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The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL)

Consumer Defensive | Household & Personal Products | New York, United States | NYSE
81.15 USD -1.51 (-1.827%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains structurally damaged. The stock has endured four consecutive years of negative annual returns, a clear signal of deteriorating business quality that outweighs the modest recent revenue growth. Fundamentals are under pressure with negative earnings, a heavy debt load, and a recent dividend cut that signals financial strain. While the current price sits near the fifty-two-week low and analyst targets suggest a potential 15% recovery, the underlying balance sheet and profitability issues make this a speculative bounce rather than a turnaround. For income investors, the yield is insufficient and unreliable given the payout history. Short-term traders may find a mean-reversion opportunity, but long-term holders face a business that has lost its competitive edge and capital efficiency.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79 ✓0.047416
MSTL_79_1260.063930
MSTL_1260.069937
MSTL0.070829
AutoETS0.075716
AutoTheta0.097205
AutoARIMA0.111376

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 1.46
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.292
Excess Kurtosis -0.80
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Debt to Equity Ratio 232.908
Revenue per Share 41.012
Market Cap 29,359,656,960
Forward P/E 25.49
Beta 1.26
Profit Margins -1.67%
Website https://www.elcompanies.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for high volatility with elevated implied volatility on deep out-of-the-money strikes for both calls and puts. Open interest is concentrated around the $80 to $100 range, creating a wall of resistance and support. There is notable volume at the $100 call strike and heavy put open interest at the $77 and $80 levels, suggesting traders are hedging against further downside while betting on a potential rebound toward the $100 mark.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.39% 1.47% 1.87% 1.50%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-29 0.35000 0.393479
2026-02-27 0.35000 0.319722
2025-11-28 0.35000 0.372063
2025-09-02 0.35000 0.385505
2025-05-30 0.35000 0.522856
2025-02-28 0.35000 0.486719
2024-11-29 0.35000 0.485302
2024-08-30 0.66000 0.720052
2024-05-31 0.66000 0.535019
2024-02-28 0.66000 0.447822
2023-11-29 0.66000 0.525478
2023-08-30 0.66000 0.403497
2023-05-30 0.66000 0.343911
2023-02-27 0.66000 0.272570
2022-11-29 0.66000 0.307062
2022-08-30 0.60000 0.233363
2022-05-27 0.60000 0.238228
2022-02-25 0.60000 0.199780
2021-11-29 0.60000 0.176445
2021-08-30 0.53000 0.154303
2021-05-27 0.53000 0.174601
2021-02-25 0.53000 0.182998
2020-11-27 0.53000 0.215500
2020-08-28 0.48000 0.215314
2020-02-27 0.48000 0.263331
2019-11-27 0.48000 0.244948
2019-08-29 0.43000 0.211188
2019-05-30 0.43000 0.259646
2019-02-27 0.43000 0.273798
2018-11-29 0.43000 0.303887
2018-08-30 0.38000 0.272401
2018-05-30 0.38000 0.251339
2018-02-27 0.38000 0.271856
2017-11-29 0.38000 0.306625
2017-08-29 0.34000 0.321665
2017-05-26 0.34000 0.362860
2017-02-24 0.34000 0.405970
2016-11-28 0.34000 0.433452
2016-08-29 0.30000 0.330178
2016-05-26 0.30000 0.328084
2016-02-25 0.30000 0.323694
2015-11-25 0.30000 0.351288
2015-08-27 0.24000 0.299738
2015-05-27 0.24000 0.270362
2015-02-25 0.24000 0.293112
2014-11-25 0.24000 0.327600
2014-08-27 0.20000 0.259707
2014-05-28 0.20000 0.264375
2014-02-26 0.20000 0.294204
2013-11-26 0.20000 0.266418
2013-08-28 0.18000 0.275314
2013-05-29 0.18000 0.260078
2013-02-26 0.18000 0.288785
2012-11-28 0.72000 1.240310
2011-11-23 0.52500 0.975746
2010-11-24 0.37500 0.988012
2009-11-25 0.27500 1.140606
2008-11-26 0.27500 1.990590
2007-12-05 0.27500 1.263787
2006-12-06 0.25000 1.205691
2005-12-07 0.20000 1.197605
2004-12-08 0.20000 0.897666
2003-12-12 0.15000 0.788436
2002-12-10 0.10000 0.727273
2002-06-12 0.02500 0.134771
2002-03-13 0.02500 0.155376
2001-12-12 0.02500 0.153846
2001-09-17 0.01250 0.070902
2001-06-13 0.02500 0.119048
2001-03-14 0.02500 0.132275
2000-12-13 0.02500 0.113475
2000-09-13 0.02500 0.117994
2000-06-14 0.02500 0.106383
2000-03-14 0.02500 0.123267
1999-12-14 0.02500 0.118343
1999-09-14 0.02500 0.114943
1999-06-14 0.02500 0.109890
1999-03-12 0.02125 0.091768
1998-12-14 0.02125 0.117647
1998-09-11 0.02125 0.160757
1998-06-11 0.02125 0.133595
1998-03-12 0.02125 0.134122
1997-12-12 0.02125 0.157407
1997-09-10 0.02125 0.171934
1997-06-10 0.02125 0.167488
1997-03-12 0.02125 0.173028
1996-12-12 0.02125 0.174807
1996-09-11 0.02125 0.193732
1996-06-12 0.02125 0.208589
1996-03-13 0.02125 0.238596
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.4
dividendYield 1.69
exDividendDate 2026-05-29
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.016936848
lastDividendValue 0.35
lastDividendDate 2026-05-29
dividendDate 2026-06-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.077352405
Address1 767 Fifth Avenue
All Time High 374.2
All Time Low 7.9375
Ask 82.67
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,057,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,640,034
Average Volume 3,640,034
Average Volume10Days 3,057,970
Beta 1.261
Bid 81.62
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 10
Book Value 11.037
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 81.15
Current Ratio 1.268
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 84.86
Day Low 80.97
Debt To Equity 232.908
Display Name The Estée Lauder Companies
Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Dividend Rate 1.4
Dividend Yield 1.69
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,638,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,638,600
Earnings Growth -0.455
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.44
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,638,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,638,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,638,600
Ebitda 2,350,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.15843001
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.121
Enterprise To Revenue 2.396
Enterprise Value 35,533,656,064
Eps Current Year 2.41957
Eps Forward 3.1835
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.7
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 83.4916
Fifty Day Average Change -2.3415985
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.028045917
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.7352405
Fifty Two Week High 121.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -40.489998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.33286747
Fifty Two Week Low 66.22
Fifty Two Week Low Change 14.93
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22546059
Fifty Two Week Range 66.22 - 121.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 816,618,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.62
Float Shares 246,266,563
Forward Eps 3.1835
Forward P E 25.490812
Free Cashflow 1,807,624,960
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 40,470
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.74651
Gross Profits 11,073,000,448
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00414
Held Percent Institutions 0.97016996
Implied Shares Outstanding 361,794,915
Industry Household & Personal Products
Industry Disp Household & Personal Products
Industry Key household-personal-products
Ir Website http://investors.elcompanies.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=109458&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Last Dividend Value 0.35
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,327,276,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, eye care, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as foundations, powders, concealers and setting sprays, lipsticks, lip liners and lip glosses, mascaras, and eyeshadows and eyeliners, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising parfum, eau de parfum, eau de toilette, eau de cologne, and body spray, as well as lotions, creams, powders, candles and soaps; and hair care products, including shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair colour products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under the La Mer, Jo Malone London, TOM FORD, AERIN Beauty, Le Labo, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, KILIAN PARIS, BALMAIN Beauty, Estée Lauder, Clinique, M·A·C, The Ordinary, Aveda, Bobbi Brown Cosmetics, Too Faced, Dr.Jart+, Bumble and bumble, Smashbox, Darphin Paris, Lab Series, NIOD, Aramis, and GLAMGLOW brands. It sells its products through department stores, duty-free retailers, specialty multi retailers, online pure players, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and top-tier salons and spas, as well as direct-to-consumer businesses across freestanding stores, and brand websites and third-party online platforms. The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 29,359,656,960
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_207221
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -248,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 29,359,657,351
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 82.49
Operating Cashflow 1,798,000,000
Operating Margins 0.14925
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 4.7143
Peg Ratio 1.42
Phone 212 572 4200
Pre Market Change 0.8450012
Pre Market Change Percent 1.0417324
Pre Market Price 81.96
Pre Market Time 1,784,027,653
Previous Close 82.66
Price Eps Current Year 33.539017
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.352542
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9793471
Profit Margins -0.01672
Quick Ratio 0.824
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.35714
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.51
Regular Market Change Percent -1.82676
Regular Market Day High 84.86
Regular Market Day Low 80.97
Regular Market Day Range 80.97 - 84.86
Regular Market Open 82.49
Regular Market Previous Close 82.66
Regular Market Price 81.15
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,784,705
Return On Assets 0.04874
Return On Equity -0.05949
Revenue Growth 0.046
Revenue Per Share 41.012
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 247,287,571
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0219
Shares Short 7,927,737
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,596,764
Short Name Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (T
Short Percent Of Float 0.036
Short Ratio 2.04
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol EL
Target High Price 125.0
Target Low Price 70.0
Target Mean Price 95.30769
Target Median Price 90.0
Total Cash 3,126,000,128
Total Cash Per Share 8.64
Total Debt 9,299,999,744
Total Revenue 14,833,000,448
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.016936848
Trailing Eps -0.7
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4246
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 92.7714
Two Hundred Day Average Change -11.621399
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1252692
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,784,705
Website https://www.elcompanies.com
Zip 10,153