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Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Thomasville, United States | NYSE
7.10 USD +0.12 (1.719%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.07 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's deteriorating operational reality and its artificially inflated dividend yield. Fundamentally, the business is in a structural decline, evidenced by three consecutive years of negative annual returns ending in a massive -30.59% drop last year. This multi-year trajectory suggests the market has correctly identified a failing franchise, rendering the current valuation a 'value trap' rather than a bargain. While the headline dividend yield appears attractive at over 7%, the payout ratio of 333% reveals that the company is distributing far more cash than it earns, effectively eroding its book value to maintain the payout. This is not sustainable income; it is a liquidation event disguised as a yield. On the short end, the options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put positioning at lower strikes signaling that traders expect the price to fall further, likely testing the $5.00 support level. The statistical forecast offers no help, showing a weak, non-directional signal amidst high noise. Avoid this stock; the fundamentals are broken, and the yield is a trap.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.075724
AutoARIMA0.076881
MSTL0.079045
AutoTheta0.108042

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 2.36
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.253
Excess Kurtosis -1.15
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Debt to Equity Ratio 111.007
Revenue per Share 24.934
Market Cap 1,505,151,872
Trailing P/E 27.31
Forward P/E 9.94
Beta 0.40
Profit Margins 1.38%
Website https://www.flowersfoods.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:27 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily skewed toward put buying, with significant open interest concentrated at the $5.00 strike for near-term expirations, indicating a strong bearish bias and expectation of further downside. Call activity is overwhelmingly out-of-the-money, suggesting limited bullish conviction beyond the current depressed levels.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.60% 8.32% 5.78% 4.78%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-12 0.125000 1.604621
2026-03-06 0.248000 2.725275
2025-11-28 0.248000 2.311277
2025-09-05 0.248000 1.674544
2025-06-05 0.248000 1.506683
2025-02-28 0.240000 1.280683
2024-11-29 0.240000 1.061008
2024-09-06 0.240000 1.023891
2024-06-06 0.240000 1.039861
2024-02-29 0.230000 1.025870
2023-11-30 0.230000 1.105238
2023-08-31 0.230000 0.976231
2023-06-07 0.230000 0.908014
2023-03-02 0.220000 0.792793
2022-12-01 0.220000 0.736032
2022-09-01 0.220000 0.806452
2022-06-08 0.220000 0.861057
2022-03-03 0.210000 0.759494
2021-12-02 0.210000 0.824823
2021-09-02 0.210000 0.865979
2021-06-09 0.210000 0.856095
2021-03-04 0.200000 0.892857
2020-11-25 0.200000 0.902935
2020-08-27 0.200000 0.808081
2020-06-04 0.200000 0.883783
2020-02-27 0.190000 0.850873
2019-11-27 0.190000 0.873965
2019-08-29 0.190000 0.834798
2019-06-06 0.190000 0.839223
2019-02-28 0.180000 0.879336
2018-11-29 0.180000 0.911854
2018-08-30 0.180000 0.900450
2018-06-06 0.180000 0.892857
2018-03-01 0.170000 0.830484
2017-11-30 0.170000 0.850851
2017-08-30 0.170000 0.973654
2017-06-07 0.170000 0.920910
2017-03-01 0.160000 0.829445
2016-11-30 0.160000 1.030928
2016-08-31 0.160000 1.073105
2016-06-07 0.160000 0.865333
2016-03-02 0.145000 0.845481
2015-12-02 0.145000 0.640177
2015-08-28 0.145000 0.635965
2015-06-17 0.145000 0.672230
2015-03-04 0.133000 0.616883
2014-12-03 0.133000 0.690909
2014-08-27 0.120000 0.619515
2014-06-02 0.120000 0.580552
2014-02-26 0.113000 0.553922
2013-12-04 0.113000 0.525581
2013-08-28 0.113000 0.538095
2013-06-03 0.112667 0.511348
2013-02-27 0.106667 0.564974
2012-11-28 0.106667 0.685227
2012-08-29 0.106667 0.772949
2012-06-13 0.106667 0.693844
2012-03-07 0.100000 0.768443
2011-11-30 0.100000 0.758725
2011-08-31 0.100000 0.787402
2011-06-08 0.100000 0.706215
2011-03-01 0.088889 0.766284
2010-12-01 0.088889 0.770120
2010-09-02 0.088889 0.773695
2010-06-16 0.088889 0.788334
2010-02-26 0.077778 0.686546
2009-12-02 0.077778 0.758234
2009-09-02 0.077778 0.740586
2009-06-17 0.077778 0.826254
2009-03-04 0.066667 0.649354
2008-11-25 0.066667 0.557209
2008-09-03 0.066667 0.560541
2008-06-11 0.066667 0.553304
2008-02-20 0.055556 0.518892
2007-11-28 0.055556 0.543719
2007-09-05 0.055556 0.584663
2007-06-13 0.037037 0.377757
2007-02-28 0.037037 0.426039
2006-11-29 0.037037 0.473126
2006-09-06 0.037037 0.462791
2006-06-14 0.037037 0.449964
2006-02-22 0.029630 0.349045
2005-11-30 0.029630 0.385807
2005-09-07 0.029630 0.378506
2005-06-15 0.029630 0.444582
2005-02-23 0.024691 0.432669
2004-12-01 0.024691 0.394067
2004-09-03 0.024691 0.487703
2004-06-16 0.024691 0.510197
2004-02-25 0.019753 0.375938
2003-11-25 0.019753 0.385355
2003-09-02 0.019753 0.456411
2003-06-11 0.013169 0.322796
2003-03-05 0.006584 0.200712
2002-11-26 0.006584 0.214213
2000-11-29 0.011676 0.809107
2000-09-13 0.011676 0.620394
2000-06-12 0.011676 0.693144
2000-03-08 0.011676 1.080178
1999-12-01 0.011676 0.834491
1999-09-22 0.011413 0.848988
1999-06-09 0.011237 0.600570
1999-02-24 0.010974 0.501256
1998-12-02 0.010711 0.523346
1998-09-23 0.010535 0.571430
1998-06-10 0.010359 0.521527
1998-01-21 0.010096 0.505493
1997-10-29 0.009833 0.595370
1997-08-13 0.009657 0.633089
1997-04-16 0.009481 0.689327
1997-01-22 0.009072 0.733745
1996-10-30 0.008896 0.683130
1996-08-14 0.008779 0.816312
1996-04-17 0.008662 1.096285
1996-01-24 0.008311 1.092317
1995-11-01 0.008389 0.994224
1995-08-16 0.008194 1.000016
1995-04-17 0.008116 1.223553
1995-01-23 0.007999 1.131066
1994-10-31 0.007882 1.106887
1994-08-15 0.007804 1.203055
1994-04-25 0.007726 1.156256
1994-01-31 0.007609 0.981184
1993-11-01 0.007414 1.000067
1993-08-16 0.007414 1.101523
1993-04-12 0.007296 1.076193
1993-01-15 0.007101 0.904303
1992-10-26 0.007101 0.964190
1992-08-24 0.007023 0.947326
1992-04-10 0.006906 1.097633
1992-01-17 0.006828 1.037003
1991-10-28 0.006711 1.239608
1991-08-12 0.006633 1.142835
1991-04-22 0.006516 1.151711
1991-01-18 0.006438 1.245276
1990-10-29 0.006321 1.322451
1990-08-13 0.006243 0.870755
1990-04-23 0.006048 0.879453
1990-01-22 0.005853 0.827620
1989-10-30 0.005658 0.778569
1989-08-14 0.005463 0.736899
1989-04-24 0.005267 0.729662
1989-01-23 0.005072 0.748143
1988-10-31 0.004877 0.684888
1988-08-15 0.004682 0.711079
1988-04-25 0.004487 0.609255
1988-01-15 0.004292 0.598635
1987-11-09 0.002731 0.409712
1987-08-10 0.003902 0.521760
1987-04-10 0.003772 0.557724
1987-01-16 0.003642 0.528342
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.5
dividendYield 7.16
exDividendDate 2026-09-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.99
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.14183381
lastDividendValue 0.125
lastDividendDate 2026-06-12
dividendDate 2026-06-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5296496
Address1 1,919 Flowers Circle
All Time High 30.16
All Time Low 0.075147
Ask 7.07
Ask Size 6,500
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,992,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,550,396
Average Volume 6,550,396
Average Volume10Days 6,992,730
Beta 0.402
Bid 7.03
Bid Size 4,300
Board Risk 6
Book Value 6.242
City Thomasville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 7.1
Current Ratio 0.771
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 7.125
Day Low 6.97
Debt To Equity 111.007
Display Name Flowers Foods
Dividend Date 1,782,432,000
Dividend Rate 0.5
Dividend Yield 7.16
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,315,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,315,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,256,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 511,526,016
Ebitda Margins 0.096990004
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.309
Enterprise To Revenue 0.515
Enterprise Value 2,715,456,768
Eps Current Year 0.7828
Eps Forward 0.71439
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.26
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,084,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.7114
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6114001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07928523
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -52.964962
Fifty Two Week High 15.08
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.98
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5291777
Fifty Two Week Low 6.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.2999997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.044117603
Fifty Two Week Range 6.8 - 15.08
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.77
Float Shares 195,549,168
Forward Eps 0.71439
Forward P E 9.938549
Free Cashflow 239,973,744
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 10,300
Fullday Change 0.12
Fullday Change Percent 1.7192
Fullday Price 7.07
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.48716
Gross Profits 2,569,198,080
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.080290005
Held Percent Institutions 1.0569999
Implied Shares Outstanding 211,993,230
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Last Dividend Value 0.125
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Last Split Date 1,371,686,400
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, tortillas, baking mixes, and frozen breads and rolls as well as snack items including bars, cakes, cookies, and crackers. The company offers its products under the Nature's Own, DKB, Canyon Bakehouse, Simple Mills, Wonder, and Tastykake brand names. It distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates bakeries. The company's customers include national and regional restaurants, institutions and foodservice distributors, and retail in-store bakeries; wholesale distributors; mass merchandisers, supermarkets, vending outlets, and convenience stores; quick-serve chains, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies; and public health care, military commissaries, and prisons, and other governmental institutions. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.
Long Name Flowers Foods, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,505,151,872
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_972115
Most Recent Quarter 1,587,168,000
Net Income To Common 72,882,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,479,712,745
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 6.99
Operating Cashflow 418,425,984
Operating Margins 0.0828
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 3.3365
Peg Ratio 6.1
Phone 229 226 9110
Post Market Change -0.029999733
Post Market Change Percent -0.42253146
Post Market Price 7.07
Post Market Time 1,787,961,336
Previous Close 6.98
Price Eps Current Year 9.070004
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1374559
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.2854004
Profit Margins 0.01382
Quick Ratio 0.416
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.8
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.12
Regular Market Change Percent 1.7192
Regular Market Day High 7.125
Regular Market Day Low 6.97
Regular Market Day Range 6.97 - 7.125
Regular Market Open 6.99
Regular Market Previous Close 6.98
Regular Market Price 7.1
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 5,175,959
Return On Assets 0.05286
Return On Equity 0.053629998
Revenue Growth 0.068
Revenue Per Share 24.934
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 211,993,230
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2176
Shares Short 46,124,039
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 43,697,640
Short Name Flowers Foods, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2345
Short Ratio 9.42
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol FLO
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 7.9
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 252,683,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.194
Total Debt 1,465,965,952
Total Revenue 5,273,825,792
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.99
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.14183381
Trailing Eps 0.26
Trailing P E 27.307693
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.0875
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.9874997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.218707
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,175,959
Website https://www.flowersfoods.com
Zip 31,757