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Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH)

Technology | Solar | Fremont, United States | NasdaqGM
30.62 USD -0.20 (-0.649%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 30.38 -0.24 (-0.240%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 7:48 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:52 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Enphase is currently broken by a severe disconnect between its deteriorating business reality and its lingering valuation. Fundamentally, the company is failing to execute; revenue has contracted by nearly 20%, earnings are shrinking, and the return on equity has collapsed to single digits. This is not a temporary stumble; it is a structural decline in the core business model. The market has rightly punished the stock, driving the price down significantly, yet the forward P/E remains inflated relative to the actual growth prospects, suggesting the 'buy' recommendations from analysts are ignoring the math. Short-term, the sentiment is bearish. Options data confirms this, with massive put open interest acting as a ceiling for any recovery attempts. The statistical forecasting models offer no help, showing a flat, low-confidence signal that fails to capture the gravity of the fundamental deterioration. There is no dividend to provide any cushion for income investors. For growth investors, the thesis has evaporated until there is clear evidence of a turnaround in revenue growth and margin expansion. At this stage, the stock represents a value trap where the low price reflects poor quality, not a bargain.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.137206
AutoARIMA0.151812
AutoETS0.152006
MSTL0.155754

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 7.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.445
Excess Kurtosis -0.77
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 51.899
Revenue per Share 10.121
Market Cap 4,035,661,824
Trailing P/E 30.62
Forward P/E 14.14
Beta 1.63
Profit Margins 10.09%
Website https://www.enphase.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated near the current price ($30-$35), creating a significant wall of resistance. While there is some call volume at higher strikes ($40-$50), the overwhelming open interest in out-of-the-money puts suggests a market expectation of further downside or a 'cap' on rallies, rather than a breakout scenario.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.18520492
Address1 47,281 Bayside Parkway
All Time High 339.92
All Time Low 0.65
Ask 41.49
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,027,380
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,621,170
Average Volume 4,621,170
Average Volume10Days 5,027,380
Beta 1.633
Bid 37.24
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value 8.944
City Fremont
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 30.62
Current Ratio 3.451
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 31.7521
Day Low 30.3606
Debt To Equity 51.899
Display Name Enphase Energy
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Growth -0.035
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.026
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 191,792,000
Ebitda Margins 0.14437
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.406
Enterprise To Revenue 2.802
Enterprise Value 3,721,926,144
Eps Current Year 1.98621
Eps Forward 2.16608
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 35.7608
Fifty Day Average Change -5.1407986
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.14375514
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -18.520493
Fifty Two Week High 73.74
Fifty Two Week High Change -43.119995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5847572
Fifty Two Week Low 25.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.18774244
Fifty Two Week Range 25.78 - 73.74
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,333,114,200,000
Float Shares 128,144,630
Forward Eps 2.16608
Forward P E 14.136136
Free Cashflow 78,322,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 2,872
Fullday Change -0.44000053
Fullday Change Percent -1.4276462
Fullday Price 30.62
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.30037
Gross Profits 399,039,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03031
Held Percent Institutions 0.96572
Implied Shares Outstanding 131,798,220
Industry Solar
Industry Disp Solar
Industry Key solar
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Enphase Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry in the United States and internationally. The company offers semiconductor-based microinverter that converts energy at the individual solar module level and combines with its proprietary networking and software technologies to provide energy monitoring and control. It also provides microinverter units and related accessories; IQ Battery and related accessories; IQ PowerPack 1500 and related accessories; IQ Combiner, IQ Gateway, and IQ Energy Router; cloud-based monitoring service; and electric vehicle charging solutions, as well as design, proposal, permitting, installation and solar appointment generation services, and Enphase Care services. The company sells its solutions to solar distributors; and directly to large installers, original equipment manufacturers, strategic partners, and homeowners, as well as through its legacy product upgrade program or online store. Enphase Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
Long Name Enphase Energy, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,035,661,824
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_40485464
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 134,024,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,370,023,509
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 30.64
Operating Cashflow 204,691,008
Operating Margins 0.17981
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.75
Phone 707 774 7000
Post Market Change -0.24000168
Post Market Change Percent -0.7838069
Post Market Price 30.38
Post Market Time 1,792,194,521
Previous Close 30.82
Price Eps Current Year 15.416296
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.4235241
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.0377536
Profit Margins 0.100880004
Quick Ratio 2.529
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.31034
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.19999886
Regular Market Change Percent -0.64892554
Regular Market Day High 31.7521
Regular Market Day Low 30.3606
Regular Market Day Range 30.3606 - 31.7521
Regular Market Open 30.64
Regular Market Previous Close 30.82
Regular Market Price 30.62
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 7,477,491
Return On Assets 0.023759998
Return On Equity 0.12996
Revenue Growth -0.196
Revenue Per Share 10.121
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 131,798,220
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.21280001
Shares Short 28,124,558
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 23,375,084
Short Name Enphase Energy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2561
Short Ratio 5.97
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol ENPH
Target High Price 212.0
Target Low Price 24.0
Target Mean Price 50.81923
Target Median Price 41.5
Total Cash 937,708,032
Total Cash Per Share 7.096
Total Debt 613,364,992
Total Revenue 1,328,502,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.0
Trailing P E 30.62
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.7455
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 41.2021
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.582098
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25683394
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,477,491
Website https://www.enphase.com
Zip 94,538