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VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC)

Emerging-Markets Local-Currency Bond | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
25.57 USD -0.20 (-0.776%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.55 -0.02 (-0.020%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT

The VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF presents a classic defensive income play rather than a growth opportunity. The asset offers a robust 6.25% dividend yield, which is well above inflation and provides a strong floor for investors concerned about capital preservation in volatile emerging markets. However, the price trajectory tells a different story: over the last nine years, the share price has eroded by nearly 34%, reflecting the persistent challenges of the underlying currency and credit risks in the portfolio. While the most recent annual return was positive, the long-term trend remains structurally downward, capping the long-term investment thesis. On the short end, the technical picture is flat, trading near its 50-day average with no clear momentum breakout, and options flow confirms a cautious stance with buyers hedging downside risk. This is a suitable holding for income-focused portfolios seeking exposure to EM debt, but it lacks the capital appreciation potential required for a high-conviction long-term buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.004879
MSTL0.005579
AutoARIMA0.005928
AutoETS0.005928

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 74%
H-stat 5.41
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.932
Excess Kurtosis -0.18

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes below the current price, particularly for January 2027 expiration where new flow exceeds open interest. Conversely, call activity is concentrated at-the-money for October 2026, suggesting a neutral-to-slightly-bullish bias for the near term, while deep out-of-the-money calls show significant open interest buildup, indicating a hedge against a sharp spike.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.51% 6.22% 6.23% 5.96%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-03 0.130 0.512214
2026-07-01 0.144 0.568047
2026-06-01 0.139 0.544884
2026-05-01 0.137 0.538946
2026-04-01 0.141 0.561529
2026-03-02 0.120 0.458540
2026-02-02 0.121 0.461656
2025-12-29 0.139 0.540016
2025-11-28 0.128 0.500000
2025-11-03 0.129 0.508475
2025-10-01 0.126 0.495478
2025-09-02 0.134 0.533227
2025-08-01 0.134 0.536644
2025-07-01 0.124 0.491478
2025-06-02 0.122 0.493727
2025-05-01 0.127 0.521775
2025-04-01 0.127 0.534962
2025-03-03 0.115 0.486464
2025-02-03 0.121 0.515772
2024-12-27 0.131 0.563441
2024-12-02 0.128 0.540541
2024-11-01 0.133 0.557886
2024-10-01 0.123 0.488677
2024-09-03 0.132 0.537678
2024-08-01 0.130 0.540765
2024-07-01 0.118 0.500424
2024-06-03 0.126 0.521955
2024-04-23 0.127 0.531603
2024-04-01 0.125 0.515251
2024-03-01 0.116 0.469256
2024-02-01 0.126 0.502793
2023-12-27 0.131 0.515545
2023-12-01 0.122 0.488391
2023-11-01 0.125 0.525431
2023-10-02 0.126 0.535032
2023-09-01 0.139 0.557561
2023-08-01 0.135 0.529619
2023-07-03 0.127 0.497844
2023-06-01 0.129 0.514354
2023-04-24 0.123 0.492591
2023-04-03 0.125 0.496820
2023-03-01 0.110 0.448248
2023-02-01 0.120 0.470588
2022-12-28 0.121 0.502492
2022-12-01 0.112 0.461095
2022-11-01 0.118 0.521432
2022-10-03 0.118 0.512153
2022-09-01 0.121 0.507338
2022-08-01 0.122 0.500821
2022-07-01 0.121 0.496105
2022-06-01 0.108 0.425364
2022-04-25 0.113 0.439347
2022-04-01 0.087 0.322581
2022-03-01 0.109 0.406716
2022-02-01 0.126 0.439331
2021-12-29 0.124 0.435088
2021-12-01 0.120 0.423579
2021-11-01 0.126 0.431359
2021-10-01 0.123 0.409318
2021-09-01 0.127 0.408491
2021-08-02 0.127 0.409149
2021-07-01 0.125 0.401671
2021-06-01 0.130 0.407779
2021-04-26 0.121 0.387200
2021-04-01 0.136 0.443575
2021-03-01 0.118 0.371420
2021-02-01 0.125 0.383201
2020-12-29 0.129 0.389258
2020-12-01 0.121 0.371622
2020-11-02 0.131 0.428245
2020-10-01 0.110 0.356564
2020-09-01 0.125 0.395570
2020-08-03 0.153 0.487572
2020-07-01 0.147 0.477893
2020-06-01 0.133 0.429032
2020-04-24 0.123 0.438034
2020-04-01 0.143 0.516805
2020-03-02 0.147 0.452308
2020-02-03 0.167 0.499253
2019-12-30 0.159 0.469165
2019-12-02 0.164 0.499543
2019-11-01 0.181 0.534554
2019-10-01 0.185 0.564369
2019-09-03 0.191 0.583384
2019-08-01 0.182 0.533568
2019-07-01 0.170 0.491188
2019-06-03 0.190 0.576806
2019-04-24 0.182 0.549185
2019-04-01 0.183 0.545130
2019-03-01 0.157 0.463264
2019-02-01 0.184 0.532407
2018-12-27 0.182 0.554878
2018-12-03 0.176 0.534792
2018-11-01 0.177 0.545455
2018-10-01 0.168 0.512195
2018-09-04 0.172 0.543960
2018-08-01 0.186 0.537572
2018-07-02 0.178 0.528504
2018-06-01 0.192 0.544835
2018-04-24 0.182 0.481227
2018-04-02 0.184 0.473495
2018-03-01 0.174 0.450078
2018-02-01 0.174 0.440729
2017-12-27 0.168 0.443975
2017-12-01 0.170 0.453333
2017-11-01 0.184 0.497297
2017-10-02 0.178 0.466946
2017-09-01 0.170 0.439050
2017-08-01 0.174 0.455497
2017-07-03 0.168 0.450161
2017-06-01 0.178 0.471398
2017-05-01 0.164 0.440623
2017-04-03 0.160 0.434311
2017-03-01 0.152 0.418272
2017-02-01 0.160 0.446180
2016-12-28 0.162 0.463122
2016-12-01 0.152 0.441860
2016-11-01 0.164 0.440150
2016-10-03 0.144 0.378151
2016-09-01 0.160 0.427350
2016-08-01 0.132 0.351438
2016-07-01 0.142 0.377459
2016-06-01 0.174 0.484680
2016-05-02 0.178 0.472399
2016-04-01 0.144 0.389610
2016-03-01 0.146 0.420992
2016-02-01 0.172 0.508575
2015-12-29 0.168 0.490941
2015-12-01 0.164 0.466174
2015-11-02 0.170 0.474330
2015-10-01 0.170 0.492754
2015-09-01 0.180 0.505334
2015-08-03 0.174 0.464744
2015-07-01 0.180 0.464396
2015-06-01 0.178 0.450177
2015-05-01 0.194 0.476658
2015-04-01 0.182 0.450718
2015-03-02 0.196 0.478516
2015-02-02 0.172 0.405660
2014-12-29 0.192 0.453686
2014-12-01 0.202 0.451902
2014-11-03 0.200 0.441112
2014-10-01 0.200 0.440723
2014-09-02 0.220 0.463158
2014-08-01 0.214 0.448074
2014-07-01 0.220 0.454733
2014-06-02 0.220 0.459290
2014-04-24 0.224 0.475988
2014-04-01 0.226 0.479220
2014-03-03 0.196 0.430391
2014-02-03 0.220 0.494382
2013-12-27 0.220 0.465904
2013-12-02 0.220 0.464920
2013-11-01 0.220 0.450450
2013-10-01 0.208 0.428689
2013-09-03 0.194 0.418284
2013-08-01 0.194 0.400495
2013-07-01 0.200 0.407830
2013-06-03 0.224 0.436307
2013-04-24 0.192 0.350237
2013-04-01 0.190 0.351982
2013-03-01 0.194 0.357538
2013-02-01 0.184 0.332610
2012-12-27 0.182 0.333578
2012-12-03 0.182 0.339933
2012-11-01 0.182 0.341720
2012-10-01 0.182 0.343267
2012-09-04 0.190 0.365666
2012-08-01 0.190 0.365666
2012-07-02 0.190 0.371384
2012-06-01 0.170 0.350660
2012-05-01 0.190 0.359985
2012-04-02 0.190 0.360121
2012-03-01 0.206 0.383613
2012-02-01 0.180 0.341038
2011-12-28 0.206 0.421440
2011-12-01 0.190 0.381373
2011-11-01 0.222 0.436492
2011-10-03 0.236 0.491462
2011-09-01 0.250 0.455373
2011-08-01 0.238 0.429448
2011-07-01 0.240 0.434153
2011-06-01 0.268 0.489051
2011-05-02 0.244 0.438849
2011-04-01 0.268 0.498883
2011-03-01 0.226 0.430969
2011-02-01 0.216 0.412844
2010-12-29 0.188 0.355926
2010-12-01 0.210 0.400458
2010-11-01 0.200 0.365631
2010-10-01 0.160 0.294768
2010-09-01 0.216 0.415864
Additional Data
dividendYield 6.25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 56.24
All Time Low 22.38
Ask 25.58
Ask Size 21,900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,769,620
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,028,430
Average Volume 2,028,430
Average Volume10Days 2,769,620
Beta3 Year 1.1
Bid 25.57
Bid Size 12,300
Category Emerging-Markets Local-Currency Bond
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 25.7485
Day Low 25.55
Dividend Yield 6.25
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.5254
Fifty Day Average Change 0.044599533
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0017472609
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 1.7508984
Fifty Two Week High 26.63
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.0599995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.039804712
Fifty Two Week Low 24.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.77000046
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.031048406
Fifty Two Week Range 24.8 - 26.63
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,279,891,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.022841498
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.200001
Fullday Change Percent -0.776099
Fullday Price 25.5502
Fund Family VanEck
Fund Inception Date 1,279,756,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the fund's benchmark index. The index is comprised of bonds issued by emerging market governments and denominated in the local currency of the issuer. It may concentrate its investments in a particular industry or group of industries to the extent that the index concentrates in an industry or group of industries. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_109864250
Nav Price 25.72
Net Assets 4,795,923,500.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.3
Open 25.71
Phone 888-658-8287
Post Market Change -0.019800186
Post Market Change Percent -0.077435225
Post Market Price 25.5502
Post Market Time 1,787,961,310
Previous Close 25.77
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.200001
Regular Market Change Percent -0.776099
Regular Market Day High 25.7485
Regular Market Day Low 25.55
Regular Market Day Range 25.55 - 25.7485
Regular Market Open 25.71
Regular Market Previous Close 25.77
Regular Market Price 25.57
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 4,129,687
Short Name VanEck J. P. Morgan EM Local Cu
Source Interval 15
Symbol EMLC
Three Year Average Return 0.073780395
Total Assets 4,795,923,456
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 1.58263
Trailing Three Month Returns 1.58263
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.67655
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.10655022
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0041497094
Type Disp ETF
Volume 4,129,687
Yield 0.0625
Ytd Return 1.89872