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Fastenal Company (FAST)

Industrials | Industrial Distribution | Winona, United States | NasdaqGS
50.83 USD -0.66 (-1.282%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 12:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:06 a.m. EDT

Fastenal presents a classic case of a high-quality business trading at a valuation premium that ignores its defensive characteristics. Fundamentally, the company is executing well with double-digit revenue growth and robust operating margins, supported by a fortress balance sheet and a low beta that makes it a natural hedge against industrial volatility. However, the market is pricing in perfection, resulting in a trailing P/E of 43x that feels disconnected from the reality of a mature industrial distributor. The disconnect is stark: while the business generates exceptional cash flows and returns on equity, the stock has underperformed its broader peers over the last year, failing to reward shareholders for this quality. The options market reinforces this skepticism, with heavy put writing at lower strikes acting as a psychological ceiling. For investors, the thesis here is not explosive growth, but rather a mean reversion play where the stock corrects its valuation multiple to align with its steady, predictable cash flows.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.038896
AutoTheta0.040344
AutoARIMA0.040788
AutoETS0.040788

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 57%
H-stat 0.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.741
Excess Kurtosis -0.13
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-27
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-27
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.851
Revenue per Share 7.622
Market Cap 58,327,306,240
Trailing P/E 43.44
Forward P/E 36.31
Beta 0.69
Profit Margins 15.45%
Website https://www.fastenal.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound scenario with a distinct bias toward downside protection. Put open interest is overwhelmingly concentrated out-of-the-money (OTM), creating a massive 'wall' of strikes at 37.5 and 40.0 for the October expiration, suggesting a fear of a significant drop to the lower end of the trading range. Conversely, call activity is sparse and clustered near the money, with very little speculative buying at higher strikes despite elevated implied volatility on deep OTM calls. This asymmetry indicates the market views the current price as vulnerable to a test of support rather than poised for a breakout.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.54% 2.16% 2.41% 2.41%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-28 0.260000 0.540541
2026-04-28 0.240000 0.537153
2026-01-29 0.240000 0.554017
2025-10-28 0.220000 0.528465
2025-07-29 0.220000 0.472103
2025-04-25 0.220000 0.545027
2025-01-31 0.215000 0.587111
2024-10-25 0.195000 0.514173
2024-07-26 0.195000 0.554213
2024-04-24 0.195000 0.575731
2024-01-31 0.195000 0.571596
2023-12-05 0.190000 0.625514
2023-10-25 0.175000 0.613174
2023-07-26 0.175000 0.597984
2023-04-26 0.175000 0.667302
2023-02-01 0.175000 0.674374
2022-10-26 0.155000 0.664238
2022-07-26 0.155000 0.649759
2022-04-26 0.155000 0.554066
2022-02-01 0.155000 0.548575
2021-10-25 0.140000 0.498664
2021-07-26 0.140000 0.515179
2021-04-23 0.140000 0.536604
2021-02-02 0.140000 0.602539
2020-12-01 0.200000 0.824402
2020-10-26 0.125000 0.564334
2020-07-27 0.125000 0.540891
2020-04-27 0.125000 0.678426
2020-01-30 0.125000 0.691754
2019-10-24 0.110000 0.591716
2019-07-24 0.110000 0.689007
2019-04-23 0.107500 0.604782
2019-01-30 0.107500 0.714404
2018-10-23 0.100000 0.793966
2018-07-24 0.100000 0.706464
2018-04-24 0.092500 0.753411
2018-01-30 0.092500 0.662726
2017-10-24 0.080000 0.683177
2017-07-24 0.080000 0.743667
2017-04-24 0.080000 0.704691
2017-01-30 0.080000 0.637450
2016-10-21 0.075000 0.781861
2016-07-22 0.075000 0.712251
2016-04-22 0.075000 0.657462
2016-01-27 0.075000 0.788644
2015-10-23 0.070000 0.722581
2015-07-24 0.070000 0.698952
2015-04-24 0.070000 0.672592
2015-01-28 0.070000 0.625978
2014-10-22 0.062500 0.602410
2014-07-23 0.062500 0.560538
2014-04-23 0.062500 0.501002
2014-01-29 0.062500 0.565867
2013-10-23 0.062500 0.511457
2013-07-24 0.062500 0.550055
2013-04-30 0.050000 0.407747
2013-01-30 0.025000 0.202388
2012-12-05 0.125000 1.204239
2012-10-25 0.052500 0.487805
2012-07-25 0.047500 0.443822
2012-04-30 0.042500 0.363093
2012-01-30 0.042500 0.364572
2011-10-24 0.035000 0.386207
2011-07-21 0.032500 0.377140
2011-04-13 0.032500 0.402041
2011-02-11 0.062500 0.789141
2010-11-22 0.052500 0.794401
2010-08-18 0.052500 0.846092
2010-02-10 0.050000 0.963159
2009-08-13 0.046250 1.000811
2009-02-11 0.043750 1.012439
2008-12-03 0.033750 0.807900
2008-08-14 0.033750 0.538707
2008-02-21 0.031250 0.604157
2007-08-16 0.028750 0.512021
2007-02-22 0.026250 0.560748
2006-08-17 0.025000 0.534759
2006-02-15 0.025000 0.481116
2005-08-18 0.019375 0.501213
2005-02-16 0.019375 0.520047
2004-08-19 0.015625 0.416945
2004-02-19 0.009375 0.307503
2003-09-24 0.009375 0.363548
2003-02-19 0.003750 0.185644
2002-02-20 0.003125 0.140865
2001-02-21 0.002813 0.158096
2000-02-23 0.002500 0.184040
1999-02-24 0.001250 0.103060
1998-02-25 0.000625 0.042838
1997-02-26 0.000625 0.054237
1996-02-28 0.000625 0.055268
1995-02-08 0.000625 0.091954
1994-03-02 0.000625 0.115523
1993-02-23 0.000469 0.144655
1992-02-25 0.000469 0.193651
1991-02-25 0.000391 0.204278
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.96
dividendYield 1.86
exDividendDate 2026-07-28
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.017867547
lastDividendValue 0.26
lastDividendDate 2026-07-28
dividendDate 2026-08-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.20444441
Address1 2,001 Theurer Boulevard
All Time High 52.92
All Time Low 0.026042
Ask 53.89
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,647,880
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,341,701
Average Volume 7,341,701
Average Volume10Days 6,647,880
Beta 0.69
Bid 48.32
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 6
Book Value 3.546
City Winona
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 50.83
Current Ratio 4.18
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 52.0
Day Low 50.725
Debt To Equity 10.851
Display Name Fastenal
Dividend Date 1,787,616,000
Dividend Rate 0.96
Dividend Yield 1.86
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,008,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,008,000
Earnings Growth 0.146
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.159
Earnings Timestamp 1,791,981,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,791,981,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,791,981,000
Ebitda 1,954,700,032
Ebitda Margins 0.22341
Enterprise To Ebitda 30.348
Enterprise To Revenue 6.78
Enterprise Value 59,321,450,496
Eps Current Year 1.2649
Eps Forward 1.40001
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.17
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,196,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.2674
Fifty Day Average Change 0.562603
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.011192204
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 20.44444
Fifty Two Week High 52.92
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.0899963
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.03949351
Fifty Two Week Low 38.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.860001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.30433667
Fifty Two Week Range 38.97 - 52.92
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 556,464,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.12
Float Shares 1,144,800,954
Forward Eps 1.40001
Forward P E 36.306885
Free Cashflow 916,124,992
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 22,230
Fullday Change -0.65999985
Fullday Change Percent -1.2818019
Fullday Price 50.83
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.44701
Gross Profits 3,911,099,904
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00088
Held Percent Institutions 0.87331
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,147,497,573
Industry Industrial Distribution
Industry Disp Industrial Distribution
Industry Key industrial-distribution
Ir Website http://investor.fastenal.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,196,800
Last Dividend Value 0.26
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,747,872,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers that are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines. It offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers; maintenance, repair, and operations customers; non-residential construction market; farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.
Long Name Fastenal Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 58,327,306,240
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_270747
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,352,099,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 58,510,901,247
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 52.0
Operating Cashflow 1,399,200,000
Operating Margins 0.21023001
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.78629994
Peg Ratio 3.37
Phone 507 454 5374
Previous Close 51.49
Price Eps Current Year 40.184998
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 14.334462
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.666435
Profit Margins 0.15454
Quick Ratio 1.998
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.72222
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.65999985
Regular Market Change Percent -1.2818019
Regular Market Day High 52.0
Regular Market Day Low 50.725
Regular Market Day Range 50.725 - 52.0
Regular Market Open 52.0
Regular Market Previous Close 51.49
Regular Market Price 50.83
Regular Market Time 1,791,910,589
Regular Market Volume 3,707,149
Return On Assets 0.21521999
Return On Equity 0.34334
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 7.622
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 1,147,497,573
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.030199999
Shares Short 34,618,329
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 34,649,070
Short Name Fastenal Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0344
Short Ratio 4.95
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol FAST
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 39.9
Target Mean Price 49.45385
Target Median Price 49.0
Total Cash 204,700,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.178
Total Debt 441,500,000
Total Revenue 8,749,400,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.017867547
Trailing Eps 1.17
Trailing P E 43.444447
Trailing Peg Ratio 3.3899
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.48915
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.340851
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09337342
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,707,149
Website https://www.fastenal.com
Zip 55,987-1500