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Etsy, Inc. (ETSY)

Consumer Cyclical | Internet Retail | Brooklyn, United States | NYSE
80.53 USD -0.52 (-0.642%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:55 a.m. EDT

Etsy is trading at a technical peak, having rallied significantly above its moving averages and touching its 52-week high, which typically signals strong short-term momentum. Yet, this optimism clashes with the underlying business reality. Revenue growth has stalled at just 3.1%, and the stock has posted two straight years of negative annual returns, even though the broader nine-year history remains a massive winner. The valuation split is stark: the forward P/E looks cheap at 12.5 times, while the trailing P/E sits at 31 times, implying a market bet on a future earnings explosion that hasn't happened yet. Insider sales and analyst price targets below the current level add headwinds. While the balance sheet holds up with healthy margins, the lack of growth acceleration makes this a speculative hold rather than a definitive buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.061755
AutoARIMA0.062382
AutoETS0.062383
MSTL0.063650

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 11.79
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.744
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 29.13
Market Cap 7,641,993,216
Trailing P/E 30.85
Forward P/E 12.38
Beta 1.84
Profit Margins 9.81%
Website https://www.etsy.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome with significant put option open interest concentrated at the 50-57 strike range, suggesting a perceived downside floor. Call open interest clusters around the 85-87 strikes, indicating a resistance ceiling. Implied volatility is elevated (53-71% ATM), reflecting uncertainty. While call volume spikes near current prices, the heavy put positioning at lower strikes suggests hedging or a bearish bias on downside risk.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.404436
Address1 117 Adams Street
All Time High 307.75
All Time Low 6.04
Ask 81.96
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,836,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,103,162
Average Volume 3,103,162
Average Volume10Days 2,836,760
Beta 1.837
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 6
Book Value -11.981
City Brooklyn
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 80.53
Current Ratio 1.689
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 81.89
Day Low 79.41
Display Name Etsy
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,465,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,465,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,465,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,328,200
Ebitda 439,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.15125
Enterprise To Ebitda 21.166
Enterprise To Revenue 3.201
Enterprise Value 9,292,001,280
Eps Current Year 5.57425
Eps Forward 6.50535
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.61
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 68.477
Fifty Day Average Change 12.053001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.17601533
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 40.4436
Fifty Two Week High 81.89
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.3600006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.016607651
Fifty Two Week Low 44.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 36.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.83022726
Fifty Two Week Range 44.0 - 81.89
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,429,191,000,000
Float Shares 82,604,322
Forward Eps 6.50535
Forward P E 12.379042
Free Cashflow 165,655,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,375
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.71554
Gross Profits 2,076,896,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01343
Held Percent Institutions 1.1982399
Implied Shares Outstanding 94,896,231
Industry Internet Retail
Industry Disp Internet Retail
Industry Key internet-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Etsy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Etsy and Depop segments. The company operates Etsy marketplace that connects artisans with various consumers; and Depop, a fashion resale marketplace. It also provides marketplace activities, including transaction offsite advertising, payments processing, and listing fees, as well as from optional seller services, which include on-site advertising and shipping labels. The company was formerly known as Indieco, Inc changed its name to Etsy, Inc. in June 2006. Etsy, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.
Long Name Etsy, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,641,993,216
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_28492682
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 302,731,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,641,993,482
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 81.24
Operating Cashflow 724,972,992
Operating Margins 0.18985
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.79
Phone 718 880 3660
Pre Market Change -0.01499939
Pre Market Change Percent -0.01862931
Pre Market Price 80.5
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,757
Previous Close 81.05
Price Eps Current Year 14.446786
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -6.7214756
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.6328332
Profit Margins 0.09811
Quick Ratio 1.147
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.55172
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.520004
Regular Market Change Percent -0.641585
Regular Market Day High 81.89
Regular Market Day Low 79.41
Regular Market Day Range 79.41 - 81.89
Regular Market Open 81.24
Regular Market Previous Close 81.05
Regular Market Price 80.53
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 1,675,610
Return On Assets 0.1015
Revenue Growth 0.031
Revenue Per Share 29.13
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 94,896,231
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1456
Shares Short 13,813,015
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 15,107,935
Short Name Etsy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1694
Short Ratio 4.52
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol ETSY
Target High Price 85.0
Target Low Price 58.0
Target Mean Price 73.08333
Target Median Price 74.5
Total Cash 1,425,764,992
Total Cash Per Share 15.024
Total Debt 3,075,772,928
Total Revenue 2,902,574,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.61
Trailing P E 30.854406
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.7857
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 60.844925
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.685074
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.32352862
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,675,610
Website https://www.etsy.com
Zip 11,201