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Ford Motor Company (F)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Dearborn, United States | NYSE
13.85 USD -0.15 (-1.071%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:21 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Ford remains fractured by a stark divergence between its defensive dividend and its deteriorating operational reality. While the 4.4% yield provides a necessary cushion for income investors, the underlying business is showing signs of distress. The company is currently navigating a multi-year price decline, having lost over 11% of its value since the start of the observation window, with the last two years marked by negative annual returns. This trajectory suggests the market is pricing in persistent structural issues rather than a temporary dislocation. Although recent quarterly earnings showed a modest rebound and the company generated significant EBIT from its commercial division, the balance sheet remains precarious with debt-to-equity exceeding 400% and negative free cash flow. The options market confirms this skepticism, with traders aggressively buying protection at deep discount levels while limiting upside exposure. Until the balance sheet stabilizes and the multi-year downtrend is decisively reversed, the stock remains a speculative hold rather than a compelling buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.195386
AutoTheta0.198177
AutoETS0.199625
AutoARIMA0.202789

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 1.48
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.964
Excess Kurtosis -0.13
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-11
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-11
Debt to Equity Ratio 425.544
Revenue per Share 47.647
Market Cap 55,187,996,672
Forward P/E 7.58
Beta 1.83
Profit Margins -3.22%
Website https://www.ford.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume and open interest, particularly at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $4.82, $5.00, $7.67), suggesting a fear of a significant downside gap or a 'naked put' strategy targeting deep discounts. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money ($14-$17 range) with massive open interest walls, indicating a bet on volatility expansion or a rebound to test resistance rather than a breakout to new highs. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep OTM puts relative to calls, reinforcing a bearish sentiment regarding the absolute price floor.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.25% 4.80% 6.28% 6.02%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-12 0.150000 1.251043
2026-02-13 0.150000 1.062323
2025-11-07 0.150000 1.135503
2025-08-11 0.150000 1.346499
2025-05-12 0.150000 1.421801
2025-02-18 0.300000 3.229279
2024-11-07 0.150000 1.368613
2024-08-07 0.150000 1.535312
2024-05-07 0.150000 1.232539
2024-02-15 0.330000 2.635783
2023-10-31 0.150000 1.538462
2023-07-24 0.150000 1.074499
2023-04-25 0.150000 1.274426
2023-02-10 0.800000 6.284368
2022-11-14 0.150000 1.066856
2022-08-10 0.150000 0.967742
2022-04-25 0.100000 0.658328
2022-01-28 0.100000 0.511771
2021-11-18 0.100000 0.511247
2020-01-29 0.150000 1.693002
2019-10-21 0.150000 1.661130
2019-07-22 0.150000 1.497006
2019-04-23 0.150000 1.578947
2019-01-30 0.150000 1.722158
2018-10-22 0.150000 1.783591
2018-07-20 0.150000 1.420454
2018-04-19 0.150000 1.368613
2018-01-29 0.280000 2.517986
2017-10-20 0.150000 1.239669
2017-07-20 0.150000 1.282051
2017-04-18 0.150000 1.346499
2017-01-18 0.200000 1.611604
2016-10-25 0.150000 1.265823
2016-07-26 0.150000 1.082251
2016-04-27 0.150000 1.098097
2016-01-27 0.400000 3.375527
2015-10-28 0.150000 1.002004
2015-07-29 0.150000 0.986193
2015-04-29 0.150000 0.936330
2015-01-28 0.150000 1.037344
2014-10-29 0.125000 0.898634
2014-07-30 0.125000 0.715922
2014-04-30 0.125000 0.773994
2014-01-29 0.125000 0.819135
2013-10-30 0.100000 0.576701
2013-07-31 0.100000 0.592417
2013-05-01 0.100000 0.747384
2013-01-28 0.100000 0.725689
2012-10-31 0.050000 0.448029
2012-08-01 0.050000 0.553097
2012-04-30 0.050000 0.443262
2012-01-27 0.050000 0.409500
2006-07-31 0.050000 0.749625
2006-04-28 0.100000 1.438849
2006-01-26 0.100000 1.153403
2005-10-28 0.100000 1.246883
2005-07-29 0.100000 0.931099
2005-04-28 0.100000 1.094092
2005-01-26 0.100000 0.749064
2004-10-28 0.100000 0.759878
2004-07-28 0.100000 0.658328
2004-04-28 0.100000 0.645161
2004-01-28 0.100000 0.641849
2003-10-29 0.100000 0.804505
2003-07-30 0.100000 0.938967
2003-04-30 0.100000 0.970874
2003-01-29 0.100000 1.064963
2002-10-30 0.100000 1.187648
2002-07-31 0.100000 0.742390
2002-05-01 0.100000 0.611995
2002-01-28 0.100000 0.664011
2001-10-31 0.150000 0.934579
2001-08-01 0.300000 1.198562
2001-04-30 0.300000 1.017639
2001-01-26 0.300000 1.071429
2000-10-30 0.300000 1.132075
2000-07-24 0.286013 1.068092
2000-04-28 0.274772 0.913241
2000-01-28 0.274772 1.020407
1999-10-28 0.274772 0.916379
1999-07-29 0.252790 0.884614
1999-04-29 0.252790 0.700951
1999-01-27 0.252790 0.762693
1998-10-28 0.252790 0.901959
1998-07-29 0.230809 0.728851
1998-04-29 0.230809 0.920549
1998-01-28 0.153280 0.841051
1997-10-29 0.153280 0.920548
1997-07-30 0.153280 1.018181
1997-04-30 0.153280 1.208633
1997-01-28 0.140507 1.184618
1996-10-30 0.140507 1.246966
1996-07-31 0.140507 1.189192
1996-04-30 0.127733 0.975607
1996-01-29 0.127733 1.206893
1995-10-30 0.127733 1.181431
1995-07-31 0.113135 1.068963
1995-04-26 0.113135 1.148145
1995-01-24 0.094888 1.009712
1994-10-26 0.094888 0.888892
1994-07-27 0.082114 0.740738
1994-04-26 0.082114 0.777535
1994-01-24 0.072991 0.609528
1993-10-26 0.072991 0.669461
1993-07-27 0.072991 0.780493
1993-04-26 0.072991 0.782401
1993-01-25 0.072991 0.833339
1992-10-26 0.072991 0.993796
1992-07-27 0.072991 0.909097
1992-04-27 0.072991 0.922196
1992-01-27 0.072991 1.221382
1991-10-28 0.072991 1.467900
1991-07-29 0.072991 1.216738
1991-04-26 0.072991 1.226062
1991-01-24 0.136857 2.803734
1990-10-26 0.136857 2.521005
1990-07-27 0.136857 1.807226
1990-04-26 0.136857 1.648349
1990-01-24 0.136857 1.775145
1989-10-26 0.136857 1.578945
1989-07-27 0.136857 1.496257
1989-04-26 0.136857 1.542414
1989-01-24 0.136857 1.442306
1988-10-26 0.109486 1.129414
1988-07-27 0.109486 1.185188
1988-04-26 0.109486 1.283425
1988-01-25 0.091238 1.183430
1987-10-27 0.091238 1.428569
1987-07-28 0.068429 0.739832
1987-04-27 0.068429 0.930238
1987-01-26 0.059305 0.887375
1986-10-27 0.059305 1.120694
1986-07-29 0.050181 0.997733
1986-04-28 0.050181 1.041010
1986-01-24 0.042578 1.174010
1985-10-28 0.042578 1.538469
1985-07-30 0.036495 1.371419
1985-04-26 0.036495 1.420109
1985-01-24 0.030413 1.005035
1984-11-26 0.030413 1.084021
1984-10-26 0.024330 0.842100
1984-07-27 0.024330 1.035592
1984-04-26 0.024330 1.126753
1984-01-25 0.018248 0.697689
1983-10-26 0.018248 0.653371
1983-07-27 0.012165 0.477134
1981-10-26 0.012165 1.846141
1981-07-27 0.012165 1.355923
1981-04-27 0.012165 1.269833
1981-01-26 0.012165 1.578937
1980-10-27 0.012165 1.212113
1980-07-28 0.012165 1.182258
1980-04-28 0.040550 4.210498
1980-01-25 0.040550 3.018847
1979-10-26 0.040550 2.684545
1979-07-27 0.040550 2.388043
1979-04-26 0.040550 2.253505
1979-01-24 0.036495 2.215370
1978-10-25 0.036495 2.105249
1978-07-25 0.036495 2.011159
1978-04-25 0.036495 1.818169
1978-01-23 0.032440 1.975295
1977-10-25 0.032440 1.849698
1977-07-27 0.032440 1.802804
1977-04-26 0.032440 1.822311
1977-01-25 0.025952 1.341710
1976-10-26 0.025952 1.441432
1976-07-27 0.025952 1.422212
1976-04-23 0.019464 1.021270
1976-01-23 0.019464 1.173586
1975-10-24 0.019464 1.509423
1975-07-25 0.019464 1.558430
1975-04-24 0.019464 1.632642
1975-01-24 0.025952 2.222207
1974-10-25 0.025952 2.655583
1974-07-25 0.025952 1.711219
1974-04-24 0.025952 1.608029
1974-01-25 0.025952 1.792705
1973-10-23 0.025952 1.434968
1973-07-24 0.032440 1.789696
1973-04-24 0.022708 1.122237
1973-01-23 0.022708 0.934885
1972-10-25 0.021897 1.030527
1972-07-25 0.021897 1.046505
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.6
dividendYield 4.33
exDividendDate 2026-05-12
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.042857144
lastDividendValue 0.15
lastDividendDate 2026-05-12
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.19706142
Address1 One American Road
Address2 P.O. Box 1899
All Time High 37.300335
All Time Low 0.638667
Ask 13.89
Ask Size 7,700
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 48,079,220
Average Daily Volume3 Month 60,816,177
Average Volume 60,816,177
Average Volume10Days 48,079,220
Beta 1.828
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 22,500
Board Risk 10
Book Value 9.399
City Dearborn
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.85
Current Ratio 1.09
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 14.22
Day Low 13.82
Debt To Equity 425.544
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 0.6
Dividend Yield 4.33
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Earnings Growth 4.308
Earnings Quarterly Growth 4.41
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 7,577,999,872
Ebitda Margins 0.03991
Enterprise To Ebitda 25.462
Enterprise To Revenue 1.016
Enterprise Value 192,950,992,896
Eps Current Year 1.63852
Eps Forward 1.82655
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.55
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,544,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.994
Fifty Day Average Change -0.14400005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.010290128
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 19.706142
Fifty Two Week High 17.78
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.9300003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22103488
Fifty Two Week Low 10.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29681647
Fifty Two Week Range 10.68 - 17.78
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 76,253,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 5.76
Float Shares 3,873,519,706
Forward Eps 1.82655
Forward P E 7.582601
Free Cashflow -2,247,500,032
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 168,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.07064
Gross Profits 13,411,000,320
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0028900001
Held Percent Institutions 0.67611
Implied Shares Outstanding 3,984,692,630
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ir Website http://corporate.ford.com/our-company/investors
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,544,000
Last Dividend Value 0.15
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 965,260,800
Last Split Factor 1,748,175:1000000
Long Business Summary Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions. It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. Additionally, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Long Name Ford Motor Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 55,187,996,672
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_106335
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -6,104,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 55,187,992,924
Number Of Analyst Opinions 20
Open 13.99
Operating Cashflow 18,919,000,064
Operating Margins 0.05743
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.641
Peg Ratio 8.48
Phone 313 322 3000
Pre Market Change -0.018699646
Pre Market Change Percent -0.13483344
Pre Market Price 13.85
Pre Market Time 1,784,031,368
Previous Close 14.0
Price Eps Current Year 8.45275
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.473561
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.2906758
Profit Margins -0.03216
Quick Ratio 0.88
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.71429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.15
Regular Market Change Percent -1.07143
Regular Market Day High 14.22
Regular Market Day Low 13.82
Regular Market Day Range 13.82 - 14.22
Regular Market Open 13.99
Regular Market Previous Close 14.0
Regular Market Price 13.85
Regular Market Time 1,783,973,036
Regular Market Volume 46,661,162
Return On Assets 0.0034
Return On Equity -0.14813
Revenue Growth 0.064
Revenue Per Share 47.647
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 3,913,840,554
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0
Shares Short 84,596
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 17,421
Short Name Ford Motor Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0
Short Ratio 0.0
Source Interval 15
State MI
Symbol F
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 11.0
Target Mean Price 14.951
Target Median Price 14.25
Total Cash 21,778,999,296
Total Cash Per Share 5.466
Total Debt 159,511,003,136
Total Revenue 189,861,003,264
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.042857144
Trailing Eps -1.55
Trailing Peg Ratio 8.4768
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.1683
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.6817007
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.051768318
Type Disp Equity
Volume 46,661,162
Website https://www.ford.com
Zip 48,126-1899