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Erasca, Inc. (ERAS)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
18.03 USD -1.46 (-7.491%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.10 +0.07 (0.388%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:41 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:48 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. The company is burning cash aggressively with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, while returning nothing to shareholders via dividends. The balance sheet shows significant debt relative to equity, and the return on assets and equity are deeply negative, indicating management is failing to generate value from the capital base. The price action confirms this deterioration; the stock has lost over 90% of its value over the last four years, with the most recent annual period seeing another sharp drop. Despite a 'Buy' recommendation from analysts and a target price significantly higher than the current level, these metrics likely reflect a hope for a clinical trial success or regulatory approval that hasn't materialized yet, rather than current operational reality. The options market is screaming caution, with traders loading up on downside insurance. This is a speculative gamble on a binary event, not a sound investment vehicle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.225959
AutoETS0.252072
AutoARIMA0.252074
AutoTheta0.404947

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 26%
H-stat 19.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.068
Excess Kurtosis -0.78
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 12.356
Market Cap 6,306,209,792
Forward P/E -30.19
Beta 0.65
Website https://www.erasca.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 5.0, 7.5, 10.0) expiring late 2026 and early 2027. While there is some call volume at strikes like 35.0 and 22.5, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus view of continued volatility and potential further decline rather than a near-term rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 11.18125
Address1 3,115 Merryfield Row
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 24.47
All Time Low 1.01
Ask 23.47
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,175,680
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,813,958
Average Volume 4,813,958
Average Volume10Days 3,175,680
Beta 0.652
Bid 13.86
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.158
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.03
Current Ratio 8.294
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 19.59
Day Low 18.0
Debt To Equity 12.356
Display Name Erasca
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda -147,743,008
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -44.624
Enterprise Value 6,592,838,144
Eps Current Year -0.96889
Eps Forward -0.59727
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.95
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.0224
Fifty Day Average Change 0.0076007843
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.00042174096
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 1,118.125
Fifty Two Week High 24.28
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.25
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2574135
Fifty Two Week Low 1.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change 16.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 12.556391
Fifty Two Week Range 1.33 - 24.28
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,626,442,200,000
Float Shares 242,902,738
Forward Eps -0.59727
Forward P E -30.187353
Free Cashflow -210,460,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 103
Fullday Change -1.46
Fullday Change Percent -7.49102
Fullday Price 18.1
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09476
Held Percent Institutions 0.85767
Implied Shares Outstanding 349,762,035
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-07-16
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Erasca, Inc., a clinical-stage precision oncology company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies for patients with RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. The company's product pipeline includes ERAS-0015, a pan-RAS molecular glue for the treatment of patients with RAS-mutated solid tumors; ERAS-4001, a pan-KRAS inhibitor for the treatment of patients with KRAS-mutated solid tumors; and ERAS-12, an investigational EGFR D2/D3 biparatopic antibody (bpAb) for the treatment of EGFR and RAS/MAPK solid tumors. It has license agreement with Guangzhou Joyo Pharmatech Co., Ltd to develop, manufacture, and commercialize certain pan-RAS inhibitors; Medshine Discovery Inc. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize certain pan-KRAS inhibitors; Novartis Pharma AG to develop, manufacture, use, and commercialize naporafenib; NiKang Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize ERAS-601 and certain other related compounds; and Asana BioSciences, LLC to develop and commercialize ERAS-007 and certain other related compounds. The company has a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Tango Therapeutics, Inc. for the evaluation of ERAS-0015. Erasca, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name Erasca, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,306,209,792
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_595471999
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -287,223,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,822,108,492
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 19.25
Operating Cashflow -98,022,000
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 858 465 6511
Post Market Change 0.069999695
Post Market Change Percent 0.3882401
Post Market Price 18.1
Post Market Time 1,787,960,488
Previous Close 19.49
Price Eps Current Year -18.608925
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 15.569949
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 8.08
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.6
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.46
Regular Market Change Percent -7.49102
Regular Market Day High 19.59
Regular Market Day Low 18.0
Regular Market Day Range 18.0 - 19.59
Regular Market Open 19.25
Regular Market Previous Close 19.49
Regular Market Price 18.03
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 2,887,317
Return On Assets -0.21393
Return On Equity -0.78249
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1966995
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 349,762,035
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.088199995
Shares Short 30,847,289
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 30,766,629
Short Name Erasca, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.097600006
Short Ratio 7.32
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ERAS
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 20.0
Target Mean Price 23.5
Target Median Price 23.0
Total Cash 268,737,984
Total Cash Per Share 0.768
Total Debt 44,714,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.95
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.410475
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.619526
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.45280507
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,887,317
Website https://www.erasca.com
Zip 92,121