio 4.397
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.875
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.449997
Regular Market Change Percent -1.01878
Regular Market Day High 46.28
Regular Market Day Low 42.96
Regular Market Day Range 42.96 - 46.28
Regular Market Open 44.58
Regular Market Previous Close 44.17
Regular Market Price 43.72
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 7,701,751
Return On Assets -0.12442
Return On Equity -0.56513
Revenue Growth 5.384
Revenue Per Share 2.31
Sand P52 Week Change 0.36506534
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 159,952,387
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.048800003
Shares Short 7,807,766
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 6,422,012
Short Name Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0841
Short Ratio 1.44
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol FLY
Target High Price 65.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 41.42857
Target Median Price 33.0
Total Cash 892,974,016
Total Cash Per Share 5.583
Total Debt 308,592,992
Total Revenue 159,855,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.83
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 29.18477
Two Hundred Day Average Change 14.535231
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.49804163
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,701,751
Website https://www.fireflyspace.com
Zip 78,613