Ero Copper Corp. (ERO)Basic Materials | Copper | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
38.83 USD
-0.99
(-2.486%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 38.45 -0.38 (-0.380%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:07 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is driven by a powerful momentum shift. After a brutal multi-year decline that saw the stock lose nearly 30% in the trailing year, the company has staged a remarkable recovery, trading significantly above its 200-day average. This technical rebound is now being validated by aggressive speculative capital; options data reveals a heavy buildup of call contracts at strikes far above the current price, signaling that traders expect a continued surge. While the statistical forecasting models remain silent due to low confidence, the divergence between the weak statistical signal and the strong fundamental/momentum setup suggests the market is pricing in a breakout. The business fundamentals are improving with robust revenue growth and healthy margins, but the lack of a dividend and the lingering memory of the long downtrend keep the long-term rating from reaching 'exceptional' status. However, the convergence of a recovering trend, improving earnings, and bullish options flow creates a compelling case for a near-term entry. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.140432 |
| AutoETS | 0.141406 |
| MSTL | 0.148021 |
| AutoTheta | 0.158112 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 1.60 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.044 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.26 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 47.066 |
| Revenue per Share | 10.042 |
| Market Cap | 4,050,071,296 |
| Trailing P/E | 13.48 |
| Forward P/E | 8.12 |
| Beta | 1.59 |
| Profit Margins | 29.79% |
| Website | https://www.ero.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 45 and 50) relative to puts. The call chain shows significant new volume flowing into strikes well above the current price, while put activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes, indicating a bullish bias rather than hedging against a crash.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.6218772 |
| Address1 | 625 Howe Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1050 |
| All Time High | 40.83 |
| All Time Low | 3.878 |
| Ask | 38.9 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.9 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,748,360 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,304,484 |
| Average Volume | 1,304,484 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,748,360 |
| Beta | 1.586 |
| Bid | 38.7 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 11.635 |
| City | Vancouver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 38.83 |
| Current Ratio | 1.371 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 40.43 |
| Day Low | 38.43 |
| Debt To Equity | 47.066 |
| Display Name | Ero Copper |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,030,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,030,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.25 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.269 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,736,000 |
| Ebitda | 517,025,984 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.49488997 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.755 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 4.333 |
| Enterprise Value | 4,526,333,440 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.01562 |
| Eps Forward | 4.78416 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.88 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 29.7648 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 9.065203 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.3045612 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 162.18771 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 40.83 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.04898359 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.91 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 24.920002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.791517 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.91 - 40.83 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,508,506,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 101,874,468 |
| Forward Eps | 4.78416 |
| Forward P E | 8.116367 |
| Free Cashflow | 47,039,876 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Fullday Change | -0.989998 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -2.48618 |
| Fullday Price | 38.45 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.42992002 |
| Gross Profits | 449,153,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.02313 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.75051004 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 104,302,633 |
| Industry | Copper |
| Industry Disp | Copper |
| Industry Key | copper |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced and sold as by-products. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. |
| Long Name | Ero Copper Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 4,050,071,296 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_428234584 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 311,262,016 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,146,891,736 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 40.12 |
| Operating Cashflow | 470,059,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.37643 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 604 449 9244 |
| Post Market Change | -0.38000107 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.9786275 |
| Post Market Price | 38.45 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,588 |
| Previous Close | 39.82 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 9.66974 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.3373444 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.8766716 |
| Profit Margins | 0.29794002 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.688 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.94444 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.989998 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.48618 |
| Regular Market Day High | 40.43 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 38.43 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 38.43 - 40.43 |
| Regular Market Open | 40.12 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 39.82 |
| Regular Market Price | 38.83 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,208,644 |
| Return On Assets | 0.11975 |
| Return On Equity | 0.30806 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.739 |
| Revenue Per Share | 10.042 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 104,302,633 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0552 |
| Shares Short | 5,162,711 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,590,304 |
| Short Name | Ero Copper Corp. |
| Short Ratio | 5.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | BC |
| Symbol | ERO |
| Target High Price | 44.0 |
| Target Low Price | 33.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 39.2 |
| Target Median Price | 40.6 |
| Total Cash | 101,742,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.975 |
| Total Debt | 573,355,008 |
| Total Revenue | 1,044,729,024 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.88 |
| Trailing P E | 13.482639 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 28.61125 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 10.218752 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.35715854 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,208,644 |
| Website | https://www.ero.com |
| Zip | V6C 2T6 |