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Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE American
3.83 USD +0.20 (5.510%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:42 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals and a broken price trend. The company is generating negative operating margins and free cash flow while revenue contracts, resulting in a multi-year decline where the stock is now trading well below its historical average. This structural deterioration invalidates any 'value' narrative; the market has correctly priced in a failing business model. While the dividend yield appears attractive at over 13%, it is a dangerous trap given the negative payout ratio and eroding equity base, indicating the company is burning capital to fund these distributions. Short-term momentum remains weak, with the stock trading below its key moving averages and facing heavy speculative selling pressure in the options market. Investors should avoid this security entirely.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.087712
AutoARIMA0.087980
AutoTheta0.090443
MSTL0.092899

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 0.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.189
Excess Kurtosis -0.85
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 97.485
Revenue per Share 2.458
Market Cap 137,195,984
Forward P/E 76.60
Beta 0.27
Profit Margins -4.36%
Website https://www.evolutionpetroleum.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:42 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls. The put/call ratio is skewed significantly toward bearish bets, with deep strikes showing substantial volume. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in far-out-of-the-money strikes, suggesting a speculative hope for a distant recovery rather than near-term upside conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.09% 11.29% 9.56% 8.32%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 0.120 3.092783
2026-03-16 0.120 2.614379
2025-12-15 0.120 3.125000
2025-09-22 0.120 2.459016
2025-06-13 0.120 2.400000
2025-03-14 0.120 2.419355
2024-12-13 0.120 2.185792
2024-09-20 0.120 2.193784
2024-06-14 0.120 2.277040
2024-03-14 0.120 2.037351
2023-12-14 0.120 2.023609
2023-09-21 0.120 1.837672
2023-06-14 0.120 1.505646
2023-03-14 0.120 1.983471
2022-12-14 0.120 1.731602
2022-09-20 0.120 1.522843
2022-06-14 0.100 1.508296
2022-03-14 0.100 1.481481
2021-12-14 0.075 1.612903
2021-09-17 0.075 1.572327
2021-06-15 0.050 0.976563
2021-03-15 0.030 0.781250
2020-12-14 0.025 0.939850
2020-09-14 0.025 1.004016
2020-06-12 0.025 0.883392
2020-03-13 0.100 2.976191
2019-12-13 0.100 1.824818
2019-09-12 0.100 1.589825
2019-06-13 0.100 1.587302
2019-03-14 0.100 1.451379
2018-12-13 0.100 1.336898
2018-09-13 0.100 1.005025
2018-06-14 0.100 1.015228
2018-03-14 0.100 1.234568
2017-12-14 0.075 1.136364
2017-09-14 0.075 1.086957
2017-06-13 0.070 0.897436
2017-03-13 0.070 0.891720
2016-12-13 0.065 0.714286
2016-09-13 0.050 0.850340
2016-06-13 0.050 0.909091
2016-03-11 0.050 1.046025
2015-12-11 0.050 0.950570
2015-09-14 0.050 0.896057
2015-06-11 0.050 0.707214
2015-03-12 0.050 0.818331
2014-12-11 0.100 1.420455
2014-09-11 0.100 0.998004
2014-06-12 0.100 0.906618
2014-03-12 0.100 0.777605
2013-12-04 0.100 0.823723
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.48
dividendYield 13.22
exDividendDate 2026-06-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.48
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.1322314
lastDividendValue 0.12
lastDividendDate 2026-06-15
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.25
Address1 1,155 Dairy Ashford Road
Address2 Suite 425
All Time High 24,500.0
All Time Low 0.16
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 800
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 446,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 386,811
Average Volume 386,811
Average Volume10Days 446,550
Beta 0.274
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 700
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.671
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.83
Current Ratio 0.609
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 3.92
Day Low 3.72
Debt To Equity 97.485
Display Name Evolution Petroleum
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 0.48
Dividend Yield 13.22
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,684,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,684,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,616,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,616,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,616,000
Ebitda 22,593,000
Ebitda Margins 0.27141002
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.34
Enterprise To Revenue 2.264
Enterprise Value 188,428,064
Eps Current Year -0.052
Eps Forward 0.05
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.12
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.2406
Fifty Day Average Change -0.4106002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.096825965
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -25.0
Fifty Two Week High 5.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8699999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.32807016
Fifty Two Week Low 3.19
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.63999987
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20062691
Fifty Two Week Range 3.19 - 5.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 829,229,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.48
Float Shares 31,403,694
Forward Eps 0.05
Forward P E 76.6
Free Cashflow -12,694,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Full Time Employees 11
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.41229
Gross Profits 34,320,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09866
Held Percent Institutions 0.50865
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,821,410
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Last Dividend Value 0.12
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,075,939,200
Last Split Factor 1:40
Long Business Summary Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an energy company, engages in the development, production, ownership, exploitation, and investment of onshore oil and gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Evolution Petroleum Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 137,195,984
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_355553
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -1,015,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 130,031,718
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 3.71
Operating Cashflow 27,175,000
Operating Margins -0.51701
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 6.0
Peg Ratio 0.69
Phone 713 935 0122
Previous Close 3.63
Price Eps Current Year -73.65385
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 2.2920406
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6481384
Profit Margins -0.04362
Quick Ratio 0.484
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.2
Regular Market Change Percent 5.50964
Regular Market Day High 3.92
Regular Market Day Low 3.72
Regular Market Day Range 3.72 - 3.92
Regular Market Open 3.71
Regular Market Previous Close 3.63
Regular Market Price 3.83
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 430,206
Return On Assets -0.00154
Return On Equity -0.05583
Revenue Growth -0.106
Revenue Per Share 2.458
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 35,821,410
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0463
Shares Short 1,659,472
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,449,446
Short Name Evolution Petroleum Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0504
Short Ratio 4.21
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol EPM
Target High Price 6.25
Target Low Price 4.5
Target Mean Price 5.0625
Target Median Price 4.75
Total Cash 2,616,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.075
Total Debt 56,939,000
Total Revenue 83,243,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.48
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.1322314
Trailing Eps -0.12
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.25015
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.42015028
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0988554
Type Disp Equity
Volume 430,206
Website https://www.evolutionpetroleum.com
Zip 77,079