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Fastenal Company (FAST)

Industrials | Industrial Distribution | Winona, United States | NasdaqGS
49.78 USD -1.36 (-2.650%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 50.06 +0.28 (0.570%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:45 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains robust, driven by exceptional capital efficiency and a clear recovery trend. Return on Equity sits at a formidable 34%, while the business has delivered a +356% cumulative gain over the last nine years, with the most recent annual performance showing a massive +49% surge. This trajectory confirms the market is rewarding the company's ability to generate superior returns on equity. However, the valuation is now stretched, trading at nearly 44 times trailing earnings, which leaves little margin for error if growth decelerates. For the short term, the outlook is mixed; while the price has rallied significantly off its lows, the statistical forecasting model indicates a flat direction for the coming month, and the stock is hovering near its 52-week high. This suggests the immediate momentum may be exhausting. The options market reflects this tension, with traders betting on a continued rise toward $55 while simultaneously buying deep protection, implying a potential for a sharp, volatile correction before the next leg up.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.059582
AutoETS0.059926
AutoARIMA0.059926
AutoTheta0.073272

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 2.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.314
Excess Kurtosis 0.21
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-27
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-27
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.851
Revenue per Share 7.622
Market Cap 57,122,430,976
Trailing P/E 43.67
Forward P/E 35.56
Beta 0.71
Profit Margins 15.45%
Website https://www.fastenal.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, evidenced by heavy call open interest at the $55 strike and significant volume spikes at distant strikes ($67.5, $120). Conversely, put buyers are aggressively establishing walls at deep out-of-the-money levels ($37.5, $36.25), suggesting a floor is being defined well below current prices. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, indicating anticipation of a volatile swing rather than a steady grind.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.54% 2.16% 2.41% 2.41%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-28 0.260000 0.540541
2026-04-28 0.240000 0.537153
2026-01-29 0.240000 0.554017
2025-10-28 0.220000 0.528465
2025-07-29 0.220000 0.472103
2025-04-25 0.220000 0.545027
2025-01-31 0.215000 0.587111
2024-10-25 0.195000 0.514173
2024-07-26 0.195000 0.554213
2024-04-24 0.195000 0.575731
2024-01-31 0.195000 0.571596
2023-12-05 0.190000 0.625514
2023-10-25 0.175000 0.613174
2023-07-26 0.175000 0.597984
2023-04-26 0.175000 0.667302
2023-02-01 0.175000 0.674374
2022-10-26 0.155000 0.664238
2022-07-26 0.155000 0.649759
2022-04-26 0.155000 0.554066
2022-02-01 0.155000 0.548575
2021-10-25 0.140000 0.498664
2021-07-26 0.140000 0.515179
2021-04-23 0.140000 0.536604
2021-02-02 0.140000 0.602539
2020-12-01 0.200000 0.824402
2020-10-26 0.125000 0.564334
2020-07-27 0.125000 0.540891
2020-04-27 0.125000 0.678426
2020-01-30 0.125000 0.691754
2019-10-24 0.110000 0.591716
2019-07-24 0.110000 0.689007
2019-04-23 0.107500 0.604782
2019-01-30 0.107500 0.714404
2018-10-23 0.100000 0.793966
2018-07-24 0.100000 0.706464
2018-04-24 0.092500 0.753411
2018-01-30 0.092500 0.662726
2017-10-24 0.080000 0.683177
2017-07-24 0.080000 0.743667
2017-04-24 0.080000 0.704691
2017-01-30 0.080000 0.637450
2016-10-21 0.075000 0.781861
2016-07-22 0.075000 0.712251
2016-04-22 0.075000 0.657462
2016-01-27 0.075000 0.788644
2015-10-23 0.070000 0.722581
2015-07-24 0.070000 0.698952
2015-04-24 0.070000 0.672592
2015-01-28 0.070000 0.625978
2014-10-22 0.062500 0.602410
2014-07-23 0.062500 0.560538
2014-04-23 0.062500 0.501002
2014-01-29 0.062500 0.565867
2013-10-23 0.062500 0.511457
2013-07-24 0.062500 0.550055
2013-04-30 0.050000 0.407747
2013-01-30 0.025000 0.202388
2012-12-05 0.125000 1.204239
2012-10-25 0.052500 0.487805
2012-07-25 0.047500 0.443822
2012-04-30 0.042500 0.363093
2012-01-30 0.042500 0.364572
2011-10-24 0.035000 0.386207
2011-07-21 0.032500 0.377140
2011-04-13 0.032500 0.402041
2011-02-11 0.062500 0.789141
2010-11-22 0.052500 0.794401
2010-08-18 0.052500 0.846092
2010-02-10 0.050000 0.963159
2009-08-13 0.046250 1.000811
2009-02-11 0.043750 1.012439
2008-12-03 0.033750 0.807900
2008-08-14 0.033750 0.538707
2008-02-21 0.031250 0.604157
2007-08-16 0.028750 0.512021
2007-02-22 0.026250 0.560748
2006-08-17 0.025000 0.534759
2006-02-15 0.025000 0.481116
2005-08-18 0.019375 0.501213
2005-02-16 0.019375 0.520047
2004-08-19 0.015625 0.416945
2004-02-19 0.009375 0.307503
2003-09-24 0.009375 0.363548
2003-02-19 0.003750 0.185644
2002-02-20 0.003125 0.140865
2001-02-21 0.002813 0.158096
2000-02-23 0.002500 0.184040
1999-02-24 0.001250 0.103060
1998-02-25 0.000625 0.042838
1997-02-26 0.000625 0.054237
1996-02-28 0.000625 0.055268
1995-02-08 0.000625 0.091954
1994-03-02 0.000625 0.115523
1993-02-23 0.000469 0.144655
1992-02-25 0.000469 0.193651
1991-02-25 0.000391 0.204278
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.96
dividendYield 1.88
exDividendDate 2026-07-28
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.017991591
lastDividendValue 0.26
lastDividendDate 2026-07-28
dividendDate 2026-08-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.039642215
Address1 2,001 Theurer Boulevard
All Time High 52.92
All Time Low 0.026042
Ask 52.57
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,349,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,751,825
Average Volume 7,751,825
Average Volume10Days 5,349,240
Beta 0.712
Bid 47.29
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 6
Book Value 3.546
City Winona
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 49.78
Current Ratio 4.18
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 51.52
Day Low 49.725
Debt To Equity 10.851
Dividend Date 1,787,616,000
Dividend Rate 0.96
Dividend Yield 1.88
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,037,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,037,600
Earnings Growth 0.146
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.159
Earnings Timestamp 1,791,981,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,791,981,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,791,981,000
Ebitda 1,954,700,032
Ebitda Margins 0.22341
Enterprise To Ebitda 29.344
Enterprise To Revenue 6.556
Enterprise Value 57,359,228,928
Eps Current Year 1.26249
Eps Forward 1.39976
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.14
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,196,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 48.3018
Fifty Day Average Change 1.478199
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.030603394
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 3.9642215
Fifty Two Week High 52.92
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.1399994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.059334837
Fifty Two Week Low 38.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.809998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2773928
Fifty Two Week Range 38.97 - 52.92
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 556,464,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.16
Float Shares 1,144,835,379
Forward Eps 1.39976
Forward P E 35.56324
Free Cashflow 916,124,992
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 22,230
Fullday Change -1.355
Fullday Change Percent -2.64985
Fullday Price 50.0636
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.44701
Gross Profits 3,911,099,904
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00088
Held Percent Institutions 0.87606
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,147,497,573
Industry Industrial Distribution
Industry Disp Industrial Distribution
Industry Key industrial-distribution
Ir Website http://investor.fastenal.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,785,196,800
Last Dividend Value 0.26
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,747,872,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers that are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines. It offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers; maintenance, repair, and operations customers; non-residential construction market; farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.
Long Name Fastenal Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 57,122,430,976
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_270747
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,352,099,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 58,660,075,931
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 51.5
Operating Cashflow 1,399,200,000
Operating Margins 0.21023001
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.78629994
Peg Ratio 3.64
Phone 507 454 5374
Post Market Change 0.28359985
Post Market Change Percent 0.56970644
Post Market Price 50.0636
Post Market Time 1,787,961,389
Previous Close 51.135
Price Eps Current Year 39.43001
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 14.038353
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.5287256
Profit Margins 0.15454
Quick Ratio 1.998
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.72222
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.355
Regular Market Change Percent -2.64985
Regular Market Day High 51.52
Regular Market Day Low 49.725
Regular Market Day Range 49.725 - 51.52
Regular Market Open 51.5
Regular Market Previous Close 51.135
Regular Market Price 49.78
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 5,999,665
Return On Assets 0.21521999
Return On Equity 0.34334
Revenue Growth 0.147
Revenue Per Share 7.622
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 1,147,497,573
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0272
Shares Short 31,204,882
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 31,475,902
Short Name Fastenal Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.031
Short Ratio 3.51
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol FAST
Target High Price 59.0
Target Low Price 39.9
Target Mean Price 48.53077
Target Median Price 47.0
Total Cash 204,700,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.178
Total Debt 441,500,000
Total Revenue 8,749,400,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.017991591
Trailing Eps 1.14
Trailing P E 43.666668
Trailing Peg Ratio 3.6976
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 45.1153
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.6646996
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.10339507
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,999,665
Website https://www.fastenal.com
Zip 55,987-1500