| Indicators | Browse All

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)

Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
71.55 USD +0.47 (0.661%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:11 a.m. EDT

The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is currently trapped in a defensive posture defined by massive capital flight and speculative hedging. Recent headlines confirm a brutal reality: the fund led significant withdrawals alongside peers, signaling that even institutional money is fleeing the sector as crypto assets crumble. This sentiment is mirrored perfectly in the options chain, where traders are aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to protect against further downside, while call interest remains thin and distant. The statistical forecast model offers no guidance, showing a flat prediction with low confidence, which aligns with the chaotic nature of the current environment. Without any dividend income to offset the drag, and facing a landscape where inflows are negative and protective bets are dominating the order book, the instrument lacks a clear directional edge. It is a neutral hold at best, waiting for the dust to settle on the broader crypto outflow trend before any conviction can form.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.130501
AutoTheta0.132657
AutoETS0.132724
AutoARIMA0.163512

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 191.94
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.091
Excess Kurtosis -1.57

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume and open interest, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $40-$60 range for January 2027), creating a massive 'insurance' wall. This contrasts sharply with call activity which is concentrated in the upper range ($100+) or shows low volume at near-term strikes, indicating a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite the asset's volatility.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 110.25
All Time Low 33.77
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,707,480
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,593,984
Average Volume 3,593,984
Average Volume10Days 2,707,480
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 400
Category Digital Assets
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 71.8
Day Low 69.325
Display Name Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 67.4362
Fifty Day Average Change 4.1138
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.061002843
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -22.948528
Fifty Two Week High 101.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -29.759995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2937518
Fifty Two Week Low 50.48
Fifty Two Week Low Change 21.070004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4173931
Fifty Two Week Range 50.48 - 101.31
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,704,983,400,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fullday Change -0.05999756
Fullday Change Percent -0.083807185
Fullday Price 71.53
Fund Family Fidelity Investments
Fund Inception Date 1,704,844,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-01-11
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The index is constructed using bitcoin price feeds from eligible bitcoin spot markets and a volume-weighted median price (“VWMP”) methodology, calculated every 15 seconds based on VWMP spot market data over rolling sixty-minute increments. In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily as of 4:00 p.m. EST using the same methodology used to calculate the index. All of the trust’s bitcoin will be held by the custodian.
Long Name Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1861505639
Nav Price 71.0385
Net Assets 15,454,059,500.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.25
Open 69.72
Pre Market Change -0.05999756
Pre Market Change Percent -0.083807185
Pre Market Price 71.53
Pre Market Time 1,792,153,140
Previous Close 71.08
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.470001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.661228
Regular Market Day High 71.8
Regular Market Day Low 69.325
Regular Market Day Range 69.325 - 71.8
Regular Market Open 69.72
Regular Market Previous Close 71.08
Regular Market Price 71.55
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,400
Regular Market Volume 3,339,689
Short Name Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fu
Source Interval 15
Symbol FBTC
Total Assets 15,454,059,520
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 42.79846
Trailing Three Month Returns 42.79846
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 64.23515
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.31485
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.11387612
Type Disp ETF
Volume 3,339,689
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -4.32962