Elastic N.V. (ESTC)Technology | Software - Application | Amsterdam, Netherlands | NYSE
47.56 USD
-0.10
(-0.210%) ⇩
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 48.88 +1.32 (2.775%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ★★★★★ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:20 p.m. EDT
A volatile but high-conviction long-term buy with a distinct short-term risk. The data suggests ESTC is currently trading in a 'hardening bottom' phase (recent price drop to ~43-45) while speculators are already positioning for a breakout toward the 60-65 range. While short-term conviction is low due to recent weakness and negative fundamentals (losses), the long-term thesis is solid: the stock has improved earnings visibility with a 90% upside to mean targets in 2026, strong cash flow, and a massive 17.7% revenue growth rate. Investors should prepare for potential further downside to test the 52-week low before capturing the multi-year appreciation. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.304643 |
| AutoTheta | 0.305407 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.308762 |
| AutoETS | 0.308764 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 49% |
| H-stat | 4.44 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.402 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.34 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 74.802 |
| Revenue per Share | 15.893 |
| Market Cap | 5,011,530,752 |
| Forward P/E | 16.81 |
| Beta | 1.03 |
| Profit Margins | -5.04% |
| Website | https://www.elastic.co |
As of April 18, 2026, 10:20 p.m. EDT: Call activity is overwhelmingly bullish, with massive Open Interest (OI) built at strikes of 60, 65, and 90 in the vein through late 2026. Call volume at the 60 and 65 strikes significantly exceeds their OI, indicating fresh aggressive positioning for upside. Put activity is concentrated at lower strikes (45, 70, 80) with very low Open Interest, suggesting a floor is anticipated but speculative downside flow is minimal compared to the call buildup. Implied Volatility remains elevated (60-75%) on both sides, reflecting uncertainty, but the directional lean in speculator positioning is distinctly upward.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.37148142 |
| Address1 | Keizersgracht 281 |
| All Time High | 189.84 |
| All Time Low | 39.01 |
| Ask | 47.44 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.8 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,917,940 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,219,840 |
| Average Volume | 2,219,840 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,917,940 |
| Beta | 1.029 |
| Bid | 47.44 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 7.595 |
| City | Amsterdam |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | Netherlands |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 47.56 |
| Current Ratio | 1.818 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 49.105 |
| Day Low | 47.14 |
| Debt To Equity | 74.802 |
| Display Name | Elastic |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,772,143,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,772,143,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,772,139,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,779,998,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,779,998,400 |
| Ebitda | -16,481,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.00983 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -258.852 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.544 |
| Enterprise Value | 4,266,137,856 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.52984 |
| Eps Forward | 2.82992 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.79 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 53.3926 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -5.8325996 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.10923985 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -37.14814 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 96.07 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -48.51 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5049443 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 42.05 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.510002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.13103454 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 42.05 - 96.07 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,538,746,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 82,852,557 |
| Forward Eps | 2.82992 |
| Forward P E | 16.80613 |
| Free Cashflow | 387,170,752 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 3,921 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.76066 |
| Gross Profits | 1,275,694,976 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.12399 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.91977996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 105,372,800 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,745,971,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, provides software platforms to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elastic's Search AI Platform, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company also provides Elastic search product a distributed, real-time vector database and analytics engine and data store for all types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the platforms; Elasticsearch search platform, a platform with retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; and elastic security, a security solution that provides unified protection to prevent, detect, and respond to threats. In addition, it offers Elastic Observability, a solution that enables unified analysis, including Logs analytics to search and analyze petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; infrastructure monitoring to gain visibility across cloud, on-premises, Kubernetes, serverless, and hosts; Application Performance Monitoring to stream native production-grade; digital experience monitoring; and large language models. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. |
| Long Name | Elastic N.V. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 5,011,530,752 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_224101504 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,769,817,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -84,515,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,777,507,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,922,507,940 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 24 |
| Open | 48.75 |
| Operating Cashflow | 261,163,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.00233 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.37 |
| Post Market Change | 1.3199997 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 2.775441 |
| Post Market Price | 48.88 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,336 |
| Previous Close | 47.66 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 18.799608 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 6.262015 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.9882443 |
| Profit Margins | -0.05039 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.633 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.82143 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0999985 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.209816 |
| Regular Market Day High | 49.105 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 47.14 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 47.14 - 49.105 |
| Regular Market Open | 48.75 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 47.66 |
| Regular Market Price | 47.56 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,002 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,483,712 |
| Return On Assets | -0.0071799997 |
| Return On Equity | -0.10244001 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.177 |
| Revenue Per Share | 15.893 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 103,501,008 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.045100003 |
| Shares Short | 4,668,709 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,975,316 |
| Short Name | Elastic N.V. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.051599998 |
| Short Ratio | 2.04 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ESTC |
| Target High Price | 116.0 |
| Target Low Price | 60.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 81.70833 |
| Target Median Price | 78.5 |
| Total Cash | 1,248,045,952 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 12.058 |
| Total Debt | 591,676,032 |
| Total Revenue | 1,677,081,984 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.79 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 74.23285 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -26.672848 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.35931328 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,483,712 |
| Website | https://www.elastic.co |
| Zip | 1,016 ED |