Elastic N.V. (ESTC)Technology | Software - Application | Amsterdam, Netherlands | NYSE
99.91 USD
+16.17
(19.310%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 99.56 -0.35 (-0.351%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:12 a.m. EDT
The stock is rallying hard against the grain of analyst expectations, trading well above the average price target despite a buy rating. While the business shows strong revenue growth and profitability in gross margins, the negative operating margin and a flat six-year price trajectory suggest the market remains cautious about the bottom line. Options traders are hedging for a potential crash in the coming years while betting on a bounce in the near term. Without a dividend to cushion the ride, investors are paying a premium for the growth story, which makes the valuation gap a critical risk to watch. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.098592 |
| AutoETS | 0.098960 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.098961 |
| AutoTheta | 0.105176 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 31% |
| H-stat | 15.16 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.014 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.18 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 45.94 |
| Revenue per Share | 17.163 |
| Market Cap | 10,502,597,632 |
| Trailing P/E | 23.90 |
| Forward P/E | 25.38 |
| Profit Margins | 20.84% |
| Website | https://www.elastic.co |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued upside in the near term with elevated call interest, while simultaneously purchasing deep out-of-the-money puts for 2027 and 2028 to hedge against a significant drawdown. Implied volatility is highest for near-term contracts, suggesting expectations of heightened uncertainty around upcoming events.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.015865564 |
| Address1 | Keizersgracht 281 |
| All Time High | 189.84 |
| All Time Low | 39.01 |
| Ask | 99.73 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,751,600 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,081,601 |
| Average Volume | 2,081,601 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,751,600 |
| Bid | 99.7 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 12.186 |
| City | Amsterdam |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | Netherlands |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 99.91 |
| Current Ratio | 1.81 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 107.995 |
| Day Low | 96.82 |
| Debt To Equity | 45.94 |
| Display Name | Elastic |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,787,864,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,787,864,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,787,860,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,795,118,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,795,118,400 |
| Ebitda | -21,856,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.012130001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -440.947 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 5.348 |
| Enterprise Value | 9,637,330,944 |
| Eps Current Year | 3.24381 |
| Eps Forward | 3.93725 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 4.18 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 67.4426 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 32.467407 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.48140803 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -1.5865564 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 107.995 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -8.084999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.07486457 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 42.05 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 57.860004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.3759811 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 42.05 - 107.995 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,538,746,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 85,700,606 |
| Forward Eps | 3.93725 |
| Forward P E | 25.375582 |
| Free Cashflow | 499,077,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 4,019 |
| Fullday Change | 16.17 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 19.3098 |
| Fullday Price | 99.559 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.75588995 |
| Gross Profits | 1,362,233,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.12319 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.90217 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 105,120,583 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,777,507,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, provides software platforms to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elasticsearch Platform, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company also provides Elastic search product a distributed, real-time vector database and analytics engine and data store for all types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the platforms; Search & AI, a platform with retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; and elastic security, a security solution that provides unified protection to prevent, detect, and respond to threats. In addition, it offers Elastic Observability, a solution that brings unified datastore, including Logs analytics to search, analyze, and visualize petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; infrastructure monitoring to gain visibility across cloud, on-premises, Kubernetes, serverless, and hosts; Application Performance Monitoring to support native production-grade; digital experience monitoring; large language models; and Elastic Cloud, a cloud-based subscription offering such as Elastic Cloud Hosted and Elastic Cloud Serverless. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. |
| Long Name | Elastic N.V. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 10,502,597,632 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_224101504 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,785,456,000 |
| Net Income To Common | 375,640,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,809,043,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 8,704,909,747 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 27 |
| Open | 103.89 |
| Operating Cashflow | 354,063,008 |
| Operating Margins | -0.00764 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.37 |
| Post Market Change | -0.35100555 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.35132173 |
| Post Market Price | 99.559 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,594 |
| Previous Close | 83.74 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 30.800203 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 8.198753 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 5.827796 |
| Profit Margins | 0.20844 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.637 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 16.17 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 19.3098 |
| Regular Market Day High | 107.995 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 96.82 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 96.82 - 107.995 |
| Regular Market Open | 103.89 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 83.74 |
| Regular Market Price | 99.91 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,203 |
| Regular Market Volume | 10,104,560 |
| Return On Assets | -0.00587 |
| Return On Equity | 0.33122003 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.151 |
| Revenue Per Share | 17.163 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 105,120,583 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.061 |
| Shares Short | 6,338,244 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,084,232 |
| Short Name | Elastic N.V. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.069699995 |
| Short Ratio | 3.29 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ESTC |
| Target High Price | 120.0 |
| Target Low Price | 53.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 84.40741 |
| Target Median Price | 85.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,461,042,048 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 13.899 |
| Total Debt | 595,774,976 |
| Total Revenue | 1,802,156,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 4.18 |
| Trailing P E | 23.901917 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 63.75475 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 36.155254 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.567099 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 10,104,560 |
| Website | https://www.elastic.co |
| Zip | 1,016 ED |