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Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bristol, United Kingdom | NYSE
1.59 USD -0.07 (-4.217%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.62 +0.03 (1.887%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is structurally broken. The company has endured four consecutive years of double-digit percentage declines, erasing over 95% of its value since the last major anchor point. Fundamentals confirm the distress: negative book value, massive free cash flow burn, and negative earnings growth. While the eVTOL sector holds promise, this specific operator is currently a value trap where the market has correctly priced out the business quality due to sustained deterioration. There is no dividend to cushion the blow, and the balance sheet shows no fortress-like strength to support a turnaround. The recent price action shows a slight stabilization near lows, but without a reversal in the multi-year decline or a credible path to profitability, the outlook remains deeply bearish.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.110492
AutoTheta0.117041
AutoETS0.160428
MSTL0.181680
MSTL_500.236281
MSTL_1150.305422
MSTL_50_1150.375684

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 30%
H-stat 4.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.485
Excess Kurtosis -0.65
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Market Cap 202,451,520
Forward P/E -1.33
Beta 1.52
Website https://www.vertical-aerospace.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $2.00-$2.50) across multiple expirations, while call activity remains sparse and concentrated at lower strikes. Implied volatility is elevated on the put side relative to calls, indicating a market consensus expecting further weakness rather than a speculative rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.668
Address1 Camwal Court
Address2 Unit 1 Chapel Street
All Time High 184.4
All Time Low 1.62
Ask 1.61
Ask Size 7,600
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,173,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,102,211
Average Volume 3,102,211
Average Volume10Days 2,173,090
Beta 1.522
Bid 1.6
Bid Size 22,100
Book Value -0.1298442
City Bristol
Country United Kingdom
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.59
Current Ratio 0.876
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.66
Day Low 1.585
Display Name Vertical Aerospace
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,624,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,624,200
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.846
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,624,200
Ebitda -133,805,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.989
Enterprise Value 132,370,528
Eps Current Year -0.80242
Eps Forward -1.1961998
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.44
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.269
Fifty Day Average Change -0.679
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.29925078
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -66.799995
Fifty Two Week High 7.328
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.738
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.783024
Fifty Two Week Low 1.585
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.004999995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.003154571
Fifty Two Week Range 1.585 - 7.328
Financial Currency GBP
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,604,327,400,000
Float Shares 49,086,219
Forward Eps -1.1961998
Forward P E -1.3292094
Free Cashflow -280,308,384
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 434
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.037469998
Held Percent Institutions 0.84685
Implied Shares Outstanding 127,328,004
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,727,049,600
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Vertical Aerospace Ltd., an aerospace and technology company, engages in designing, manufacturing, and selling zero operating emission electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) in the United Kingdom. It is involved in developing its flagship VX4, an eVTOL aircraft; and designing, manufacturing and commercializing for deployment in the advanced air mobility market. Vertical Aerospace Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
Long Name Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 202,451,520
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_606440870
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -101,987,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 211,364,486
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 1.67
Operating Cashflow -98,114,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 44 11 7471 0150
Post Market Change 0.029999971
Post Market Change Percent 1.8867906
Post Market Price 1.62
Post Market Time 1,783,986,947
Previous Close 1.66
Price Eps Current Year -1.981506
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -12.245445
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.809
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.125
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0699999
Regular Market Change Percent -4.21686
Regular Market Day High 1.66
Regular Market Day Low 1.585
Regular Market Day Range 1.585 - 1.66
Regular Market Open 1.67
Regular Market Previous Close 1.66
Regular Market Price 1.59
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,630,544
Return On Assets -0.76418
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 127,328,004
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.074
Shares Short 9,422,167
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 8,818,884
Short Name Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1299
Short Ratio 3.97
Source Interval 15
Symbol EVTL
Target High Price 14.73476
Target Low Price 1.9904618
Target Mean Price 9.981431
Target Median Price 10.804601
Total Cash 73,087,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.574
Total Debt 3,006,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.44
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.98455
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.3945498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.60095865
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,630,544
Website https://www.vertical-aerospace.com
Zip BS2 0UW