Ero Copper Corp. (ERO)Basic Materials | Copper | Vancouver, Canada | NYSE
25.37 USD
-0.52
(-2.008%) ⇩
(July 15, 2026, 11:19 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT
The investment thesis here rests entirely on the company's explosive top-line growth and improving profitability, which currently outweigh the lack of a dividend and the stock's recent price weakness. Revenue surged 110% year-over-year, and profit margins expanded to 31.6%, supported by a robust 32.5% return on equity. While the stock has underperformed recently—dropping 31% in the last fiscal year and trading below its 50-day moving average—the forward P/E of 5.4x suggests the market is pricing in significant future expansion. The analyst consensus reflects this optimism with a 'Buy' rating and a mean target price of $34.20, implying nearly 35% upside. However, the short-term outlook is murky; the statistical forecast model shows no directional bias, and the stock is hovering near its 50-day average, suggesting a period of consolidation ahead. The absence of a dividend is a clear negative for income investors, making this a pure growth play dependent on execution. The options market is screaming for a breakout, but until the price clears the $27.75 resistance level, the trend remains technically neutral. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.091679 |
| AutoETS | 0.091975 |
| AutoTheta | 0.095106 |
| MSTL_90 | 0.098705 |
| MSTL | 0.099878 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.106005 |
| MSTL_90_115 | 0.109601 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 1.29 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.266 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.85 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 54.789 |
| Revenue per Share | 8.896 |
| Market Cap | 2,645,532,160 |
| Trailing P/E | 9.06 |
| Forward P/E | 5.32 |
| Beta | 1.58 |
| Profit Margins | 31.63% |
| Website | https://www.ero.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for upside, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $30-$45) across multiple expirations, while put volume remains thin relative to call volume. However, there is a notable anomaly in December 2026 where significant call volume (24 contracts) was written against very low open interest (5), suggesting a potential hedge or short-covering event rather than pure bullish speculation. The skew in implied volatility favors calls, indicating the market prices in a higher probability of a rally than a crash.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.815568 |
| Address1 | 625 Howe Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1050 |
| All Time High | 39.799 |
| All Time Low | 3.878 |
| Ask | 25.55 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.2 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,037,570 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,263,880 |
| Average Volume | 1,263,880 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,037,570 |
| Beta | 1.584 |
| Bid | 25.49 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 10.53 |
| City | Vancouver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 25.37 |
| Current Ratio | 1.296 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 26.18 |
| Day Low | 25.34 |
| Debt To Equity | 54.789 |
| Display Name | Ero Copper |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.351 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.356 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,960,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,960,000 |
| Ebitda | 446,428,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.48319 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 7.202 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.48 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,215,353,600 |
| Eps Current Year | 3.92364 |
| Eps Forward | 4.76727 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.8 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 27.6986 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.3286 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.08406923 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 81.55679 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 39.799 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -14.428999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.36254677 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 12.79 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 12.580001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.983581 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 12.79 - 39.799 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,508,506,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 101,723,158 |
| Forward Eps | 4.76727 |
| Forward P E | 5.321704 |
| Free Cashflow | 46,826,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.42755002 |
| Gross Profits | 395,020,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.02431 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.73667 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 104,277,968 |
| Industry | Copper |
| Industry Disp | Copper |
| Industry Key | copper |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced and sold as by-products. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. |
| Long Name | Ero Copper Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,645,532,160 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_428234584 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 292,267,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,671,402,194 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 25.99 |
| Operating Cashflow | 422,452,992 |
| Operating Margins | 0.34743 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 604 449 9244 |
| Previous Close | 25.89 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 6.4659348 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.4093068 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.8633592 |
| Profit Margins | 0.31633 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.647 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.16667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.51999855 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.008492 |
| Regular Market Day High | 26.18 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 25.34 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 25.34 - 26.18 |
| Regular Market Open | 25.99 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 25.89 |
| Regular Market Price | 25.37 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,128,764 |
| Regular Market Volume | 148,593 |
| Return On Assets | 0.10572 |
| Return On Equity | 0.32481 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.104 |
| Revenue Per Share | 8.896 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.2043345 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 104,277,968 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0344 |
| Shares Short | 3,461,669 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,287,730 |
| Short Name | Ero Copper Corp. |
| Short Ratio | 2.64 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | BC |
| Symbol | ERO |
| Target High Price | 40.6 |
| Target Low Price | 31.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 34.2 |
| Target Median Price | 31.0 |
| Total Cash | 91,207,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.875 |
| Total Debt | 603,436,992 |
| Total Revenue | 923,926,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.8 |
| Trailing P E | 9.060715 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 26.93015 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.5601482 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.057933144 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 148,593 |
| Website | https://www.ero.com |
| Zip | V6C 2T6 |