Farmer Bros Co (FARM)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Fort Worth, United States |
USD
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Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 10:04 a.m. UTC
The investment case for this coffee chain has collapsed entirely due to a definitive corporate event rather than just market sentiment. The company is no longer an independent public entity but is being acquired by Royal Cup Coffee in an all-cash merger at $1.29 per share. This transaction price effectively caps the upside potential for existing shareholders, rendering any 'momentum' or 'technical' analysis irrelevant as the stock will likely delist or convert immediately upon closing. Fundamentally, the business is deteriorating under the weight of this transition: revenue is shrinking by 1.2%, profitability is negative with operating margins at -3.8%, and the balance sheet is fragile with debt-to-equity exceeding 156%. The market has already priced in the worst-case scenario, driving the stock to a 48-year low where the price trades below book value. With no dividend history to speak of and a forward P/E that is mathematically undefined due to negative earnings, there is no safety margin left. The statistical models showing a flat prediction are merely reflecting the absence of volatility in a dying asset; the real story is the acquisition, which offers no room for a speculative bounce before the deal closes. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.013825 |
| MSTL | 0.016434 |
| AutoTheta | 0.018649 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.146442 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 11.37 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.758 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.25 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2011-01-26 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2011-01-26 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 156.546 |
| Revenue per Share | 15.66 |
| Market Cap | 28,089,448 |
| Forward P/E | -1.51 |
| Beta | 1.13 |
| Profit Margins | -5.51% |
| Website | https://www.farmerbros.com |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.17419356 |
| Address1 | 14,501 N Fwy |
| All Time High | 39.394 |
| All Time Low | 0.381106 |
| Ask | 1.32 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 9 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 193,538 |
| Average Volume | 245,558 |
| Average Volume10Days | 193,538 |
| Beta | 1.125 |
| Bid | 1.28 |
| Bid Size | 2,200 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 1.642 |
| City | Fort Worth |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 1.28 |
| Current Ratio | 1.268 |
| Date Short Interest | 1,776,211,200 |
| Day High | 1.28 |
| Day Low | 1.28 |
| Debt To Equity | 156.546 |
| Ebitda | 5,069,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.01501 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 15.673 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.235 |
| Enterprise Value | 79,445,760 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,296,000,000 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Timezone Name | UTC |
| Fifty Day Average | 1.2696 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 2.48 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 1.21 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Epoch Utc | 1,777,987,800 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 2.36 |
| Float Shares | 17,162,499 |
| Forward Eps | -0.85 |
| Forward P E | -1.5058823 |
| Free Cashflow | 5,394,625 |
| Full Time Employees | 865 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,777,593,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.40702 |
| Gross Profits | 137,456,992 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.20965 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.33808 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 21,944,882 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=65399&p=irol-irHome |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,296,000,000 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.06 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,751,241,600 |
| Last Split Date | 1,084,233,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 10:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Farmer Bros. Co. engages in roasting, wholesaling, equipment servicing, and distributing coffee, tea, and other allied products in the United States. The company offers roast and ground coffee; frozen liquid coffee; ambient liquid; flavoured and unflavoured iced and hot teas; culinary products, including spices, pancake and biscuit mixes, gravy and sauce mixes, soup bases, dressings, and syrups and sauces, as well as coffee filters, cups, sugar, and creamers; and other beverages comprising cappuccino, cocoa, granitas, and other blender-based beverages and concentrated and ready-to-drink cold brew and iced coffee under the Farmer Brothers, Artisan Collection by Farmer Brothers, Metropolitan, Farmer Brothers, Sum>One, Metropolitan, China Mist, Cain's, and Boyds brand names. It also involved in the installation, repair, and refurbishment services for an array of coffee, tea, and juice equipment. The company serves small independent restaurants, foodservice operators, and large institutional buyers and national account customers, such as restaurant, department and convenience store chains, hotels, casinos, healthcare facilities, and gourmet coffee houses, as well as retails with private brand and consumer-branded coffee and tea products, foodservice distributors, and consumers through e-commerce channel. It distributes its products through third-party logistics service providers and retail, as well as through foodservice distributors. Farmer Bros. Co. was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. As of May 5, 2026, Farmer Bros. Co. operates as a subsidiary of Royal Cup, Inc. |
| Long Name | Farmer Bros Co |
| Market Cap | 28,089,448 |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_270566 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -18,615,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,782,777,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 28,089,448 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 1.28 |
| Operating Cashflow | 5,258,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.03847 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 7.45 |
| Phone | 682 549 6600 |
| Previous Close | 1.28 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 0.77953714 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.08317402 |
| Profit Margins | -0.055120002 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.451 |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Regular Market Day High | 1.28 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 1.28 |
| Regular Market Open | 1.28 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 1.28 |
| Regular Market Volume | 131,144 |
| Return On Assets | -0.02182 |
| Return On Equity | -0.48258 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.012 |
| Revenue Per Share | 15.66 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 21,944,882 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0143 |
| Shares Short | 313,608 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,773,360,000 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 77,691 |
| Short Name | Farmer Brothers Company |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.015 |
| Short Ratio | 1.39 |
| State | TX |
| Symbol | FARM |
| Target High Price | 1.5 |
| Target Low Price | 1.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 1.5 |
| Target Median Price | 1.5 |
| Time Zone Full Name | America/New_York |
| Time Zone Short Name | EDT |
| Total Cash | 4,186,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.193 |
| Total Debt | 55,821,000 |
| Total Revenue | 337,719,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.86 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 1.565575 |
| Underlying Symbol | FARM |
| Uuid | 631d8b0a-35e8-34f3-b994-95078809a6ae |
| Volume | 131,144 |
| Website | https://www.farmerbros.com |
| Zip | 76,177 |