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Factorial Energy Inc. (FAC)

Industrials | Electrical Equipment & Parts | Billerica, United States | NasdaqGM
6.00 USD -3.32 (-35.622%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Factorial Energy is currently broken on both immediate and long-term horizons. Fundamentally, the company is in distress with negative book value (-$2.14/share), negative operating cash flow, and a trailing P/E that indicates losses. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing equity. While the stock trades near its 52-week low, the lack of recent news and the absence of analyst coverage suggest a lack of catalysts to reverse this trend. Technically, the momentum is severely negative, having underperformed both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The options market confirms this pessimism; traders are buying insurance (puts) rather than betting on a rebound, with heavy open interest at strikes far below the current price. There is no dividend to provide income, and the statistical forecasting models offer no reliable guidance due to extreme noise in the recent price action. In summary, this is a speculative vehicle with deteriorating fundamentals and no visible path to recovery, making it unsuitable for capital preservation or growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.145303
AutoARIMA0.145541
AutoETS0.145541
MSTL0.145641

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 93.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.001
Excess Kurtosis 1.38
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 157.618
Market Cap 642,139,520
Forward P/E -21.43
Website https://factorialenergy.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by significant open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at $5.00 and $2.50) relative to calls. Call activity is almost entirely concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes ($12.50 and above), indicating a lack of bullish conviction despite the stock trading near its 52-week lows. Implied volatility remains elevated on the put side, suggesting fear of further declines.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.07078761
Address1 805 Middlesex Turnpike
All Time High 25.33
All Time Low 8.7
Ask 4.76
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 203,050
Average Daily Volume3 Month 396,414
Average Volume 396,414
Average Volume10Days 203,050
Bid 6.07
Bid Size 4
Book Value -2.136
City Billerica
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.0
Current Ratio 5.496
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.26
Day Low 4.2401
Debt To Equity 157.618
Display Name Factorial Energy
Ebitda -34,470,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -26.094
Enterprise Value 899,456,448
Eps Current Year -0.19
Eps Forward -0.28
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.65
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.8149
Fifty Day Average Change -5.8149004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.4921667
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.078761
Fifty Two Week High 25.33
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.33
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.76312673
Fifty Two Week Low 4.2401
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.7599001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.415061
Fifty Two Week Range 4.2401 - 25.33
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,750,771,800,000
Float Shares 72,255,674
Forward Eps -0.28
Forward P E -21.428572
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.34013999
Held Percent Institutions 0.32049
Implied Shares Outstanding 107,023,245
Industry Electrical Equipment & Parts
Industry Disp Electrical Equipment & Parts
Industry Key electrical-equipment-parts
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Factorial Energy Inc. develops and manufactures battery energy storage technologies and solid-state battery technology in the United States and Korea. The company's products are used in the production of batteries for electric vehicles, homes, and critical applications. Factorial Energy Inc. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Billerica, Massachusetts.
Long Name Factorial Energy Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 642,139,520
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_424200280
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -69,550,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 642,139,470
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 9.26
Operating Cashflow -30,179,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone (617) 315-9733
Pre Market Change -0.059999943
Pre Market Change Percent -0.99999905
Pre Market Price 5.94
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,734
Previous Close 9.32
Price Eps Current Year -31.578947
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -2.8089888
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 4.658
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -3.32
Regular Market Change Percent -35.6223
Regular Market Day High 9.26
Regular Market Day Low 4.2401
Regular Market Day Range 4.2401 - 9.26
Regular Market Open 9.26
Regular Market Previous Close 9.32
Regular Market Price 6.0
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 4,082,353
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 91,510,501
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.004
Shares Short 245,052
Short Name Factorial Energy Inc.
Short Ratio 0.14
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol FAC
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 18.0
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 25,449,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.238
Total Debt 33,114,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.65
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.61097
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.6109695
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.43454742
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,082,353
Website https://factorialenergy.com
Zip 1,821