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Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Spring, United States | NasdaqGS
87.10 USD -0.15 (-0.172%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT

The most compelling signal here is the valuation disconnect. Despite trading near its fifty-two-week low, the company commands a trailing P/E of just 6.5x and trades at roughly one dollar above book value, while analysts project a target price of $127.40. This implies a massive margin of safety relative to earnings power and analyst expectations. Fundamentally, the business is expanding rapidly with 41% revenue growth and a healthy 17.6% return on equity, supported by strong free cash flow generation. While the balance sheet carries a higher debt load than a typical fortress utility, the cash flow covers obligations comfortably. The long-term rating reflects this solid growth profile, though the high leverage prevents it from reaching the highest tier. On the income side, the 3.6% yield is secure with a low payout ratio, making it a reliable income component rather than a high-yield play. Technically, the stock is lagging behind its moving averages, which creates a short-term headwind, but the options market is placing a floor at current levels while betting on a recovery toward the $120 mark. This looks like a classic value turnaround setup where the price has discounted the worst-case scenario, leaving room for a re-rating as earnings continue to grow.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.082277
AutoARIMA0.083268
AutoTheta0.085609
MSTL0.090360

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 11.11
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.140
Excess Kurtosis -1.12
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 25.883
Revenue per Share 54.287
Market Cap 20,836,833,280
Trailing P/E 6.48
Forward P/E 10.23
Beta 0.33
Profit Margins 24.91%
Previous Name Chesapeake Energy Corporation
Website https://www.expandenergy.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, with heavy call open interest clustering at the $120 to $150 strikes for later expirations, suggesting a target zone well above current prices. Near-term put activity indicates a floor around $80 to $90, creating a defined risk profile. Implied volatility is elevated at far-out-of-the-money strikes, reflecting speculative bets on significant price expansion.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.59% 3.16% 2.83% 4.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-14 0.575 0.594623
2026-03-05 0.575 0.539046
2025-11-13 0.575 0.487453
2025-08-14 1.465 1.542268
2025-05-15 0.575 0.503988
2025-03-11 0.575 0.573280
2024-11-14 0.575 0.604055
2024-08-15 0.575 0.787024
2024-05-15 0.715 0.783562
2024-03-06 0.575 0.701904
2023-11-15 0.575 0.690691
2023-08-16 0.575 0.696294
2023-05-17 1.180 1.507794
2023-03-06 1.290 1.623050
2022-11-14 3.160 3.185805
2022-08-16 2.320 2.391753
2022-05-18 2.340 2.701143
2022-03-04 1.768 2.080000
2021-11-23 0.438 0.685017
2021-08-23 0.344 0.658373
2021-05-21 0.344 0.682134
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.19
dividendYield 3.66
exDividendDate 2026-05-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.19
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.036561605
lastDividendValue 0.575
lastDividendDate 2026-05-14
dividendDate 2026-06-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.20377809
Address1 10,000 Energy Drive
All Time High 126.621
All Time Low 40.0
Ask 94.64
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,659,510
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,496,957
Average Volume 3,496,957
Average Volume10Days 4,659,510
Beta 0.326
Bid 80.52
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 81.413
City Spring
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 87.1
Current Ratio 1.111
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 88.46
Day Low 86.665
Debt To Equity 25.883
Display Name Expand Energy
Dividend Date 1,780,531,200
Dividend Rate 3.19
Dividend Yield 3.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,467,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,467,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,406,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 7,424,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.57302
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.189
Enterprise To Revenue 1.827
Enterprise Value 23,675,832,320
Eps Current Year 8.75724
Eps Forward 8.51018
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 13.44
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 92.8938
Fifty Day Average Change -5.7938004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06237015
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.37781
Fifty Two Week High 126.621
Fifty Two Week High Change -39.521004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.31212044
Fifty Two Week Low 84.985
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.1149979
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.02488672
Fifty Two Week Range 84.985 - 126.621
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,612,967,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.43
Float Shares 238,145,142
Forward Eps 8.51018
Forward P E 10.2348
Free Cashflow 1,687,624,960
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.47955
Gross Profits 6,213,000,192
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0030399999
Held Percent Institutions 0.93362
Implied Shares Outstanding 239,228,849
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ir Website http://www.chk.com/Investors/Pages/Default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Last Dividend Value 0.575
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent natural gas production company in the United States. The company engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It holds interests in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania; the Marcellus and Utica Shales in Ohio and West Virginia; and the Haynesville and Bossier Shales in Louisiana and Texas. Expand Energy Corporation was formerly known as Chesapeake Energy Corporation and changed its name to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Spring, Texas.
Long Name Expand Energy Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 20,836,833,280
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_323857
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 3,227,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 20,836,832,747
Number Of Analyst Opinions 25
Open 87.33
Operating Cashflow 5,880,999,936
Operating Margins 0.3404
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.2374
Peg Ratio 2.7
Phone (346) 535-0990
Pre Market Change 0.099998474
Pre Market Change Percent 0.11480881
Pre Market Price 87.2
Pre Market Time 1,784,023,912
Prev Name Chesapeake Energy Corporation
Previous Close 87.25
Price Eps Current Year 9.946055
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0698537
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6082767
Profit Margins 0.24906999
Quick Ratio 0.889
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.57692
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.150002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.171922
Regular Market Day High 88.46
Regular Market Day Low 86.665
Regular Market Day Range 86.665 - 88.46
Regular Market Open 87.33
Regular Market Previous Close 87.25
Regular Market Price 87.1
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 4,002,585
Return On Assets 0.09668
Return On Equity 0.17568001
Revenue Growth 0.41
Revenue Per Share 54.287
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 239,228,849
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0322
Shares Short 7,692,940
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,209,752
Short Name Expand Energy Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0322
Short Ratio 1.95
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol EXE
Target High Price 160.0
Target Low Price 100.0
Target Mean Price 126.08
Target Median Price 124.0
Total Cash 2,220,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 9.28
Total Debt 5,058,999,808
Total Revenue 12,956,000,256
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.19
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.036561605
Trailing Eps 13.44
Trailing P E 6.4806547
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.7111
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 103.75272
Two Hundred Day Average Change -16.652725
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.16050398
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,002,585
Website https://www.expandenergy.com
Zip 77,389