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National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | Duluth, United States | NasdaqGS
17.38 USD -0.49 (-2.742%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 17.38

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:34 a.m. EDT

The turnaround story here is compelling on paper but remains unproven in the market's eyes. While the company has successfully navigated a massive multi-year decline and recently posted a spectacular 142% annual recovery, the current fundamentals tell a different tale: revenue is barely growing (2.5%), profitability is thin (2.5% margins), and the balance sheet is fragile with a current ratio of 0.59 and debt-to-equity nearing 78%. The stock trades at a premium P/E of 28 despite these operational headwinds, suggesting the market is pricing in perfection that hasn't materialized yet. Short-term, the technicals are mixed. The stock is hovering near its 200-day average, which acts as a heavy ceiling, while the recent price action shows a lack of sustained upward momentum. The options flow confirms this uncertainty; traders are buying insurance against a drop to $10 while dreaming of a sprint to $30, creating a volatile environment unsuitable for a clear directional trade. Long-term, the investment case hinges entirely on execution. The management team is making progress on the turnaround plan, and the Russell Growth Index inclusion provides a catalyst, but the path forward is fraught with risk. Until revenue growth accelerates meaningfully and the balance sheet strengthens, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core buy. The lack of a dividend yield further limits the floor for investors.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.170453
AutoETS0.198791
AutoARIMA0.199119
MSTL0.201499

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.509
Excess Kurtosis -0.85
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 77.705
Revenue per Share 25.595
Market Cap 1,374,224,640
Trailing P/E 28.97
Forward P/E 14.40
Beta 1.01
Profit Margins 2.47%
Website https://www.nationalvision.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:34 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (22.5 and 25.0), suggesting a hope for a sharp rebound to test the $30 resistance, while put volume concentrates deep in-the-money (10.0 strike), indicating a hedge against a further collapse to the $10 level. This 'long gamma' setup implies the market expects a volatile range-bound move rather than a steady trend.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.20783955
Address1 Building 2200
Address2 2,435 Commerce Avenue
All Time High 65.92
All Time Low 9.56
Ask 22.38
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,034,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,164,855
Average Volume 2,164,855
Average Volume10Days 2,034,730
Beta 1.009
Bid 17.36
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 3
Book Value 11.346
City Duluth
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.38
Current Ratio 0.592
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 18.325
Day Low 17.32
Debt To Equity 77.705
Display Name National Vision
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,537,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,537,800
Earnings Growth 0.364
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.423
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,537,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 185,035,008
Ebitda Margins 0.091000006
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.997
Enterprise To Revenue 1.001
Enterprise Value 2,034,805,632
Eps Current Year 1.00539
Eps Forward 1.20655
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.6
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 19.7819
Fifty Day Average Change -2.4019012
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12141913
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.783955
Fifty Two Week High 30.02
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.640001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42105266
Fifty Two Week Low 14.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.6299992
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17830503
Fifty Two Week Range 14.75 - 30.02
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,509,111,000,000
Float Shares 77,013,511
Forward Eps 1.20655
Forward P E 14.404707
Free Cashflow 48,656,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 13,138
Fullday Change -0.490002
Fullday Change Percent -2.74203
Fullday Price 17.38
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.58637
Gross Profits 1,192,347,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02664
Held Percent Institutions 1.2951
Implied Shares Outstanding 79,069,313
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Long Business Summary National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. The company offers eyeglasses and contact lenses, and optical accessory products; and provides eye exams through its America's Best, Eyeglass World, Vista Optical, Fred Meyer, Vista Optical military, and DiscountContacts.com. It also offers health maintenance organization and optometric services. In addition, the company sells prescription and non-prescription eyewear, contact lenses and related accessories to retail customers. The company serves a diverse customer base, including price-driven consumers, style leaders, wellness shoppers with vision benefits, managed care customers, outside prescription customers, and progressive lens wearers. The company was formerly known as National Vision, Inc. and changed its name to National Vision Holdings, Inc. in March 2014. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
Long Name National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,374,224,640
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_319122
Most Recent Quarter 1,783,123,200
Net Income To Common 50,286,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,412,968,623
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 17.89
Operating Cashflow 129,608,000
Operating Margins 0.04887
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 770 822 3600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 17.38
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 17.87
Price Eps Current Year 17.286823
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5318173
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6758174
Profit Margins 0.02473
Quick Ratio 0.186
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.58333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.490002
Regular Market Change Percent -2.74203
Regular Market Day High 18.325
Regular Market Day Low 17.32
Regular Market Day Range 17.32 - 18.325
Regular Market Open 17.89
Regular Market Previous Close 17.87
Regular Market Price 17.38
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,660,037
Return On Assets 0.02933
Return On Equity 0.057550002
Revenue Growth 0.025
Revenue Per Share 25.595
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 79,069,313
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.17819999
Shares Short 14,089,920
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 16,647,112
Short Name National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.253
Short Ratio 6.7
Source Interval 15
State GA
Symbol EYE
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 20.0
Target Mean Price 28.72727
Target Median Price 30.0
Total Cash 36,429,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.461
Total Debt 697,009,984
Total Revenue 2,033,426,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.6
Trailing P E 28.966663
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.622375
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.2423763
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.26425692
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,660,037
Website https://www.nationalvision.com
Zip 30,096