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Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bristol, United Kingdom | NYSE
2.99 USD -0.35 (-10.479%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 2.98 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:06 a.m. EDT

High-risk speculative turnaround with deteriorating fundamentals. While analyst upside targets imply a 3x+ recovery potential and recent insider accumulation by Saba suggests confidence in the long-run Valo prototype success, the company currently burns cash at a massive rate (-$404M FCF) and trades at dissolved assets (Negative Book Value). Recent news of a 'going concern' warning and 39% drop below the 200-day average indicates the market is currently pricing in survivability risks. Unless vertical cash is suddenly refined or a major contract is signed, EVTL faces delisting risk regardless of the 5-year EVTL vision.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.416275
AutoARIMA0.416276
MSTL0.422626
AutoTheta0.525781

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 19.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.063
Excess Kurtosis -1.09
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Market Cap 305,960,736
Trailing P/E 0.39
Forward P/E -1.91
Beta 1.47
Website https://www.vertical-aerospace.com

As of April 19, 2026, 1:06 a.m. EDT: Short-term options (04/17 expiration) show elevated implied volatility (2.25% calls vs 2.94% puts) with over 90% of OTM volume concentrated in strikes above current price (2.45), suggesting a bullish lean toward the upside. However, significant OI exists at the 5.0 strike (both calls and puts, indicating a potential trend-following strategy or a 'straddle' on a gap), but the lack of ITM call volume compared to puts suggests caution. Long-term options (07/17+) show very low realized ITM volume and lower IV, indicating a sell-off in downside protection ahead of earnings or a lack of conviction in a deep decline. The skew suggests speculators are betting on a bounce from recent lows rather than a crash.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.07716048
Address1 Camwal Court
Address2 Unit 1 Chapel Street
All Time High 184.4
All Time Low 1.9
Ask 2.99
Ask Size 11,600
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,403,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,334,822
Average Volume 2,334,822
Average Volume10Days 5,403,270
Beta 1.468
Bid 2.98
Bid Size 4,600
Book Value -1.6159985
City Bristol
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.99
Current Ratio 0.447
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 3.4204
Day Low 2.925
Display Name Vertical Aerospace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,774,355,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,774,355,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,774,355,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,589,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,589,000
Ebitda -126,347,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.9
Enterprise Value 240,083,728
Eps Current Year -1.29459
Eps Forward -1.5637321
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.74
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.54
Fifty Day Average Change -0.54999995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.15536723
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.716048
Fifty Two Week High 7.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.6099997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6065789
Fifty Two Week Low 1.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5736842
Fifty Two Week Range 1.9 - 7.6
Financial Currency GBP
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,604,327,400,000
Float Shares 24,366,344
Forward Eps -1.5637321
Forward P E -1.9120922
Free Cashflow -404,748,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 434
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04657
Held Percent Institutions 0.92651004
Implied Shares Outstanding 102,328,004
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,727,049,600
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Vertical Aerospace Ltd., an aerospace and technology company, engages in designing, manufacturing, and selling zero operating emission electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for use in the advanced air mobility market in the United Kingdom. It involves in developing its flagship VX4, an eVTOL aircraft. Vertical Aerospace Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
Long Name Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 305,960,736
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_606440870
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 232,928,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 305,960,731
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 3.38
Operating Cashflow -82,764,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 44 11 7471 0150
Post Market Change -0.00999999
Post Market Change Percent -0.33444783
Post Market Price 2.98
Post Market Time 1,776,470,361
Previous Close 3.34
Price Eps Current Year -2.3096116
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -1.8502493
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.404
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.35
Regular Market Change Percent -10.479
Regular Market Day High 3.4204
Regular Market Day Low 2.925
Regular Market Day Range 2.925 - 3.4204
Regular Market Open 3.38
Regular Market Previous Close 3.34
Regular Market Price 2.99
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 10,284,078
Return On Assets -1.04186
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 102,328,004
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0679
Shares Short 6,946,646
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,766,563
Short Name Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1462
Short Ratio 3.37
Source Interval 15
Symbol EVTL
Target High Price 14.93982
Target Low Price 1.9888258
Target Mean Price 9.971132
Target Median Price 11.090437
Total Cash 69,082,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.675
Total Debt 3,205,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 7.74
Trailing P E 0.38630491
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.9068
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.9167998
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.39064154
Type Disp Equity
Volume 10,284,078
Website https://www.vertical-aerospace.com
Zip BS2 0UW