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Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Thomasville, United States | NYSE
6.15 USD +0.03 (0.408%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 11:56 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:24 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is a classic deep-value turnaround play driven by a massive disconnect between the depressed share price and the analyst consensus. Fundamentally, the company is trading at a fraction of its book value with a forward P/E under 9x, yet the balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt-to-equity of 151% and a current ratio below 1.0, which limits the ability to aggressively invest in growth without dilution or distress. The long-term outlook is clouded by these structural balance sheet risks and a history of underperformance, preventing a top-tier buy rating despite the cheap valuation. However, the short-term setup is compelling. The stock has been beaten down significantly, trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, creating a technical floor. More importantly, the options market is screaming 'bullish,' with massive open interest in calls at $7.50 and $10.00 strikes. This speculative positioning suggests smart money is betting on a catalyst—likely a dividend adjustment or operational turnaround—that will push the price back toward the $12 mean. While the statistical forecast models remain weak and bearish due to recent noise, the divergence between the broken balance sheet and the aggressive call positioning creates a high-conviction setup for a rebound, even if the path to recovery is volatile.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.087779
AutoARIMA0.088092
MSTL0.088674
AutoTheta0.108191

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 50.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.117
Excess Kurtosis -1.48
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 151.702
Revenue per Share 24.677
Market Cap 1,303,092,864
Trailing P/E 22.76
Forward P/E 8.98
Beta 0.43
Profit Margins 1.06%
Website https://www.flowersfoods.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, positioning heavy call volume and open interest at strikes significantly above the current price ($7.50 and $10.00), while put activity remains minimal. This indicates a strong expectation of a recovery toward the $12 analyst target, despite the low implied volatility suggesting the market views this rally as a low-probability, high-reward event rather than an imminent certainty.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.05% 8.69% 6.14% 5.02%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-11 0.125000 2.052545
2026-06-12 0.125000 1.604621
2026-03-06 0.248000 2.725275
2025-11-28 0.248000 2.311277
2025-09-05 0.248000 1.674544
2025-06-05 0.248000 1.506683
2025-02-28 0.240000 1.280683
2024-11-29 0.240000 1.061008
2024-09-06 0.240000 1.023891
2024-06-06 0.240000 1.039861
2024-02-29 0.230000 1.025870
2023-11-30 0.230000 1.105238
2023-08-31 0.230000 0.976231
2023-06-07 0.230000 0.908014
2023-03-02 0.220000 0.792793
2022-12-01 0.220000 0.736032
2022-09-01 0.220000 0.806452
2022-06-08 0.220000 0.861057
2022-03-03 0.210000 0.759494
2021-12-02 0.210000 0.824823
2021-09-02 0.210000 0.865979
2021-06-09 0.210000 0.856095
2021-03-04 0.200000 0.892857
2020-11-25 0.200000 0.902935
2020-08-27 0.200000 0.808081
2020-06-04 0.200000 0.883783
2020-02-27 0.190000 0.850873
2019-11-27 0.190000 0.873965
2019-08-29 0.190000 0.834798
2019-06-06 0.190000 0.839223
2019-02-28 0.180000 0.879336
2018-11-29 0.180000 0.911854
2018-08-30 0.180000 0.900450
2018-06-06 0.180000 0.892857
2018-03-01 0.170000 0.830484
2017-11-30 0.170000 0.850851
2017-08-30 0.170000 0.973654
2017-06-07 0.170000 0.920910
2017-03-01 0.160000 0.829445
2016-11-30 0.160000 1.030928
2016-08-31 0.160000 1.073105
2016-06-07 0.160000 0.865333
2016-03-02 0.145000 0.845481
2015-12-02 0.145000 0.640177
2015-08-28 0.145000 0.635965
2015-06-17 0.145000 0.672230
2015-03-04 0.133000 0.616883
2014-12-03 0.133000 0.690909
2014-08-27 0.120000 0.619515
2014-06-02 0.120000 0.580552
2014-02-26 0.113000 0.553922
2013-12-04 0.113000 0.525581
2013-08-28 0.113000 0.538095
2013-06-03 0.112667 0.511348
2013-02-27 0.106667 0.564974
2012-11-28 0.106667 0.685227
2012-08-29 0.106667 0.772949
2012-06-13 0.106667 0.693844
2012-03-07 0.100000 0.768443
2011-11-30 0.100000 0.758725
2011-08-31 0.100000 0.787402
2011-06-08 0.100000 0.706215
2011-03-01 0.088889 0.766284
2010-12-01 0.088889 0.770120
2010-09-02 0.088889 0.773695
2010-06-16 0.088889 0.788334
2010-02-26 0.077778 0.686546
2009-12-02 0.077778 0.758234
2009-09-02 0.077778 0.740586
2009-06-17 0.077778 0.826254
2009-03-04 0.066667 0.649354
2008-11-25 0.066667 0.557209
2008-09-03 0.066667 0.560541
2008-06-11 0.066667 0.553304
2008-02-20 0.055556 0.518892
2007-11-28 0.055556 0.543719
2007-09-05 0.055556 0.584663
2007-06-13 0.037037 0.377757
2007-02-28 0.037037 0.426039
2006-11-29 0.037037 0.473126
2006-09-06 0.037037 0.462791
2006-06-14 0.037037 0.449964
2006-02-22 0.029630 0.349045
2005-11-30 0.029630 0.385807
2005-09-07 0.029630 0.378506
2005-06-15 0.029630 0.444582
2005-02-23 0.024691 0.432669
2004-12-01 0.024691 0.394067
2004-09-03 0.024691 0.487703
2004-06-16 0.024691 0.510197
2004-02-25 0.019753 0.375938
2003-11-25 0.019753 0.385355
2003-09-02 0.019753 0.456411
2003-06-11 0.013169 0.322796
2003-03-05 0.006584 0.200712
2002-11-26 0.006584 0.214213
2000-11-29 0.011676 0.809107
2000-09-13 0.011676 0.620394
2000-06-12 0.011676 0.693144
2000-03-08 0.011676 1.080178
1999-12-01 0.011676 0.834491
1999-09-22 0.011413 0.848988
1999-06-09 0.011237 0.600570
1999-02-24 0.010974 0.501256
1998-12-02 0.010711 0.523346
1998-09-23 0.010535 0.571430
1998-06-10 0.010359 0.521527
1998-01-21 0.010096 0.505493
1997-10-29 0.009833 0.595370
1997-08-13 0.009657 0.633089
1997-04-16 0.009481 0.689327
1997-01-22 0.009072 0.733745
1996-10-30 0.008896 0.683130
1996-08-14 0.008779 0.816312
1996-04-17 0.008662 1.096285
1996-01-24 0.008311 1.092317
1995-11-01 0.008389 0.994224
1995-08-16 0.008194 1.000016
1995-04-17 0.008116 1.223553
1995-01-23 0.007999 1.131066
1994-10-31 0.007882 1.106887
1994-08-15 0.007804 1.203055
1994-04-25 0.007726 1.156256
1994-01-31 0.007609 0.981184
1993-11-01 0.007414 1.000067
1993-08-16 0.007414 1.101523
1993-04-12 0.007296 1.076193
1993-01-15 0.007101 0.904303
1992-10-26 0.007101 0.964190
1992-08-24 0.007023 0.947326
1992-04-10 0.006906 1.097633
1992-01-17 0.006828 1.037003
1991-10-28 0.006711 1.239608
1991-08-12 0.006633 1.142835
1991-04-22 0.006516 1.151711
1991-01-18 0.006438 1.245276
1990-10-29 0.006321 1.322451
1990-08-13 0.006243 0.870755
1990-04-23 0.006048 0.879453
1990-01-22 0.005853 0.827620
1989-10-30 0.005658 0.778569
1989-08-14 0.005463 0.736899
1989-04-24 0.005267 0.729662
1989-01-23 0.005072 0.748143
1988-10-31 0.004877 0.684888
1988-08-15 0.004682 0.711079
1988-04-25 0.004487 0.609255
1988-01-15 0.004292 0.598635
1987-11-09 0.002731 0.409712
1987-08-10 0.003902 0.521760
1987-04-10 0.003772 0.557724
1987-01-16 0.003642 0.528342
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.5
dividendYield 8.17
exDividendDate 2026-09-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.868
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.14183006
lastDividendValue 0.125
lastDividendDate 2026-09-11
dividendDate 2026-09-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5203762
Address1 1,919 Flowers Circle
All Time High 30.16
All Time Low 0.075147
Ask 6.15
Ask Size 5,500
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,850,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,839,096
Average Volume 6,839,096
Average Volume10Days 6,850,330
Beta 0.434
Bid 6.14
Bid Size 900
Board Risk 6
Book Value 6.241
City Thomasville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.145
Current Ratio 0.772
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 6.2
Day Low 6.08
Debt To Equity 151.702
Display Name Flowers Foods
Dividend Date 1,790,294,400
Dividend Rate 0.5
Dividend Yield 8.17
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,315,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,315,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,256,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 486,932,000
Ebitda Margins 0.093210004
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.68
Enterprise To Revenue 0.623
Enterprise Value 3,252,808,448
Eps Current Year 0.7728
Eps Forward 0.68439
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.27
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,084,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.426
Fifty Day Average Change -0.28100014
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.043728624
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -52.03762
Fifty Two Week High 13.11
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.9649997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.53127384
Fifty Two Week Low 5.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.7449999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.13796294
Fifty Two Week Range 5.4 - 13.11
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.36
Float Shares 195,985,586
Forward Eps 0.68439
Forward P E 8.978799
Free Cashflow 298,536,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 10,300
Fullday Change 0.025000095
Fullday Change Percent 0.4084983
Fullday Price 6.145
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.48629
Gross Profits 2,540,353,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.080290005
Held Percent Institutions 1.05666
Implied Shares Outstanding 212,057,418
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,084,800
Last Dividend Value 0.125
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Last Split Date 1,371,686,400
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, tortillas, baking mixes, and frozen breads and rolls as well as snack items including bars, cakes, cookies, and crackers. The company offers its products under the Nature's Own, DKB, Canyon Bakehouse, Simple Mills, Wonder, and Tastykake brand names. It distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates bakeries. The company's customers include national and regional restaurants, institutions and foodservice distributors, and retail in-store bakeries; wholesale distributors; mass merchandisers, supermarkets, vending outlets, and convenience stores; quick-serve chains, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies; and public health care, military commissaries, and prisons, and other governmental institutions. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.
Long Name Flowers Foods, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,303,092,864
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_972115
Most Recent Quarter 1,784,332,800
Net Income To Common 55,173,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,232,053,598
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 6.15
Operating Cashflow 421,284,992
Operating Margins 0.062529996
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 3.2129998
Peg Ratio 6.1
Phone 229 226 9110
Previous Close 6.12
Price Eps Current Year 7.9516044
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9846178
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.24944705
Profit Margins 0.01056
Quick Ratio 0.424
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.8
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.025000095
Regular Market Change Percent 0.4084983
Regular Market Day High 6.2
Regular Market Day Low 6.08
Regular Market Day Range 6.08 - 6.2
Regular Market Open 6.15
Regular Market Previous Close 6.12
Regular Market Price 6.145
Regular Market Time 1,792,166,209
Regular Market Volume 971,961
Return On Assets 0.0493
Return On Equity 0.040110003
Revenue Per Share 24.677
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 212,057,418
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.21129999
Shares Short 44,803,095
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 45,041,055
Short Name Flowers Foods, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.22770001
Short Ratio 5.33
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol FLO
Target High Price 12.0
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 7.4
Target Median Price 6.0
Total Cash 52,766,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.249
Total Debt 2,007,783,040
Total Revenue 5,223,925,760
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.868
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.14183006
Trailing Eps 0.27
Trailing P E 22.759258
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.25955
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.11455
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25601274
Type Disp Equity
Volume 971,961
Website https://www.flowersfoods.com
Zip 31,757