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Forte Biosciences, Inc. (FBRX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Dallas, United States | NasdaqCM
44.12 USD +0.20 (0.455%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 43.73 -0.39 (-0.390%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 6:47 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:28 a.m. EDT

The recent surge to $43.92 appears to be a classic biotech 'event-driven' spike fueled by early-stage vitiligo data, but the underlying business fundamentals tell a starkly different story. The company is in a severe multi-year freefall, having lost 99.7% of its value over the last eight years with four consecutive years of negative annual returns. Despite the 'strong buy' analyst consensus and a target price of $65, these metrics are likely pricing in a binary outcome where the company survives the current clinical trials, rather than reflecting sustainable operational excellence. The balance sheet is fragile with negative free cash flow and no revenue, making it a speculative gamble rather than an investment. Furthermore, the options market is screaming caution; the sheer volume of put buying suggests smart money is expecting this rally to reverse quickly. For a long-term investor, the lack of a dividend, negative equity generation, and a decade-long price collapse make this a dangerous hold. However, for a trader willing to navigate the extreme volatility and the risk of total capital loss, the current momentum offers a high-risk, high-reward entry point if the clinical data holds up.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.367585
AutoETS0.379122
MSTL_840.388402
MSTL0.428688
MSTL_84_1260.510001
AutoARIMA0.516994
MSTL_1260.546873

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 27%
H-stat 8.91
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.139
Excess Kurtosis -0.11
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Market Cap 903,525,312
Forward P/E -10.65
Beta 2.84
Website https://www.fortebiorx.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:28 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a downside correction despite the recent rally. There is massive volume in out-of-the-money puts (over 300 contracts expiring in a week vs zero calls), creating a heavy wall of resistance around the $15-$20 strikes. While some call buying exists at higher strikes ($40-$50), the overwhelming open interest and fresh volume in puts suggest traders are betting against the current spike, anticipating a sharp pullback to test lower support levels.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 3.465684
Address1 3,060 Pegasus Park Drive
Address2 Building 6
All Time High 6,732.375
All Time Low 4.11
Ask 51.92
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,410,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 432,185
Average Volume 432,185
Average Volume10Days 1,410,760
Beta 2.844
Bid 31.4
Bid Size 2
Book Value 2.356
City Dallas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 44.12
Current Ratio 2.753
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 44.365
Day Low 40.1601
Display Name Forte Biosciences
Dividend Date 1,592,265,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,755,518,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,754,996,340
Ebitda -76,902,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -13.262
Enterprise Value 1,019,878,272
Eps Current Year -4.01
Eps Forward -4.142
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.58
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.8339
Fifty Day Average Change 22.286098
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 1.0207108
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 346.5684
Fifty Two Week High 45.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.2400017
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.027336897
Fifty Two Week Low 9.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.019997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 3.848351
Fifty Two Week Range 9.1 - 45.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,492,090,200,000
Float Shares 18,828,164
Forward Eps -4.142
Forward P E -10.651858
Free Cashflow -31,247,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 22
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.021370001
Held Percent Institutions 0.76593
Implied Shares Outstanding 20,478,817
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,724,803,200
Last Split Factor 1:25
Long Business Summary Forte Biosciences, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. The company's lead product candidate is the FB-102, a proprietary anti-CD122 monoclonal antibody therapeutic candidate for various autoimmune and autoimmune-related indications, such as celiac disease, vitiligo, alopecia areata, and type 1 diabetes. Forte Biosciences, Inc. is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Long Name Forte Biosciences, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 903,525,312
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_594626683
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -75,855,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 899,429,642
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 43.86
Operating Cashflow -59,335,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 310 618 6994
Post Market Change -0.3899994
Post Market Change Percent -0.8839515
Post Market Price 43.73
Post Market Time 1,783,982,828
Previous Close 43.92
Price Eps Current Year -11.002493
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 18.726656
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 2.49
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.200001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.455375
Regular Market Day High 44.365
Regular Market Day Low 40.1601
Regular Market Day Range 40.1601 - 44.365
Regular Market Open 43.86
Regular Market Previous Close 43.92
Regular Market Price 44.12
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 740,427
Return On Assets -0.83897
Return On Equity -1.88396
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 20,478,817
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0924
Shares Short 1,891,440
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,367,728
Short Name Forte Biosciences, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.093
Short Ratio 4.55
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol FBRX
Target High Price 75.0
Target Low Price 54.0
Target Mean Price 64.75
Target Median Price 65.0
Total Cash 58,223,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.383
Total Debt 0
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.58
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.120825
Two Hundred Day Average Change 20.999174
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.9082364
Type Disp Equity
Volume 740,427
Website https://www.fortebiorx.com
Zip 75,247